Integrated framework for earthquake consequences management

Purpose – The aim of this paper is to link earthquake probabilistic and deterministic risk assessment with the decision‐making process in order to implement policies, plans, and procedures to prevent or reduce human and monetary losses.Design/methodology/approach – This study suggests an integrated framework for earthquake consequences management. The framework consists of an earthquake consequences model, value analysis, and socio‐economic analysis, as well as dynamic integration for implementing strategies, policies, and plans.Findings – The developed integrated framework for earthquake consequences management could be used for a study area, especially in developing countries in which human and capital resources are limited.Research limitations/implications – There is a need to have different case studies to demonstrate how the integrated framework for earthquake consequence management could reduce human and monetary losses due to earthquakes for a study area.Originality/value – It is important to consi...

[1]  M. Ghil,et al.  Natural disasters impacting a macroeconomic model with endogenous dynamics , 2008 .

[2]  Julian J. Bommer,et al.  Modelling liquefaction-induced building damage in earthquake loss estimation , 2006 .

[3]  Aiping Tang,et al.  An intelligent simulation system for earthquake disaster assessment , 2009, Comput. Geosci..

[4]  S. Hallegatte,et al.  Can natural disasters have positive consequences? Investigating the role of embodied technical change , 2009 .

[5]  S A Ergonul A probabilistic approach for earthquake loss estimation , 2005 .

[6]  D. Keefer,et al.  Evaluation of CAMEL — comprehensive areal model of earthquake-induced landslides , 2009 .

[7]  Ilan Noy The macroeconomic consequences of disasters , 2009 .

[8]  Bruce R. Ellingwood,et al.  Earthquake risk assessment of building structures , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[9]  Valerio Cozzani,et al.  Development of a framework for the risk assessment of Na-Tech accidental events , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[10]  J. C. de la Llera,et al.  An integrated model for earthquake risk assessment of buildings , 2002 .

[11]  Jock R. Anderson Risk in rural development: challenges for managers and policy makers , 2003 .

[12]  Ernesto Salzano,et al.  Risk assessment and early warning systems for industrial facilities in seismic zones , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[13]  Fuchu Dai,et al.  Landslide risk assessment and management: an overview , 2002 .

[14]  Sadik Oztoprak,et al.  An integrated earthquake damage assessment methodology and its application for two districts in Istanbul, Turkey , 2007 .

[15]  John R. Harrald,et al.  Sensitivity of earthquake loss estimation model: how useful are the predictions , 2003 .

[16]  M. Skidmore Risk, natural disasters, and household savings in a life cycle model , 2001 .

[17]  Chung-Hung Tsai,et al.  An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessment information for the tourism industry-a case study from the island of Taiwan , 2010 .

[18]  Stavros A. Anagnostopoulos,et al.  SEISMOCARE: An efficient GIS tool for scenario-type investigations of seismic risk of existing cities , 2008 .

[19]  Nejat Anbarci,et al.  Earthquake Fatalities: The Interaction of Nature and Political Economy , 2005 .

[20]  M. Skidmore,et al.  Economic Development and the Impacts of Natural Disasters , 2007 .

[21]  E. E. F. d'Albe,et al.  An approach to earthquake risk management , 1982 .

[22]  Amr S. Elnashai,et al.  A simplified framework for probabilistic earthquake loss estimation , 2010 .