Constructing a Bayesian network model for improving safety behavior of employees at workplaces.

INTRODUCTION Unsafe behavior increases the risk of accident at workplaces and needs to be managed properly. The aim of the present study was to provide a model for managing and improving safety behavior of employees using the Bayesian networks approach. METHODS The study was conducted in several power plant construction projects in Iran. The data were collected using a questionnaire composed of nine factors, including management commitment, supporting environment, safety management system, employees' participation, safety knowledge, safety attitude, motivation, resource allocation, and work pressure. In order for measuring the score of each factor assigned by a responder, a measurement model was constructed for each of them. The Bayesian network was constructed using experts' opinions and Dempster-Shafer theory. Using belief updating, the best intervention strategies for improving safety behavior also were selected. RESULTS The result of the present study demonstrated that the majority of employees do not tend to consider safety rules, regulation, procedures and norms in their behavior at the workplace. Safety attitude, safety knowledge, and supporting environment were the best predictor of safety behavior. Moreover, it was determined that instantaneous improvement of supporting environment and employee participation is the best strategy to reach a high proportion of safety behavior at the workplace. CONCLUSION The lack of a comprehensive model that can be used for explaining safety behavior was one of the most problematic issues of the study. Furthermore, it can be concluded that belief updating is a unique feature of Bayesian networks that is very useful in comparing various intervention strategies and selecting the best one form them.

[1]  Chin-Shan Lu,et al.  Safety leadership and safety behavior in container terminal operations , 2010 .

[2]  Dongping Fang,et al.  A Method to Identify Strategies for the Improvement of Human Safety Behavior by Considering Safety Climate and Personal Experience , 2008 .

[3]  Jane Mullen,et al.  Investigating factors that influence individual safety behavior at work. , 2004, Journal of safety research.

[4]  Xulei Wang,et al.  Analysis of Factors that Influence Hazardous Material Transportation Accidents Based on Bayesian Networks: A Case Study in China , 2012 .

[5]  Susana García Herrero,et al.  Influence of task demands on occupational stress: gender differences. , 2012, Journal of safety research.

[6]  C. H. Lawshe A QUANTITATIVE APPROACH TO CONTENT VALIDITY , 1975 .

[7]  Qian Liu,et al.  Prospective safety performance evaluation on construction sites. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[8]  Jian Sun,et al.  A dynamic Bayesian network model for real-time crash prediction using traffic speed conditions data , 2015 .

[9]  Franck Guarnieri,et al.  A Bayesian network to manage risks of maritime piracy against offshore oil fields , 2014 .

[10]  Juan de Oña,et al.  A method for simplifying the analysis of traffic accidents injury severity on two-lane highways using Bayesian networks. , 2011, Journal of safety research.

[11]  Gregory E. Prussia,et al.  Predicting safe employee behavior in the steel industry: Development and test of a sociotechnical model , 2000 .

[12]  Maria Hänninen,et al.  Bayesian network model of maritime safety management , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[13]  Jimmie Hinze,et al.  Leading indicators of construction safety performance , 2013 .

[14]  R. A. Phillips,et al.  Exploratory analysis of the safety climate and safety behavior relationship. , 2004 .

[15]  Peter Hoonakker,et al.  The effect of safety initiatives on safety performance: a longitudinal study. , 2005, Applied ergonomics.

[16]  Nima Khakzad,et al.  Safety analysis in process facilities: Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian network approaches , 2011, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[17]  Tariq S. Abdelhamid,et al.  Identifying Root Causes of Construction Accidents , 2001 .

[18]  Finn V. Jensen,et al.  Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs , 2001, Statistics for Engineering and Information Science.

[19]  Jin Wang,et al.  Incorporation of formal safety assessment and Bayesian network in navigational risk estimation of the Yangtze River , 2013, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[20]  Richard E. Neapolitan,et al.  Learning Bayesian networks , 2007, KDD '07.

[21]  M N Vinodkumar,et al.  Safety management practices and safety behaviour: assessing the mediating role of safety knowledge and motivation. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[22]  Miroslaw J. Skibniewski,et al.  Bayesian-network-based safety risk analysis in construction projects , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[23]  Jason R. W. Merrick,et al.  Leading Indicators of Safety in Virtual Organizations , 2007 .

[24]  J. Hox,et al.  A checklist for testing measurement invariance , 2012 .

[25]  Luigi Portinale,et al.  Improving the analysis of dependable systems by mapping fault trees into Bayesian networks , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  Javier Taboada,et al.  Application of Bayesian networks to the evaluation of roofing slate quality , 2007 .

[27]  Kristin Smith-Crowe,et al.  Relative effectiveness of worker safety and health training methods. , 2006, American journal of public health.

[28]  L. Tetrick,et al.  Job hindrances, job resources, and safety performance: The mediating role of job engagement. , 2015, Applied ergonomics.

[29]  M. A. Mariscal,et al.  Using Bayesian networks to analyze occupational stress caused by work demands: preventing stress through social support. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[30]  Iraj Mohammadfam,et al.  Surprising Incentive: An Instrument for Promoting Safety Performance of Construction Employees , 2015, Safety and health at work.

[31]  Narmin Hassanzadeh-Rangi,et al.  Factors Influencing Unsafe Behaviors and Accidents on Construction Sites: A Review , 2014, International journal of occupational safety and ergonomics : JOSE.

[32]  Iraj Mohammadfam,et al.  Framework for Continuous Assessment and Improvement of Occupational Health and Safety Issues in Construction Companies , 2014, Safety and health at work.

[33]  Ali Azadeh,et al.  The evaluation of safety behaviors in a gas treatment company in Iran , 2008 .

[34]  A R Duff,et al.  Contributing factors in construction accidents. , 2005, Applied ergonomics.

[35]  G B Stewart,et al.  Potential uses of Bayesian networks as tools for synthesis of systematic reviews of complex interventions , 2014, Research synthesis methods.

[36]  Sumeet Gupta,et al.  Linking structural equation modeling to Bayesian networks: Decision support for customer retention in virtual communities , 2008, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[37]  Faisal Khan,et al.  Dynamic safety analysis of process systems by mapping bow-tie into Bayesian network , 2013 .

[38]  L. Cronbach Coefficient alpha and the internal structure of tests , 1951 .

[39]  Jill C. Bradley,et al.  Workplace safety: a meta-analysis of the roles of person and situation factors. , 2009, The Journal of applied psychology.

[40]  Dominic Cooper Implementing The Behaviour-Based Approach: A Practical Guide. , 1995 .

[41]  U Varonen,et al.  The safety climate and its relationship to safety practices, safety of the work environment and occupational accidents in eight wood-processing companies. , 2000, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[42]  Rafiq M Choudhry,et al.  Behavior-based safety on construction sites: a case study. , 2014, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[43]  I. Mohammad Fam,et al.  Comparative analysis of creative and classic training methods in health, safety and environment (HSE) participation improvement , 2012 .

[44]  Josep M. Rossell,et al.  Study of Spanish mining accidents using data mining techniques , 2015 .

[45]  Bruce G. Marcot,et al.  Metrics for evaluating performance and uncertainty of Bayesian network models , 2012 .

[46]  Margaret Kalacska,et al.  Estimating leaf area index from satellite imagery using Bayesian networks , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing.

[47]  David A. Hofmann,et al.  A CROSS-LEVEL INVESTIGATION OF FACTORS INFLUENCING UNSAFE BEHAVIORS AND ACCIDENTS , 1996 .

[48]  Ingrid Bouwer Utne,et al.  Human Fatigue’s Effect on the Risk of Maritime Groundings - A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach , 2014 .

[49]  D. Fang,et al.  Why operatives engage in unsafe work behavior: Investigating factors on construction sites , 2008 .

[50]  Moonseo Park,et al.  Accident Analysis and Prevention , 2014 .

[51]  José Manuel Gutiérrez,et al.  Bayesian network analysis of safety culture and organizational culture in a nuclear power plant , 2013 .

[52]  Wisdom M. Dlamini,et al.  A Bayesian belief network analysis of factors influencing wildfire occurrence in Swaziland , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..

[53]  Maryam Maghsoudipour,et al.  Safety Climate and Prediction of Ergonomic Behavior , 2013, International journal of occupational safety and ergonomics : JOSE.

[54]  P. Bentler,et al.  Significance Tests and Goodness of Fit in the Analysis of Covariance Structures , 1980 .

[55]  Dong-Chul Seo,et al.  An explicative model of unsafe work behavior , 2005 .

[56]  A. Neal,et al.  The impact of organizational climate on safety climate and individual behavior , 2000 .

[57]  Dale O. Ritzel,et al.  Working conditions, psychological/physical symptoms and occupational accidents. Bayesian network models , 2012 .

[58]  Javier Taboada,et al.  A Bayesian network analysis of workplace accidents caused by falls from a height , 2009 .

[59]  Kevin B. Korb,et al.  Bayesian Artificial Intelligence , 2004, Computer science and data analysis series.

[60]  Ronald D. Anderson,et al.  Causal modeling alternatives in operations research: Overview and application , 2004, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[61]  Sou-Sen Leu,et al.  Bayesian-network-based safety risk assessment for steel construction projects. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[62]  A Neal,et al.  Perceptions of safety at work: a framework for linking safety climate to safety performance, knowledge, and motivation. , 2000, Journal of occupational health psychology.

[63]  Hongzhi Guan,et al.  A multinomial logit model-Bayesian network hybrid approach for driver injury severity analyses in rear-end crashes. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[64]  R. B. Blackmon,et al.  IMPROVING CONSTRUCTION SAFETY BY PROVIDING POSITIVE FEEDBACK ON BACKUP ALARMS , 1995 .

[65]  H. W. Heinrich,et al.  Industrial Accident Prevention: a Scientific Approach , 1951 .

[66]  Maria Hänninen,et al.  Bayesian network modeling of Port State Control inspection findings and ship accident involvement , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[67]  Andrew Shaw,et al.  Safety climate and the theory of planned behavior: towards the prediction of unsafe behavior. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[68]  Dong-Chul Seo,et al.  A cross-validation of safety climate scale using confirmatory factor analytic approach. , 2004, Journal of safety research.

[69]  Stephanie C. Payne,et al.  Safety climate: Leading or lagging indicator of safety outcomes? , 2009 .

[70]  Miroslaw J. Skibniewski,et al.  A dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction , 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[71]  Dov Zohar,et al.  Beyond safety outcomes: An investigation of the impact of safety climate on job satisfaction, employee engagement and turnover using social exchange theory as the theoretical framework. , 2016, Applied ergonomics.

[72]  S. A. Silva,et al.  Another look at safety climate and safety behavior: deepening the cognitive and social mediator mechanisms. , 2012, Accident; analysis and prevention.