A Study of Time Series Prediction Method in Heat Supply Control

This paper presents the application of heating load prediction and predictive control in the heat supply system for energy saving and high grade heat supply.First,it introduces time series analysis principle.Then,heating load and model error prediction are given by this principle.The load forecast is used as set point of heat supply system,and model error is used as corrected value of predictive control.Finally,the application of two prediction methods in heat supply system and simulation result are given.