Fuzzy information processing by the Monte Carlo simulation technique

Abstract This paper presents a new method utilizing the Monte Carlo simulation technique for processing fuzzy information. The method was primarily developed for determining the weighted average of a group of ratings that are represented by fuzzy subsets. By generating a uniform random number, normalizing it with respect to the maximum functional value of the cumulative membership function, and then equating the normalized uniform random number to the cumulative function F(x), a value x can be back-calculated for each fuzzy subset. The resulting value x is a random number representing that fuzzy subset. The weighted average was then calculated with these random numbers. The first through fourth moment parameters were obtained and used to fit the random values of the weighted average with a beta distribution. By normalizing the curve-fitted beta distribution function with respect to its maximum functional value, the membership function of the final fuzzy subset was obtained. Comparison is made between the ...

[1]  Kumares C. Sinha,et al.  A fuzzy set approach for bridge traffic safety evaluation1 , 1990 .

[2]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  The Concepts of a Linguistic Variable and its Application to Approximate Reasoning , 1975 .

[3]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Ranking fuzzy numbers in the setting of possibility theory , 1983, Inf. Sci..

[4]  G. Bortolan,et al.  A review of some methods for ranking fuzzy subsets , 1985 .

[5]  Haresh C. Shah,et al.  Fuzzy information processing in seismic hazard analysis and decision making , 1987 .

[6]  C. H. Juang,et al.  A fuzzy system for bid proposal evaluation using microcomputers , 1987 .

[7]  Kurt J. Schmucker,et al.  Fuzzy Sets, Natural Language Computations, and Risk Analysis , 1983 .

[8]  D J Elton,et al.  ASPHALT PAVEMENT EVALUATION USING FUZZY SETS , 1988 .

[9]  Milton E. Harr,et al.  Reliability-Based Design in Civil Engineering , 1987 .

[10]  Huibert Kwakernaak,et al.  Rating and ranking of multiple-aspect alternatives using fuzzy sets , 1976, Autom..

[11]  J. Baldwin,et al.  Comparison of fuzzy sets on the same decision space , 1979 .

[12]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  A procedure for ordering fuzzy subsets of the unit interval , 1981, Inf. Sci..

[13]  F. S. Wong,et al.  Fuzzy weighted averages and implementation of the extension principle , 1987 .

[14]  C. Hsein Juang A Performance Index for the Unified Rock Classification System , 1990 .

[15]  Peter W. Mullarkey,et al.  Fuzzy logic in a geotechnical knowledge-based system: CONE , 1986 .