Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making 6: Embedding Evidence Synthesis in Probabilistic Cost-effectiveness Analysis.

[1]  Robert Schlaifer.  Student's manual for probability and statistics for business decisions , 1959 .

[2]  Byron C. Wallace,et al.  Meta-Analyst: software for meta-analysis of binary, continuous and diagnostic data , 2009, BMC medical research methodology.

[3]  Andrew Thomas,et al.  The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions , 2009, Statistics in medicine.

[4]  Mitchell J. Small,et al.  Updating Uncertainty in an Integrated Risk Assessment: Conceptual Framework and Methods , 1995 .

[5]  Alex J. Sutton,et al.  Heterogeneity: Subgroups, Meta-Regression, Bias And Bias-Adjustment , 2011 .

[6]  Harukazu Tsuruta,et al.  Development and validation of MIX: comprehensive free software for meta-analysis of causal research data , 2006, BMC medical research methodology.

[7]  M. Kenward,et al.  An Introduction to the Bootstrap , 2007 .

[8]  J. Lord,et al.  Estimating uncertainty ranges for costs by the bootstrap procedure combined with probabilistic sensitivity analysis. , 1999, Health economics.

[9]  J Lipscomb,et al.  Assessing Uncertainty in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses , 1997, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[10]  K Claxton,et al.  An economic approach to clinical trial design and research priority-setting. , 1996, Health economics.

[11]  David R. Jones,et al.  Bayesian methods in health technology assessment: a review. , 2000, Health technology assessment.

[12]  A. Raftery,et al.  Inference for Deterministic Simulation Models: The Bayesian Melding Approach , 2000 .

[13]  A E Ades,et al.  Synthesis of survival and disease progression outcomes for health technology assessment of cancer therapies , 2010, Research Synthesis Methods.

[14]  P C Lambert,et al.  An evaluation of bivariate random‐effects meta‐analysis for the joint synthesis of two correlated outcomes , 2007, Statistics in medicine.

[15]  A E Ades,et al.  Mixed treatment comparison with multiple outcomes reported inconsistently across trials: Evaluation of antivirals for treatment of influenza A and B , 2008, Statistics in medicine.

[16]  Erich Neuwirth,et al.  R Through Excel: A Spreadsheet Interface for Statistics, Data Analysis, and Graphics , 2009 .

[17]  Silvia Moscoso,et al.  Comprehensive meta-analysis of the construct validity of the employment interview , 2002 .

[18]  Ian R. White,et al.  Multivariate Random-effects Meta-regression: Updates to Mvmeta , 2011 .

[19]  Catherine Winder,et al.  Team Guiding Production of Volume 1 , 2005 .

[20]  M. Sculpher,et al.  Probabilistic sensitivity analysis for NICE technology assessment: not an optional extra. , 2005, Health economics.

[21]  Wolfgang Viechtbauer,et al.  Conducting Meta-Analyses in R with the metafor Package , 2010 .

[22]  Alexander J Sutton,et al.  What to add to nothing? Use and avoidance of continuity corrections in meta-analysis of sparse data. , 2004, Statistics in medicine.

[23]  David Turner,et al.  Comprehensive decision analytical modelling in economic evaluation: a Bayesian approach. , 2004, Health economics.

[24]  David J. Spiegelhalter,et al.  Development of a Transparent Interactive Decision Interrogator to Facilitate the Decision-Making Process in Health Care , 2011, Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research.

[25]  Andrew Gelman,et al.  R2WinBUGS: A Package for Running WinBUGS from R , 2005 .

[26]  Karel GM Moons,et al.  A systematic comparison of software dedicated to meta-analysis of causal studies , 2007, BMC medical research methodology.

[27]  Andrew Thomas,et al.  WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility , 2000, Stat. Comput..

[28]  Nicky J Welton,et al.  Network meta-analysis with competing risk outcomes. , 2010, Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research.

[29]  Anthony C. Davison,et al.  Bootstrap Methods and Their Application , 1998 .

[30]  Alex J. Sutton,et al.  Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making 2 , 2013, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[31]  Richard D Riley,et al.  An alternative model for bivariate random-effects meta-analysis when the within-study correlations are unknown. , 2008, Biostatistics.

[32]  A E Ades,et al.  Meta‐analysis of mixed treatment comparisons at multiple follow‐up times , 2007, Statistics in medicine.

[33]  M. Plummer,et al.  CODA: convergence diagnosis and output analysis for MCMC , 2006 .

[34]  Gordon B. Hazen,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis and the Expected Value of Perfect Information , 1998, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[35]  Alex J. Sutton,et al.  Meta-analysis in Practice: A Critical Review of Available Software , 2000 .

[36]  Adrian E. Raftery,et al.  Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales , 1995 .

[37]  K E Willard,et al.  Probabilistic Analysis of Decision Trees Using Monte Carlo Simulation , 1986, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[38]  H C Van Houwelingen,et al.  A bivariate approach to meta-analysis. , 1993, Statistics in medicine.

[39]  Nicky J Welton,et al.  NICE DSU Technical Support Document 2: A Generalised Linear Modelling Framework for Pairwise and Network Meta-Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials , 2011 .

[40]  D G Altman,et al.  Indirect comparisons of competing interventions. , 2005, Health technology assessment.

[41]  C. Lunneborg.  Data Analysis by Resampling: Concepts and Applications , 1999 .

[42]  Alex J. Sutton,et al.  Evidence Synthesis for Decision Making 5: The Baseline Natural History Model. (5), , 2013 .

[43]  Kerrie Mengersen,et al.  Multivariate meta‐analysis , 2003, Statistics in medicine.

[44]  D. Rubin.  Using the SIR algorithm to simulate posterior distributions , 1988 .

[45]  J. Sterne,et al.  Meta‒Analysis in Stata™ , 2008 .

[46]  A E Ades,et al.  Evidence synthesis, parameter correlation and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. , 2006, Health economics.

[47]  Kimberly M. Thompson,et al.  The Value of Improved National Exposure Information for Perchloroethylene (Perc): A Case Study for Dry Cleaners , 1997 .

[48]  Jonathan A C Sterne,et al.  Meta-Analysis in Stata: An Updated Collection from the Stata Journal , 2015 .

[49]  John M. Thompson,et al.  Bayesian Analysis in Stata with WinBUGS , 2006 .

[50]  Guobing Lu,et al.  Modeling between-trial variance structure in mixed treatment comparisons. , 2009, Biostatistics.

[51]  S. Thompson,et al.  How should meta‐regression analyses be undertaken and interpreted? , 2002, Statistics in medicine.

[52]  Nicky J Welton,et al.  NICE DSU TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT 5: EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS IN THE BASELINE NATURAL HISTORY MODEL , 2011 .

[53]  B. McNeil,et al.  Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Using Monte Carlo Simulation , 1985, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[54]  S. Sharp,et al.  Explaining heterogeneity in meta-analysis: a comparison of methods. , 1999 .