Prerequisites for transformer lifetime modeling towards a better understanding

The transmission transformer represent a significant asset in the electrical network. The transformer is expensive to manufacture and it is costly to replace. The cost of the transformer replacement is approximately 4 million EURO which is larger than the average component replacement activity. Therefore it is desired to make the replacement both timely and smooth to reduce unnecessary costs. Life time modeling is a tool for achieving such cost efficient replacements.

[1]  Paaf Peter Wouters,et al.  FORECASTING RELIABILITY OF TRANSFORMER POPULATIONS , 2007 .

[2]  Eric R. Ziegel,et al.  System Reliability Theory: Models, Statistical Methods, and Applications , 2004, Technometrics.

[3]  T. Saaty,et al.  The Analytic Hierarchy Process , 1985 .

[4]  A.J. Vandermaar Condition assessment of power transformers , 2008, 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century.

[5]  Anna Franzén,et al.  State of the art - life time modeling and management of transformers , 2007 .

[6]  R. Siregar,et al.  Thermal condition assessment for power transformers operated in tropical condition , 2008, 2008 International Conference on Condition Monitoring and Diagnosis.

[7]  Yili Hong,et al.  Prediction of remaining life of power transformers based on left truncated and right censored lifetime data , 2009, 0908.2901.

[8]  J. Lawless Statistical Models and Methods for Lifetime Data , 2002 .

[9]  J. P. Reynders,et al.  Failures in power system transformers and appropriate monitoring techniques , 1999 .

[10]  P.A.A.F. Wouters,et al.  Forecasting Transformer Reliability , 2006, 2006 IEEE Conference on Electrical Insulation and Dielectric Phenomena.