Insider trading in an equilibrium model with default: a passage from reduced-form to structural modelling

Abstract We study, in the framework of Back [Rev. Financial Stud. 5(3), 387–409 (1992)], an equilibrium model for the pricing of a defaultable zero coupon bond issued by a firm. The market consists of a risk-neutral informed agent, noise traders, and a market maker who sets the price using the total order. When the insider does not trade, the default time possesses a default intensity in the market’s view as in reduced-form credit risk models. However, we show that, in equilibrium, the modelling becomes structural in the sense that the default time becomes the first time that some continuous observation process falls below a certain barrier. Interestingly, the firm value is still not observable. We also establish the no expected trade theorem that the insider’s trades are inconspicuous.

[1]  T. Jeulin Semi-Martingales et Grossissement d’une Filtration , 1980 .

[2]  L. Rogers,et al.  Diffusions, Markov Processes and Martingales, Vol. 1, Foundations. , 1996 .

[3]  Jean Helwege,et al.  The slope of the credit yield curve for speculative-grade issuers , 1999 .

[4]  R. C. Merton,et al.  On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates , 1974, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[5]  Philip Protter,et al.  STRUCTURAL VERSUS REDUCED FORM MODELS: A NEW INFORMATION BASED PERSPECTIVE , 2004 .

[6]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[7]  Kyung-Ha Cho,et al.  Continuous auctions and insider trading: uniqueness and risk aversion , 2003, Finance Stochastics.

[8]  Ming Huang,et al.  How Much of Corporate-Treasury Yield Spread Is Due to Credit Risk?: A New Calibration Approach , 2003 .

[9]  Philippe Artzner,et al.  DEFAULT RISK INSURANCE AND INCOMPLETE MARKETS , 1995 .

[10]  Kerry Back,et al.  Insider Trading in Continuous Time , 1992 .

[11]  M. Yor,et al.  Continuous martingales and Brownian motion , 1990 .

[12]  R. Jarrow,et al.  Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk , 1995 .

[13]  Default Risk and Hazard Process , 2002 .

[14]  A. Kyle Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading , 1985 .

[15]  L. Rogers,et al.  Diffusions, Markov processes, and martingales , 1979 .

[16]  Ming Huang,et al.  How Much of Corporate-Treasury Yield Spread is Due to Credit Risk? , 2002 .

[17]  D. Duffie,et al.  Recursive valuation of defaultable securities and the timing of resolution of uncertainty , 1996 .

[18]  D. Duffie,et al.  Term Structures of Credit Spreads with Incomplete Accounting Information , 2001, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[19]  Viral V. Acharya,et al.  Credit Risk: Pricing, Measurement, and Management , 2005 .

[20]  Anlong Li Three Essays on Contingent Claims Pricing , 1992 .

[21]  D. Duffie,et al.  Modeling term structures of defaultable bonds , 1999 .

[22]  T. Bielecki,et al.  Credit Risk: Modeling, Valuation And Hedging , 2004 .

[23]  David Lando,et al.  On cox processes and credit risky securities , 1998 .

[24]  P. Protter,et al.  Modeling Credit Risk with Partial Information , 2004, math/0407060.