건설 프로젝트에서 리스크 분석을 통한 의사결정 모델에 관한 연구

The Purpose of this study is to make a Reasonable Decision Making Model using DPL Program which used value and chance nodes. It has classified Risk Factors and is organized logically. There are two kinds of Risk Factors which have Quantitative and Qualitative Characters. To make an effective Feasibility analyzing model, Each Risk Factors has an range value. The Results of DPL simulation which are used by Probability Distributions gives support to make the best Decisions in Feasibility analysis. It is very important to make the best Decisions for Owners and Contractors in the beginning stage of any Construction Projects. Therefore, This paper suggests an effective Decision Making Method including Risk Factors which has Concept of Probability and Distribution.