Fiscal Stabilisation and Emu

This paper builds on the papers published by HM Treasury in 2003 alongside the UK Government's assessment of the case for EMU entry. The paper considers the potential for fiscal policy to play a greater role in stabilisation policy if the UK were inside EMU. The paper considers: the scope for strengthening the automatic stabilisers and the possible trade-offs; how institutional changes could increase the effectiveness of discretionary fiscal policy; which fiscal instruments might be most effective; and to what extent stabilisation might be promoted in other ways, such as through enhanced risk sharing by financial markets. (JEL E62, E63)

[1]  J. Keynes The General Theory of Employment , 1937 .

[2]  Michael Waldman,et al.  Antitrust Perspectives for Durable-Goods Markets , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[3]  Klaus Abberger,et al.  Nonparametric Regression and the Detection of Turning Points in the Ifo Business Climate , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[4]  Richard Schmalensee,et al.  A Survey of the Economic Role of Software Platforms in Computer-Based Industries , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[5]  Amihai Glazer,et al.  Optimal Incentive Contracts for a Worker Who Envies His Boss , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[6]  W. E. Martin,et al.  Will Stability Last? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[7]  Ludger Schuknecht The Implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact , 2002 .

[8]  J. Bishop,et al.  Educational Reform and Disadvantaged Students: Are They Better Off or Worse Off? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[9]  R. Serrano,et al.  Market Power and Information Revelation in Dynamic Trading , 2002, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[10]  Patrick Waelbroeck,et al.  An Economist's Guide to Digital Music , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[11]  Thomas Moutos,et al.  Monopoly, Inequality and Redistribution Via the Public Provision of Private Goods , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Jakob de Haan,et al.  Asymmetric Monetary Transmission in Emu: The Robustness of VAR Conclusions and Cecchetti's Legal Family Theory , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  Mario Jametti,et al.  Disaster Insurance or a Disastrous Insurance - Natural Disaster Insurance in France , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[14]  D. Vines,et al.  Monetary Union: Fiscal Stabilization in the Face of Asymmetric Shocks , 2004 .

[15]  J. Moraga-González,et al.  Strategic Wage Setting and Coordination Frictions with Multiple Applications , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[16]  Ludger Woessmann,et al.  The Effect Heterogeneity of Central Exams: Evidence from Timss, Timss-Repeat and PISA , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  John Y. Campbell,et al.  The response of consumption to income: A cross-country investigation☆ , 1991 .

[18]  Jan C. van Ours,et al.  How Changes in Financial Incentives Affect the Duration of Unemployment , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[19]  M. Pesaran,et al.  A Pair-Wise Approach to Testing for Output and Growth Convergence , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[20]  C. Carroll Codes for A Theory of the Consumption Function, With and Without Liquidity Constraints , 2001 .

[21]  R. Barrell,et al.  Choosing the regime: macroeconomic effects of UK entry into EMU , 2000 .

[22]  M. Reder The New Financial Order , 2004, The Journal of Economic History.

[23]  Ayal Kimhi,et al.  Growth, Inequality and Labor Markets in Ldcs: A Survey , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[24]  Nicholas S. Souleles The Response of Household Consumption to Income Tax Refunds , 1999 .

[25]  Ludger Woessmann The effect heterogeneity of central examinations: evidence from TIMSS, TIMSS‐Repeat and PISA , 2005 .

[26]  Frederic S. Mishkin,et al.  Inflation Targeting in Transition Countries: Experience and Prospects , 2003 .

[27]  David S. Evans,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of Bundling and Tying: Over-the-Counter Pain Relief and Cold Medicines , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[28]  Robert E. Hall Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption , 1988 .

[29]  Michael Woodford,et al.  Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear-Quadratic Approach , 2003, NBER Macroeconomics Annual.

[30]  P. Minford,et al.  Britain and Emu: Assessing the Costs in Macroeconomic Variability , 2004 .

[31]  Lutz Hendricks Why Does Educational Attainment Differ Across U.S. States? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[32]  A. Blundell-Wignall,et al.  Financial Liberalization and the Permanent Income Hypothesis , 1995 .

[33]  John B. Taylor,et al.  Journal of Economic Perspectives-Volume 14, h7umber3-Summer 2000-Pages 21-36 Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy , 2022 .

[34]  Lars E. O. Svensson,et al.  Open-Economy Inflation Targeting , 1997 .

[35]  Julio J. Rotemberg,et al.  An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy , 1997, NBER Macroeconomics Annual.

[36]  Gordon S. Brown,et al.  Reforming Britain's economic and financial policy : towards greater economic stability , 2002 .

[37]  C. Bean The New UK Monetary Arrangements: A View from the Literature , 1998 .

[38]  P. Westaway Modelling shocks and adjustment mechanisms in EMU , 2003 .

[39]  Marc-Andreas Muendler,et al.  The Existence of Informationally Efficient Markets When Individuals are Rational , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[40]  J. Temple,et al.  Dualism and cross-country growth regressions , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[41]  M. Pagano,et al.  Consumption and Capital Market Imperfection: An International Comparison , 1988 .

[42]  Alfredo Schclarek,et al.  Consumption and Keynesian Fiscal Policy , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[43]  W. Richter,et al.  Efficiency effects of tax deductions for work-related expenses , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[44]  C. García-Peñalosa,et al.  Redistribution and Occupational Choice in a Schumpeterian Growth Model , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[45]  Laurence J. Kotlikoff,et al.  Fertility, Mortality, and the Developed World's Demographic Transition , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[46]  Attila Ambrus,et al.  Network Markets and Consumer Coordination , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[47]  E. Sheshinski,et al.  Optimal Pricing, Inflation, and the Cost of Price Adjustment , 1993 .

[48]  Maria De Paola,et al.  Market Failures and the Under-Provision of Training , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[49]  Michael Wickens,et al.  Macroeconomic Sources of Risk in the Term Structure , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[50]  P. Noord The Size and Role of Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers in the 1990s and Beyond , 2000 .

[51]  Jay Pil Choi,et al.  Antitrust Analysis of Tying Arrangements , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[52]  Jens Josephson,et al.  Long-Run Selection and the Work Ethic , 2004 .

[53]  Government Size and Automatic Stabilizers: International and Intranational Evidence , 2001 .

[54]  B. Babić,et al.  Inflation Differentials in the Euro Area , 2003 .

[55]  Steven Brakman,et al.  The impact of newspapers on consumer confidence: does spin bias exist? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[56]  Matti Tuomala,et al.  Non-Welfarist Optimal Taxation and Behavioural Public Economics , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[57]  Ray Barrell,et al.  Benchmarks and targets under the SGP; evaluating safe deficit targets and automatic stabilisers using NiGEM , 2004 .

[58]  M. Shapiro,et al.  Consumer Response to the Timing of Income: Evidence from a Change in Tax Withholding , 1993 .

[59]  Georg Götz,et al.  Market Concentration and Product Variety under Spatial Competition: Evidence from Retail Gasoline , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[60]  R. Barrell,et al.  Estimating Fiscal Multipliers in Europe , 2004 .

[61]  H. Ursprung,et al.  Political Repression and Child Labour: Theory and Empirical Evidence , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[62]  M. Pesaran Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[63]  G. Calvo Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework , 1983 .

[64]  M. Friedman,et al.  Theory of the Consumption Function , 1957 .

[65]  G. Corsetti Report on the European Economy , 2004 .

[66]  Elmar Wolfstetter,et al.  Immediate demand reduction in simultaneous ascending-bid auctions: a uniqueness result , 2004 .

[67]  Gabe J. de Bondt,et al.  Credit Channels and Consumption in Europe: Empirical Evidence , 1999 .

[68]  Kerstin Schneider,et al.  Teacher Quality and Incentives: Theoretical and Empirical Effects of Standards on Teacher Quality , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[69]  Jan Keith,et al.  WORKINGS OF THE MELTING POT : SOCIAL NETWORKS AND THE EVOLUTION OF POPULATION ATTRIBUTES , 2004 .

[70]  M. Bordo The United States as a Monetary Union and the Euro: A Historical Perspective , 2004 .

[71]  Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World , 2005 .

[72]  M. Pagano,et al.  Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience , 1995 .

[73]  William Easterly,et al.  Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation , 1993 .

[74]  P. Noord,et al.  What is the impact of tax and welfare reforms on fiscal stabilisers? A simple model and an application to EMU , 2003 .

[75]  Sheilagh Ogilvie,et al.  The Use and Abuse of Trust: Social Capital and its Deployment by Early Modern Guilds , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[76]  Kurt Schmidheiny,et al.  Income Segregation and Local Progressive Taxation: Empirical Evidence from Switzerland , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[77]  Graeme Roy,et al.  Fiscal Federalism, Fiscal Consolidations and Cuts in Central Government Grants: Evidence from an Event Study , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[78]  Alan V. Deardorff,et al.  Who Makes the Rules of Globalization? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[79]  Josef Honerkamp,et al.  Earlier or Later: A General Equilibrium Analysis of Bringing Forward an Already Announced Tax Reform , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[80]  Volker Grossmann,et al.  Institutions and Development: The Interaction Between Trade Regime and Political System , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[81]  Lars E. O. Svensson,et al.  NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MONETARY POLICY AND REAL STABILIZATION , 2002 .

[82]  Burton Crane What Goes up Can Come Down , 1961 .

[83]  Paolo Surico,et al.  Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[84]  Ludger Woessmann,et al.  Computers and Student Learning: Bivariate and Multivariate Evidence on the Availability and Use of Computers at Home and at School , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[85]  Katherine Cuff,et al.  Capital Tax Competition with Heterogeneous Firms and Agglomeration Effects , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[86]  Lars P. Feld,et al.  Do Large Cabinets Favor Large Governments? Evidence from Swiss Sub-Federal Jurisdictions , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[87]  Shim Young,et al.  The Permanent Income Hypothesis , 1992 .

[88]  Erkki Koskela,et al.  Does Risk Aversion Accelerate Optimal Forest Rotation Under Uncertainty? , 2004 .

[89]  R. Barrell,et al.  Benchmarks and Targets Under the SGP: Evaluating Safe Deficit Targets Using NiGEM , 2003, National Institute Economic Review.

[90]  R. Lucas Inflation and Welfare , 2000 .

[91]  Michael Woodford,et al.  Interest and Prices , 2011 .