Small Sample Properties of Maximum Likelihood Versus Generalized Method of Moments Based Tests for Spatially Autocorrelated Errors

This paper undertakes a Monte Carlo study to compare MLE-based and GMM-based tests regarding the spatial autocorrelation coefficient of the error term in a Cliff and Ord type model. The main finding is that a Wald-test based on GMM estimation as derived by Kelejian and Prucha (2005a) performs surprisingly well. Our Monte Carlo study indicates that the GMM Wald-test is correctly sized even in small samples and exhibits the same power as their MLE-based counterparts. Since GMM estimates are much easier to calculate, the GMM Wald-test is recommended for applied researches.

[1]  R. MacDonald,et al.  Trade Costs, Trade Balances and Current Accounts: An Application of Gravity to Multilateral Trade , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[2]  Anil K. Bera,et al.  Simple diagnostic tests for spatial dependence , 1996 .

[3]  Panu Poutvaara Social Security Incentives, Human Capital Investment and Mobility of Labor , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[4]  Rainer Niemann,et al.  Group Taxation, Asymmetric Taxation and Cross-Border Investment Incentives in Austria , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[5]  Timothy G. Conley GMM estimation with cross sectional dependence , 1999 .

[6]  R. Disney Household Saving Rates and the Design of Social Security Programmes: Evidence from a Country Panel , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[7]  W. Peters,et al.  Justifying the Lindahl solution as an outcome of fair cooperation , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  J. Keith Ord,et al.  Spatial Processes Models and Applications , 1981 .

[9]  Ben Lockwood,et al.  Decentralization and Electoral Accountability: Incentives, Separation and Voter Welfare , 2005 .

[10]  A. Kemnitz Can Immigrant Employment Alleviate the Demographic Burden? The Role of Union Centralization , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[11]  M. Gérard Multijurisdictional Firms and Governments' Strategies Under Alternative Tax Designs , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Heikki Oksanen Actuarial Neutrality Across Generations Applied to Public Pensions Under Population Ageing: Effects on Government Finances and National Saving , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  Piotr Wdowinski,et al.  Financial Markets and Economic Growth in Poland: Simulations with an Econometric Model , 2005, Social Science Research Network.

[14]  Marcel Gérard Multijurisdictional Firms and Governments’ Strategies under Alternative Tax Designs , 2005 .

[15]  A. Sousa-Poza,et al.  Early Retirement: Free Choice or Forced Decision? , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[16]  Nicolas Schmitt,et al.  Why Parallel Trade May Raise Producers Profits , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  Yong-lyoul Kim Employment and Spatial Effects of Highways in Missouri , 2005 .

[18]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  On the asymptotic distribution of the Moran I test statistic with applications , 2001 .

[19]  Luc Anselin,et al.  Small Sample Properties of Tests for Spatial Dependence in Regression Models: Some Further Results , 1995 .

[20]  Peter A. Zadrozny,et al.  Estimated U.S. Manufacturing Production Capital and Technology Based on an Estimated Dynamic Economic Model , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[21]  Luc Anselin,et al.  Rao's score test in spatial econometrics , 2001 .

[22]  K. Ord Estimation Methods for Models of Spatial Interaction , 1975 .

[23]  L. Anselin Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models , 1988 .

[24]  Silke Uebelmesser,et al.  Migration and the welfare state: The economic power of the non-voter? , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[25]  Peter A. Zadrozny Necessary and Sufficient Restrictions for Existence of a Unique Fourth Moment of a Univariate Garch(P,Q) Process , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[26]  J. MacKinnon,et al.  Econometric Theory and Methods , 2003 .

[27]  R. MacDonald,et al.  Non-Linear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Target Zones: A Bumpy Road Towards a Honeymoon - Some Evidence from the Erm, Erm2 and Selected New EU Member States , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[28]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  2SLS and OLS in a spatial autoregressive model with equal spatial weights , 2002 .

[29]  J. de Haan,et al.  Has the Stability and Growth Pact Impeded Political Budget Cycles in the European Union? , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[30]  M. Beine,et al.  The Impact of FX Central Bank Intervention in a Noise Trading Framework , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[31]  Marc Schramm,et al.  Looking for Multiple Equilibria When Geography Matters: German City Growth and the Wwii Shock , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[32]  F. Ploeg Chapter 34 The Making of Cultural Policy: A European Perspective⁎ , 2005 .

[33]  Lung-fei Lee,et al.  Asymptotic Distributions of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Spatial Autoregressive Models , 2004 .

[34]  Andreas Haufler,et al.  Merger Policy to Promote 'Global Players'? A Simple Model , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[35]  Antonis Adam,et al.  Turkish Delight for Some, Cold Turkey for Others?: The Effects of the Eu-Turkey Customs Union , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[36]  C. Keuschnigg,et al.  A growth oriented dual income tax , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[37]  L. Danziger Output Effects of Inflation with Fixed Price- and Quantity-Adjustment Costs , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[38]  Halbert White,et al.  Estimation, inference, and specification analysis , 1996 .

[39]  Jeffrey C. Lagarias,et al.  Convergence Properties of the Nelder-Mead Simplex Method in Low Dimensions , 1998, SIAM J. Optim..

[40]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  A Generalized Moments Estimator for the Autoregressive Parameter in a Spatial Model , 1999 .

[41]  Stefan C. Wolter,et al.  Demographic Change and Public Education Spending: A Conflict between Young and Old? , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[42]  Lung-fei Lee,et al.  Best Spatial Two‐Stage Least Squares Estimators for a Spatial Autoregressive Model with Autoregressive Disturbances , 2003 .

[43]  Lars P. Feld,et al.  Strategic Tax Competition in Switzerland: Evidence from a Panel of the Swiss Cantons , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[44]  H. Gersbach,et al.  Self-Financing Environmental Mechanisms , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[45]  P. De,et al.  Promotion of Trade and Investments between China and India: The Case of Southwest China and East and Northeast India , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[46]  H. Verbon,et al.  The international spillover effects of pension reform , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[47]  David Martimort,et al.  Monitoring a Common Agent: Implications for Financial Contracting , 2005, J. Econ. Theory.

[48]  P. Burridge,et al.  On the Cliff‐Ord Test for Spatial Correlation , 1980 .

[49]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  INFRASTRUCTURE PRODUCTIVITY ESTIMATION AND ITS UNDERLYING ECONOMETRIC SPECIFICATIONS: A SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS , 2005 .

[50]  L. Saavedra Tests for spatial lag dependence based on method of moments estimation , 2000 .

[51]  M. Funke,et al.  Drifting together or falling apart? The empirics of regional economic growth in post-unification Germany , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[52]  Saku Aura,et al.  Optimal Commodity Taxation When Land and Structures Must Be Taxed at the Same Rate , 2005 .

[53]  P. Panteghini S-Based Taxation Under Default Risk , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[54]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  Spatial autocorrelation: A new computationally simple test with an application to per capita county police expenditures , 1992 .

[55]  A. Glazer,et al.  The Desire for Impact , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[56]  Bettina Aten,et al.  EVIDENCE OF SPATIAL AUTOCORREILATION IN INTERNATIONAL PRICES , 1996 .

[57]  Efficient Competitive Equilibria with Adverse Selection , 2005 .

[58]  James G. MacKinnon,et al.  Graphical Methods for Investigating the Size and Power of Hypothesis Tests , 1998 .

[59]  K. Sandberg Growth of GRP in Chinese provinces : a test for spatial spillovers , 2004 .

[60]  Michael S. Michael,et al.  Migration, Tied Foreign Aid and the Welfare State , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[61]  Annalisa Luporini,et al.  Ownership Concentration, Monitoring and Optimal Board Structure , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[62]  R. Pethig,et al.  Nonlinear Production, Abatement, Pollution and Materials Balance Reconsidered , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[63]  Alfons J. Weichenrieder (Why) Do We Need Corporate Taxation? , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[64]  Ludger Woessmann,et al.  Education Policy and Equality of Opportunity , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[65]  Xenia Matschke Costly Revenue-Raising and the Case for Favoring Import-Competing Industries , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[66]  Joris Pinkse,et al.  Spatial Price Competition: A Semiparametric Approach , 2002 .

[67]  Luc Anselin,et al.  Properties of tests for spatial error components , 2003 .

[68]  Kurt R. Brekke,et al.  Direct-to-Consumer Advertising in Pharmaceutical Markets , 2005, Journal of health economics.

[69]  David S. Evans,et al.  Curing Sinus Headaches and Tying Law: An Empirical Analysis of Bundling Decongestants and Pain Relievers , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[70]  Jakob de Haan,et al.  Trade and Business Cycle Synchronization in OECD Countries: A Re-Examination , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[71]  Stewart E. Tolnay,et al.  Vicarious Violence: Spatial Effects on Southern Lynchings, 1890-1919 , 1996, American Journal of Sociology.

[72]  Harry H. Kelejian,et al.  A suggested method of estimation for spatial interdependent models with autocorrelated errors, and an application to a county expenditure model , 1993 .

[73]  B. Mintzes,et al.  Direct to consumer advertising , 2004, BMJ : British Medical Journal.