Retailers' risk management and vertical arrangements in electricity markets

The failure of the asset-light retailer's organizational model is indicative of the incapacity of this organizational structure to manage efficiently the combination of sourcing and market risks in the current market environment. Because of the structural dimensions of electricity's market risks, a retailer's level of risk exposure is unknown ex ante and will only be revealed ex post when consumption is known. In contrast to the “textbook model” of electricity reforms, the paper demonstrates through numerical simulations that in the current market context pure portfolios of contracts are incomplete risk management instruments compared to physical hedging. The latter is critical to overcome the asset-light retailer's curse.

[1]  Paul L. Joskow,et al.  Why do we need electricity retailers?; or, can you get it cheaper wholesale? , 2000 .

[2]  S. Stoft Power System Economics: Designing Markets for Electricity , 2002 .

[3]  Shmuel S. Oren,et al.  Reevaluation of Vertical Integration and Unbundling in Restructured Electricity Markets , 2008 .

[4]  Alicia Troncoso Lora,et al.  Electricity Market Price Forecasting: Neural Networks versus Weighted-Distance k Nearest Neighbours , 2002, DEXA.

[5]  Paul L. Joskow,et al.  Vertical integration and long term contracts : the case of coal burning electric generating plants , 1985 .

[6]  Stephen Littlechild,et al.  Why We Need Electricity Retailers: A Reply to Joskow on Wholesale Spot Price pass-through , 2000 .

[7]  Retail Competition in Electricity: Market Prices Revisited , 2001 .

[8]  H. Geman Commodities and Commodity Derivatives: Modelling and Pricing for Agriculturals, Metals and Energy , 2005 .

[9]  Christophe Defeuilley,et al.  Retail competition in electricity markets , 2009 .

[10]  Scott E. Masten,et al.  Empirical Research in Transaction Cost Economics: Challenges, Progress, Directions , 1996 .

[11]  Peter G. Klein,et al.  Empirical Research in Transaction Cost Economics: A Review and Assessment , 1995 .

[12]  O. Williamson The Vertical Integration of Production: Market Failure Considerations , 1971 .

[13]  G. Walker,et al.  A Transaction Cost Approach to Make-or-Buy Decisions , 1984 .

[14]  Jean-Michel Glachant,et al.  The economics of contracts: Theories and applications , 2002 .

[15]  Daniel F. Spulber Market Microstructure: Intermediaries and the Theory of the Firm , 1999 .

[16]  Stephen Thomas,et al.  The British model in Britain: failing slowly , 2006 .

[17]  Joseph P. Bailey,et al.  Intermediation and electronic markets: aggregation and pricing in Internet commerce , 1998 .

[18]  E. Anderson,et al.  Forward contracts in electricity markets: The Australian experience , 2007 .

[19]  Benjamin Klein,et al.  The Role of Incomplete Contracts in Self-Enforcing Relationships , 2000 .

[20]  T. Dillon,et al.  Electricity price short-term forecasting using artificial neural networks , 1999 .

[21]  J. Contreras,et al.  Forecasting next-day electricity prices by time series models , 2002 .

[22]  H. Huntington,et al.  Designing Competitive Electricity Markets , 2012 .

[23]  S. Hunt,et al.  Making Competition Work in Electricity , 2002 .

[24]  Frank A. Wolak,et al.  Regulating Competition in Wholesale Electricity Supply , 2014 .

[25]  O. Williamson,et al.  The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting. , 1986, American Political Science Review.

[26]  Kai-Uwe Kuhn,et al.  Bilateral Market Power and Vertical Integration in the Spanish Electricity Spot Market , 2004 .

[27]  O. Williamson The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting , 1985 .

[28]  J. Hull Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 1989 .

[29]  M. Pavaskar Theory of price of storage. , 2010 .

[30]  Stéphane Saussier,et al.  Économie des coûts de transaction , 2007 .

[31]  Thomas Gehrig,et al.  Intermediation in Search Markets , 1993 .

[32]  B. Klein,et al.  Vertical Integration, Appropriable Rents, and the Competitive Contracting Process , 1978, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[33]  M. Whinston,et al.  Robust Predictions for Bilateral Contracting with Externalities , 2003 .

[34]  H. Hansmann,et al.  The Ownership of Enterprise , 1996 .

[35]  Philippe Jorion Value at Risk , 2001 .

[36]  J. Contreras,et al.  Forecasting Next-Day Electricity Prices by Time Series Models , 2002, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[37]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Investment Under Uncertainty. , 1994 .

[38]  Steven C. Hackett,et al.  A comparative analysis of merchant and broker intermediation , 1992 .

[39]  Michael D. Whinston,et al.  On the Transaction Cost Determinants of Vertical Integration , 2003 .

[40]  Stephen Littlechild,et al.  Competition in Retail Electricity Supply , 2002 .

[41]  S. Hunt,et al.  Competition and Choice in Electricity , 1996 .

[42]  R. Coase,et al.  The Problem of Social Cost , 1960, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[43]  James Bushnell,et al.  Vertical Arrangements, Market Structure, and Competition: An Analysis of Restructured U.S. Electricity Markets , 2005 .