Universal and nonuniversal allometric scaling behaviors in the visibility graphs of world stock market indices

The investigations of financial markets from a complex network perspective have unveiled many phenomenological properties, in which the majority of these studies map the financial markets into one complex network. In this work, we investigate 30 world stock market indices through their visibility graphs by adopting the visibility algorithm to convert each single stock index into one visibility graph. A universal allometric scaling law is uncovered in the minimal spanning trees, whose scaling exponent is independent of the stock market and the length of the stock index. In contrast, the maximal spanning trees and the random spanning trees do not exhibit universal allometric scaling behaviors. There are marked discrepancies in the allometric scaling behaviors between the stock indices and the Brownian motions. Using surrogate time series, we find that these discrepancies are caused by the fat-tailedness of the return distribution and the nonlinear long-term correlation.

[1]  W. Marsden I and J , 2012 .

[2]  R. Gorvett Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems , 2005 .

[3]  J. C. Nuño,et al.  The visibility graph: A new method for estimating the Hurst exponent of fractional Brownian motion , 2009, 0901.0888.

[4]  James H. Brown,et al.  A General Model for the Origin of Allometric Scaling Laws in Biology , 1997, Science.

[5]  R. Mantegna Hierarchical structure in financial markets , 1998, cond-mat/9802256.

[6]  H. Stanley,et al.  Scaling, Universality, and Renormalization: Three Pillars of Modern Critical Phenomena , 1999 .

[7]  Sergey N. Dorogovtsev,et al.  Evolution of Networks: From Biological Nets to the Internet and WWW (Physics) , 2003 .

[8]  J. Kurths,et al.  Complex network approach for recurrence analysis of time series , 2009, 0907.3368.

[9]  Lucas Lacasa,et al.  From time series to complex networks: The visibility graph , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[10]  W. Press,et al.  Numerical Recipes in Fortran: The Art of Scientific Computing.@@@Numerical Recipes in C: The Art of Scientific Computing. , 1994 .

[11]  D. Sornette Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems , 2017 .

[12]  V. Plerou,et al.  Scale invariance and universality of economic fluctuations , 2000 .

[13]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Statistical mechanics of complex networks , 2001, ArXiv.

[14]  Marcel Ausloos,et al.  The crash of October 1987 seen as a phase transition: amplitude and universality , 1998 .

[15]  Zhongke Gao,et al.  Flow-pattern identification and nonlinear dynamics of gas-liquid two-phase flow in complex networks. , 2009, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[16]  Yue Yang,et al.  Complex network-based time series analysis , 2008 .

[17]  Guido Caldarelli,et al.  Universal scaling relations in food webs , 2003, Nature.

[18]  Michael Small,et al.  Superfamily phenomena and motifs of networks induced from time series , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[19]  Albert,et al.  Emergence of scaling in random networks , 1999, Science.

[20]  Wei-Xing Zhou,et al.  Superfamily classification of nonstationary time series based on DFA scaling exponents , 2009, 0912.2016.

[21]  Evan P. Economo,et al.  Scaling metabolism from organisms to ecosystems , 2003, Nature.

[22]  M Small,et al.  Complex network from pseudoperiodic time series: topology versus dynamics. , 2006, Physical review letters.

[23]  James H. Brown,et al.  Allometric scaling of production and life-history variation in vascular plants , 1999, Nature.

[24]  Wei-Xing Zhou,et al.  Finite-size effect and the components of multifractality in financial volatility , 2009, 0912.4782.

[25]  Ping Li,et al.  Extracting hidden fluctuation patterns of Hang Seng stock index from network topologies , 2007 .

[26]  H Eugene Stanley,et al.  Stock return distributions: tests of scaling and universality from three distinct stock markets. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[27]  Aaas News,et al.  Book Reviews , 1893, Buffalo Medical and Surgical Journal.

[28]  James H. Brown,et al.  Allometric scaling of plant energetics and population density , 1998, Nature.

[29]  Yannick Malevergne,et al.  Extreme Financial Risks: From Dependence to Risk Management , 2005 .

[30]  Yue Yang,et al.  Visibility graph approach to exchange rate series , 2009 .

[31]  K. Kaski,et al.  Dynamic asset trees and Black Monday , 2002, cond-mat/0212037.

[32]  V. Latora,et al.  Complex networks: Structure and dynamics , 2006 .

[33]  Wang Bing-Hong,et al.  An approach to Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong stock market based on network topological statistics , 2006 .

[34]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[35]  Armin Bunde,et al.  Effect of nonlinear correlations on the statistics of return intervals in multifractal data sets. , 2007, Physical review letters.

[36]  Wei-Xing Zhou,et al.  The components of empirical multifractality in financial returns , 2009, 0908.1089.

[37]  Duncan J. Watts,et al.  Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks , 1998, Nature.

[38]  V. Plerou,et al.  Universal and Nonuniversal Properties of Cross Correlations in Financial Time Series , 1999, cond-mat/9902283.

[39]  Chun-Biu Li,et al.  Multiscale complex network of protein conformational fluctuations in single-molecule time series , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[40]  Mark E. J. Newman,et al.  The Structure and Function of Complex Networks , 2003, SIAM Rev..

[41]  J. Bouchaud Economics needs a scientific revolution , 2008, Nature.

[42]  Wei‐Xing Zhou Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[43]  K. Kaski,et al.  Dynamic asset trees and portfolio analysis , 2002, cond-mat/0208131.

[44]  J. Bouchaud,et al.  Theory of financial risks : from statistical physics to risk management , 2000 .

[45]  Wei-Xing Zhou,et al.  Statistical properties of visibility graph of energy dissipation rates in three-dimensional fully developed turbulence , 2009, 0905.1831.

[46]  V. Plerou,et al.  A statistical physics view of financial fluctuations: Evidence for scaling and universality , 2008 .

[47]  H. Eugene Stanley,et al.  Tests of scaling and universality of the distributions of trade size and share volume: evidence from three distinct markets. , 2007 .

[48]  M. Small,et al.  Characterizing pseudoperiodic time series through the complex network approach , 2008 .

[49]  Muhammad Sahimi,et al.  Mapping stochastic processes onto complex networks , 2009 .

[50]  Zhi-Qiang Jiang,et al.  Statistical properties of world investment networks , 2008, 0807.4219.

[51]  Zhi-Qiang Jiang,et al.  Degree distributions of the visibility graphs mapped from fractional Brownian motions and multifractal random walks , 2008, 0812.2099.

[52]  James H. Brown,et al.  The fourth dimension of life: fractal geometry and allometric scaling of organisms. , 1999, Science.

[53]  Rosario N. Mantegna,et al.  Book Review: An Introduction to Econophysics, Correlations, and Complexity in Finance, N. Rosario, H. Mantegna, and H. E. Stanley, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000. , 2000 .

[54]  Jürgen Kurths,et al.  Ambiguities in recurrence-based complex network representations of time series. , 2010, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[55]  Inverse statistics in stock markets: Universality and idiosyncracy , 2004, cond-mat/0410225.

[56]  Emily A. Fogarty,et al.  Visibility network of United States hurricanes , 2009 .

[57]  J. Bouchaud,et al.  Noise Dressing of Financial Correlation Matrices , 1998, cond-mat/9810255.

[58]  Amos Maritan,et al.  Size and form in efficient transportation networks , 1999, Nature.

[59]  W. Duan Universal scaling behaviour in weighted trade networks , 2007 .

[60]  Jürgen Kurths,et al.  Recurrence networks—a novel paradigm for nonlinear time series analysis , 2009, 0908.3447.

[61]  V. Plerou,et al.  Random matrix approach to cross correlations in financial data. , 2001, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.