Similar meltwater contributions to glacial sea level changes from Antarctic and northern ice sheets

The period between 75,000 and 20,000 years ago was characterized by high variability in climate and sea level. Southern Ocean records of ice-rafted debris suggest a significant contribution to the sea level changes from melt water of Antarctic origin, in addition to likely contributions from northern ice sheets, but the relative volumes of melt water from northern and southern sources have yet to be established. Here we simulate the first-order impact of a range of relative meltwater releases from the two polar regions on the distribution of marine oxygen isotopes, using an intermediate complexity model. By comparing our simulations with oxygen isotope data from sediment cores, we infer that the contributions from Antarctica and the northern ice sheets to the documented sea level rises between 65,000 and 35,000 years ago were approximately equal, each accounting for a rise of about 15 m. The reductions in Antarctic ice volume implied by our analysis are comparable to that inferred previously for the Antarctic contribution to meltwater pulse 1A (refs 16, 17), which occurred about 14,200 years ago, during the last deglaciation.

[1]  S. Rahmstorf Rapid climate transitions in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model , 1994, Nature.

[2]  James D. Annan,et al.  An efficient climate forecasting method using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the ensemble Kalman filter , 2004 .

[3]  Stefan Rahmstorf,et al.  Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model , 2001, Nature.

[4]  P. Mayewski,et al.  On the timing and mechanism of millennial-scale climate variability during the last glacial cycle , 2003 .

[5]  J. Jouzel,et al.  Evidence for general instability of past climate from a 250-kyr ice-core record , 1993, Nature.

[6]  Elsa Cortijo,et al.  Millennial‐scale iceberg discharges in the Irminger Basin during the Last Glacial Period: Relationship with the Heinrich events and environmental settings , 1998 .

[7]  S. Hemming,et al.  Heinrich events: Massive late Pleistocene detritus layers of the North Atlantic and their global climate imprint , 2004 .

[8]  W. Peltier,et al.  Ice Age Paleotopography , 1994, Science.

[9]  S. Rahmstorf Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to changes in the hydrological cycle , 1995, Nature.

[10]  L. Labeyrie,et al.  Benthic δ18O records in the North Atlantic over the Last Glacial Period (60–10 kyr): Evidence for brine formation , 1998 .

[11]  H. Oeschger,et al.  Greenland Ice Core: Geophysics, Geochemistry, and the Environment , 1985 .

[12]  M. Schulz,et al.  340,000-Year Centennial-Scale Marine Record of Southern Hemisphere Climatic Oscillation , 2003, Science.

[13]  N. Shackleton,et al.  Phase relationships between millennial‐scale events 64,000–24,000 years ago , 2000 .

[14]  J. Jouzel,et al.  Comparison of oxygen isotope records from the GISP2 and GRIP Greenland ice cores , 1993, Nature.

[15]  Neil R. Edwards,et al.  Bifurcations of the thermohaline circulation in a simplified three-dimensional model of the world ocean and the effects of inter-basin connectivity , 2002 .

[16]  T. Stocker,et al.  Asynchrony of Antarctic and Greenland climate change during the last glacial period , 1998, Nature.

[17]  M. Hald,et al.  Variation in surface and deep water circulation in the Denmark Strait, North Atlantic, during marine isotope stages 3 and 2 , 2002 .

[18]  G. Burr,et al.  Rapid sea-level fall and deep-ocean temperature change since the last interglacial period , 2003 .

[19]  Richard G. Fairbanks,et al.  Climate connections between the hemisphere revealed by deep sea sediment core/ice core correlations , 1996 .

[20]  Stefan Rahmstorf,et al.  Timing of abrupt climate change: A precise clock , 2003 .

[21]  John B. Anderson,et al.  The Antarctic Ice Sheet during the Last Glacial Maximum and its subsequent retreat history: a review , 2002 .

[22]  Robert Marsh,et al.  Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model , 2005 .

[23]  M. Siddall,et al.  Sea-level fluctuations during the last glacial cycle , 2003, Nature.

[24]  Philippe Huybrechts,et al.  Sea-level changes at the LGM from ice-dynamic reconstructions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the glacial cycles , 2002 .

[25]  R. Zahn,et al.  Millennial‐scale sea surface temperature variability in the western tropical North Atlantic from planktonic foraminiferal census counts , 2000 .

[26]  Wallace S. Broecker,et al.  Abrupt climate change: causal constraints provided by the paleoclimate record , 2000 .

[27]  F. Sirocko,et al.  The low-latitude monsoon climate during Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles and Heinrich Events , 2000 .

[28]  P. Clark,et al.  Sea-Level Fingerprinting as a Direct Test for the Source of Global Meltwater Pulse IA , 2002, Science.

[29]  Antje H L Voelker,et al.  Global distribution of centennial-scale records for Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3: a database , 2001 .

[30]  T. Welton,et al.  Molecular states of water in room temperature ionic liquids , 2001 .

[31]  R. Lynden-Bell,et al.  A Simulation Study of Water−Dialkylimidazolium Ionic Liquid Mixtures , 2003 .

[32]  James D. Annan,et al.  Parameter estimation in an intermediate complexity earth system model using an ensemble Kalman filter , 2005 .

[33]  T. Guilderson,et al.  Millennial-scale instability of the antarctic ice sheet during the last glaciation , 2000, Science.

[34]  Gerold Wefer,et al.  Link between the North and South Atlantic during the Heinrich events of the last glacial period , 1999 .

[35]  M. Sarnthein,et al.  Radiocarbon Levels in the Iceland Sea from 25–53 kyr and their Link to the Earth's Magnetic Field Intensity , 2000, Radiocarbon.

[36]  E. Cortijo,et al.  Zooming in on Heinrich layers , 2001 .

[37]  G. Denton,et al.  Reconstructing the Antarctic Ice Sheet at the Last Glacial Maximum. , 2002 .

[38]  C. Summerhayes,et al.  Trade wind forcing of upwelling, seasonally, and Heinrich events as a response to sub‐Milankovitch climate variability , 1997 .

[39]  J. M. Bennett,et al.  The structure of calcined ALPO4-41: A new framework topology containing one-dimensional 10-ring pores , 1994 .

[40]  E. Jansen,et al.  Rapid changes in the mechanism of ocean convection during the last glacial period , 1999, Nature.

[41]  R. Röthlisberger,et al.  A late-glacial high-resolution site and source temperature record derived from the EPICA Dome C isotope records (East Antarctica) , 2004 .

[42]  A minimum thermodynamic model for the bipolar seesaw , 2003 .

[43]  Marika M. Holland,et al.  The UVic earth system climate model: Model description, climatology, and applications to past, present and future climates , 2001, Data, Models and Analysis.

[44]  W. Hibler A Dynamic Thermodynamic Sea Ice Model , 1979 .

[45]  A. Weaver,et al.  Meltwater Pulse 1A from Antarctica as a Trigger of the Bølling-Allerød Warm Interval , 2003, Science.

[46]  Jacek Klinowski,et al.  Systematic enumeration of crystalline networks , 1999, Nature.

[47]  A. Semtner A MODEL FOR THE THERMODYNAMIC GROWTH OF SEA ICE IN NUMERICAL INVESTIGATIONS OF CLIMATE , 1975 .

[48]  T. L. Rasmussen,et al.  Deep sea records from the southeast Labrador Sea: Ocean circulation changes and ice-rafting events during the last 160,000 years , 2003 .

[49]  T. Stocker,et al.  Atmospheric CO2 concentration from 60 to 20 kyr BP from the Taylor Dome Ice Core, Antarctica , 2000 .

[50]  G. Voth,et al.  On the Structure and Dynamics of Ionic Liquids , 2004 .