Inappropriate Pooling of Wealthy and Poor Countries in Empirical FDI Studies

This paper examines the question of whether less-developed countries' (LDCs') experiences with foreign direct investment (FDI) systematically different from those of developed countries (DCs). We do this by examining three types of empirical FDI studies that typically do not distinguish between LDCs and DCs in their analysis. First, we find that the underlying factors that determine the location of FDI activity across countries vary systematically across LDCs and DCs in a way that is not captured by current empirical models of FDI. Second, the effect of FDI on economic growth is one that is only supported for LDCs in the aggregate data, not DCs. Third, the evidence suggests that FDI is much less likely to crowd out (more likely to crowd in) domestic investment for LDCs than DCs.

[1]  Gordon H. Hanson,et al.  Vertical Production Networks in Multinational Firms , 2003, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[2]  S. Shapiro,et al.  An Analysis of Variance Test for Normality (Complete Samples) , 1965 .

[3]  M. Pesaran,et al.  Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach—A Comment , 1998 .

[4]  Jong-Il Choe Do Foreign Direct Investment and Gross Domestic Investment Promote Economic Growth? , 2003 .

[5]  Ann E. Harrison,et al.  Does Direct Foreign Investment Affect Domestic Firms&Apos; Credit Constraints? , 2001 .

[6]  M. Carkovic,et al.  Does Foreign Direct Investment Accelerate Economic Growth? , 2002 .

[7]  Eduardo Borensztein,et al.  How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth , 1994 .

[8]  Elhanan Helpman,et al.  A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations , 1984, Journal of Political Economy.

[9]  K. Sauvant World Investment Report , 1999 .

[10]  David Sapsford,et al.  Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in EP and IS Countries , 1996 .

[11]  R. Barro,et al.  International Measures of Schooling Years and Schooling Quality , 1996 .

[12]  J. B. Ramsey,et al.  Tests for Specification Errors in Classical Linear Least‐Squares Regression Analysis , 1969 .

[13]  F. Smets,et al.  Essays on foreign direct investment , 1999 .

[14]  J. Markusen,et al.  A Unified Treatment of Horizontal Direct Investment, Vertical Direct Investment, and the Pattern of Trade in Goods and Services , 1996 .

[15]  J. Markusen,et al.  MULTINATIONALS, MULTI-PLANT ECONOMIES, AND THE GAINS FROM TRADE , 1984, World Scientific Studies in International Economics.

[16]  X. Sala-i-Martin,et al.  I Just Ran Four Million Regressions , 1997 .

[17]  N. Islam Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach—A Reply , 1998 .

[18]  R. Levine,et al.  A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions , 1991 .

[19]  R. Summers,et al.  The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1987 , 1991 .

[20]  Stephen Ross Yeaple,et al.  The Role of Skill Endowments in the Structure of U.S. Outward Foreign Direct Investment , 2003, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[21]  Bruce A. Blonigen,et al.  Estimating the Knowledge-Capital Model of the Multinational Enterprise: Comment , 2002 .

[22]  S. Lael Brainard An Empirical Assessment of the Proximity-Concentration Tradeoff between Multinational Sales and Trade , 1993 .

[23]  S. Yeaple The complex integration strategies of multinationals and cross country dependencies in the structure of foreign direct investment , 2003 .

[24]  Bruce A. Blonigen,et al.  The Effects of Bilateral Tax Treaties on U.S. FDI Activity , 2000 .

[25]  X. Sala-i-Martin,et al.  I Just Ran Two Million Regressions , 1997 .

[26]  J. Markusen Trade Versus Investment Liberalization , 1997 .

[27]  Nazrul Islam,et al.  Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach , 1995 .