The Effect of Renewable Energy Generation on the Electric Power Spot Price of the Japan Electric Power Exchange

This study aims to explore the relationship between renewable energies and the electric power spot price of the Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX). By using panel data analysis and proxy modeling, this work attempts to estimate how renewable energies (displayed through the proxies) and other factors influence the electric power spot price in Japan. Based on an analysis of the estimations, some policy implications have been proposed, such as to incorporate weather information into the price forecast, or to provide a guide to more effectively transact on the JEPX.

[1]  Wind power feed-in impact on electricity prices in Germany 2009-2013 , 2016 .

[2]  Chi-Keung Woo,et al.  The impact of wind generation on the electricity spot-market price level and variance: The Texas experience , 2011 .

[3]  M. Obersteiner,et al.  Forecasting electricity spot-prices using linear univariate time-series models , 2004 .

[4]  Rafał Weron,et al.  Short-term electricity price forecasting with time series models: A review and evaluation , 2006 .

[5]  J. E. Payne,et al.  Short term forecasting of electricity prices for MISO hubs: Evidence from ARIMA-EGARCH models , 2008 .

[6]  Stine Grenaa Jensen,et al.  Interactions between the power and green certificate markets , 2002 .

[7]  Alexander Zipp The marketability of variable renewable energy in liberalized electricity markets – An empirical analysis , 2017 .

[8]  N. Ayoub,et al.  Governmental intervention approaches to promote renewable energies—Special emphasis on Japanese feed-in tariff , 2012 .

[9]  R. Weron,et al.  Forecasting spot electricity prices: A comparison of parametric and semiparametric time series models , 2008 .

[10]  Changes in electricity spot price formation in Germany caused by a high share of renewable energies , 2014 .

[11]  T. Kristiansen Forecasting Nord Pool day-ahead prices with an autoregressive model , 2012 .

[12]  Pedro Linares,et al.  An ex-post analysis of the effect of renewables and cogeneration on Spanish electricity prices , 2011 .

[13]  J. Contreras,et al.  ARIMA Models to Predict Next-Day Electricity Prices , 2002, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[14]  T. Schmidt,et al.  Japan's post-Fukushima Challenge - Implications from the German Experience on Renewable Energy Policy , 2012 .

[15]  R. Weron,et al.  Point and Interval Forecasting of Spot Electricity Prices: Linear vs. Non-Linear Time Series Models , 2006 .

[16]  Tassilo Schuster,et al.  Competitive advantage of German renewable energy firms in India and China , 2012 .