论文信息 - Long term perspectives of the U.S. energy demand: Application of the MEDEE 2 model to the U.S.☆

Long term perspectives of the U.S. energy demand: Application of the MEDEE 2 model to the U.S.☆

This paper gives a brief outline of a model, MEDEE 2, designed to evaluate the long term energy demand of a country and describes how it has been applied to the United States. The energy demand projections were carried out for the years 1985 and 2000 based upon three scenarios. According to these scenarios, the final energy demand will grow from 60 quads in 1975 to a value between 76 and 88 quads in 2000 (a quad is very close to 1018 joules), which implies a growth of the per capita energy demand from 10 kW to a value between 10.8 and 12.5 in 2000.

Bruno Lapillonne | B. Lapillonne

[1] S. Clark,et al. Patterns of energy consumption in the United States , 1971 .

[2] M. Thring. World Energy Outlook , 1977 .

[3] B. Chateau,et al. The medee models for long term energy demand forecasting , 1981 .

[4] Eric Hirst,et al. Historical patterns of residential and commercial energy uses , 1976 .

[5] B. Lapillonne,et al. MEDEE 2: A Model for Long-Term Energy Demand Evaluation , 1978 .

[6] D. Gately. Energy demand studies: Major consuming countries: Edited by Paul S. Basile. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1976 , 1979 .