On the Differential Impact of the Asian Crisis on the World Economy: A General Equilibrium Perspective

Three years and more have passed since the outbreak of the Asian Financial crisis in 1997. We observe that the world economy was far from a ‘global slump,‘ yet the burden of adjustment had been uneven across countries. The crisis had a negative effect on the other developing countries, while the impact on industrial economies had been small, and even positive at the onset of the crisis. In this paper, we attempt to shed light on this differential impact of the crisis, and illustrate the uneven mechanics of adjustment in a world with commodity trade and capital flows. The analysis is conducted in an intertemporal general equilibrium model with multi-region and multi-commodity specification.

[1]  하윤금 ‘금융세계화(Financial Globalization)’와 미디어 산업 , 2004 .

[2]  K. Kawasaki How Detrimental Is the Asian Crisis: Assessment by Model Simulations , 2000 .

[3]  A. Somwaru,et al.  An Inquiry on General Equilibrium Effects of MERCOSUR--An Intertemporal World Model , 2000 .

[4]  X. Diao,et al.  How the Financial Crisis Affected World Agriculture: A General Equilibrium Perspective , 2000 .

[5]  I. Adelman,et al.  The Minimal Conditions for a Financial Crisis: A Multiregional Intertemporal CGE Model of the Asian Crisis , 2000 .

[6]  Warwick McKibbin,et al.  The East Asian Crisis: Investigating Causes and Policy Responses , 1999 .

[7]  Paolo A. Pesenti,et al.  What Caused the Asian Currency and Financial Crisis , 1999 .

[8]  Warwick McKibbin Modelling the Crisis in Asia , 1998 .

[9]  Robert P. Flood,et al.  Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature , 1998, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[10]  S. Robinson,et al.  The Continuing Asian Financial Crisis , 1997 .

[11]  Kenneth S. Rogoff,et al.  Foundations of International Macroeconomics , 1997 .

[12]  E. Yeldan,et al.  On Turkey's trade policy: Is a customs union with Europe enough? , 1997 .

[13]  I. Dalla,et al.  Regulated deregulation of the financial system in Korea , 1995 .

[14]  Alwyn Young,et al.  Lessons from the East Asian Nics: A Contrarian View , 1993 .

[15]  L. Westphal,et al.  Industrial Policy in an Export-Propelled Economy: Lessons from South Korea's Experience , 1990 .

[16]  Roberto Chang Understanding recent crises in emerging markets , 1999 .

[17]  P. Krugman What Happened to Asia , 1999 .

[18]  S. Robinson,et al.  The Continuing Asian Financial Crisis: Global Adjustment and Trade , 1999 .

[19]  J. A. Whitt The role of external shocks in the Asian financial crisis , 1999 .

[20]  Zhi Wang,et al.  The Asian Financial Crisis: Impact on U.S. Agriculture , 1998 .

[21]  Jeffrey D. Sachs,et al.  The East Asian Financial Crisis: Diagnosis, Remedies, Prospects , 1998 .

[22]  M. Goldstein The Asian financial crisis , 1998 .

[23]  Warwick McKibbin,et al.  Asia's meltdown & agriculture. , 1998 .

[24]  Philip Turner,et al.  Banking Crises in Emerging Economies: Origins and Policy Options , 1996 .

[25]  T. Srinivasan,et al.  Applied general equilibrium and economic development : present achievements and future trends , 1994 .

[26]  Jean Mercenier,et al.  Structural Adjustment and Growth in a Highy Indebted Market Economy: Brazil , 1991 .