Modeling the possible impact of increased CO2 and temperature on soil water balance, crop yield and soil erosion

Abstract A modeling approach was utilized to investigate the impact of increased atmospheric CO2 and temperature on water balance, crop production, plant growth, and soil erosion. For the given scenario and the site tested, the increase of temperature resulted in a significant increase of ET, reduction of soybean canopy cover and yield, a slight increase in soil loss, and a reduction in soil moisture. However, the increase of atmospheric CO2 resulted in significant increase of crop yield and canopy cover, a slight reduction of ET, and a slight reduction of daily root zone soil moisture, storm runoff, and water induced soil erosion of the corn field.

[1]  John R. Williams,et al.  A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: Part I--Modification of the EPIC model for climate change analysis , 1992 .

[2]  S. Manabe,et al.  Reduction in Summer Soil Wetness Induced by an Increase in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide , 1986, Science.

[3]  Roger M. Gifford,et al.  Growth and Yield of CO2-Enriched Wheat Under Water-Limited Conditions , 1979 .

[4]  J. Monteith Climate and the efficiency of crop production in Britain , 1977 .

[5]  H. Meidner,et al.  Compensation Points and Carbon Dioxide Enrichment for Lettuce Grown Under Glass in Winter , 1967 .

[6]  H. L. Penman Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass , 1948, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences.

[7]  James R. Ehleringer,et al.  Quantum Yields for CO2 Uptake in C3 and C4 Plants: Dependence on Temperature, CO2, and O2 Concentration , 1977 .

[8]  T. Wigley,et al.  Influences of precipitation changes and direct CO2 effects on streamflow , 1985, Nature.

[9]  A. R. Aston,et al.  The effect of doubling atmospheric CO2 on streamflow: A simulation , 1984 .

[10]  R. Blanchet,et al.  Radiation-use efficiency in biomass accumulation prior to grain-filling for five grain-crop species , 1989 .

[11]  Marvin E. Jensen,et al.  Operational estimates of reference evapotranspiration , 1989 .

[12]  C. Rosenzweig Potential CO2-induced climate effects on North American wheat-producing regions , 1985 .

[13]  G. Russell,et al.  The impact of global warming on river runoff , 1992 .

[14]  Shu Tung Chu,et al.  Infiltration during an unsteady rain , 1978 .

[15]  D. N. Moss,et al.  Differential Stomatal Response Between C3 and C4 Species to Atmospheric CO2 Concentration and Light1 , 1972 .

[16]  Cara Wilson,et al.  A doubled CO2 climate sensitivity experiment with a global climate model including a simple ocean , 1987 .

[17]  S. Schneider,et al.  The Greenhouse Effect: Science and Policy , 1989, Science.

[18]  M. R. Savabi,et al.  Application of WEPP and GIS-GRASS to a small watershed in Indiana , 1995 .

[19]  R M Gifford,et al.  Stomatal sensitivity to carbon dioxide and humidity: a comparison of two c(3) and two c(4) grass species. , 1983, Plant physiology.

[20]  B. Kimball Carbon Dioxide and Agricultural Yield: An Assemblage and Analysis of 430 Prior Observations1 , 1983 .

[21]  J. Monteith Evaporation and environment. , 1965, Symposia of the Society for Experimental Biology.

[22]  G. Meehl,et al.  Seasonal cycle experiment on the climate sensitivity due to a doubling of CO2 with an atmospheric general circulation model coupled to a simple mixed‐layer ocean model , 1984 .

[23]  C. A. Jones,et al.  Epic - a Model for Assessing the Effects of Erosion on Soil Productivity1 , 1983 .

[24]  S. Idso,et al.  Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations may increase streamflow , 1984, Nature.

[25]  S. Wittwer Future Technological Advances in Agriculture and Their Impact on the Regulatory Environment , 1979 .