Diagnosis of acute abdominal pain in the accident and emergency department

This paper reports the findings in a study involving 1537 patients with ‘acute abdominal pain’ presenting over a 13‐month period to the Accident and Emergency Department of the General Infirmary at Leeds. Of these, 341 patients who proved to have pain of greater duration than a week, pain incidental to some other identifiable condition or no pain at the time of their attendance were excluded. The remaining 1196 were diagnosed clinically (using a structured case sheet) and subsequently by a Bayesian computer system. Feedback of the results of clinical and computer systems was given to clinicians at regular intervals. Clinical diagnostic accuracy in patients with surgical disorders rose from 40 per cent before the study to 61 per cent. Computer accuracy in these patients was 69·9 per cent. The proportion of patients sent home without ill effects rose from 20 per cent to 39 per cent. In other areas (e.g. gynaecology) the effects were less marked. It is suggested that the introduction of a simple postgraduate educational service, aided by a small computer, might prove of practical benefit in this clinical situation.