Strong Conditional Independence for Credal Sets

This paper investigates the concept of strong conditional independence for sets of probability measures. Couso, Moral and Walley [7] have studied different possible definitions for unconditional independence in imprecise probabilities. Two of them were considered as more relevant: epistemic independence and strong independence. In this paper, we show that strong independence can have several extensions to the case in which a conditioning to the value of additional variables is considered. We will introduce simple examples in order to make clear their differences. We also give a characterization of strong independence and study the verification of semigraphoid axioms.

[1]  Nic Wilson,et al.  Revision rules for convex sets of probabilities , 1995 .

[2]  Fabio Gagliardi Cozman,et al.  Graphoid properties of epistemic irrelevance and independence , 2005, Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence.

[3]  Luis M. de Campos,et al.  Independence Concepts for Convex Sets of Probabilities , 1995, UAI.

[4]  A. Dawid Conditional Independence , 1997 .

[5]  P. Walley,et al.  A survey of concepts of independence for imprecise probabilities , 2000 .

[6]  Giulianella Coletti,et al.  Stochastic independence for upper and lower probabilities in a coherent setting , 2002 .

[7]  Milan Studený,et al.  Semigraphoids and structures of probabilistic conditional independence , 1997, Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence.

[8]  Fabio Gagliardi Cozman,et al.  Robustness Analysis of Bayesian Networks with Local Convex Sets of Distributions , 1997, UAI.

[9]  Fabio Gagliardi Cozman,et al.  Separation Properties of Sets of Probability Measures , 2000, UAI.

[10]  Judea Pearl,et al.  Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems , 1988 .

[11]  Fábio Gagliardi Cozman Irrelevance and Independence Relations in quasi-Bayesian Networks , 1998, UAI.

[12]  Andrés Cano,et al.  Convex Sets Of Probabilities Propagation By Simulated Annealing , 1994 .

[13]  Peter Walley,et al.  Towards a unified theory of imprecise probability , 2000, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[14]  D. Dubois,et al.  Belief Change Rules in Ordinal and Numerical Uncertainty Theories , 1998 .

[15]  R. Jeffrey The Logic of Decision , 1984 .

[16]  Prakash P. Shenoy,et al.  Axioms for probability and belief-function proagation , 1990, UAI.

[17]  John S. Breese,et al.  Interval Influence Diagrams , 1989, UAI.

[18]  A. Cano,et al.  Algorithms for Imprecise Probabilities , 2000 .

[19]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Mathematical models for handling partial knowledge in artificial intelligence , 1995 .

[20]  Fábio Gagliardi Cozman Irrelevance and Independence Axioms in Quasi-Bayesian Theory , 1999, ESCQARU.

[21]  José Manuel Gutiérrez,et al.  Expert Systems and Probabiistic Network Models , 1996 .

[22]  Bjørnar Tessem,et al.  Interval probability propagation , 1992, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[23]  P. Walley Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities , 1990 .

[24]  Serafín Moral,et al.  A Review of Propagation Algorithms for Imprecise Probabilities , 1999, ISIPTA.

[25]  Judea Pearl,et al.  Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems - networks of plausible inference , 1991, Morgan Kaufmann series in representation and reasoning.

[26]  John S. Breese,et al.  Probability Intervals Over Influence Diagrams , 1993, IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell..

[27]  Serafín Moral,et al.  Epistemic irrelevance on sets of desirable gambles , 2005, Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence.

[28]  Paolo Vicig Epistemic independence for imprecise probabilities , 2000, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[29]  Enrique F. Castillo,et al.  Expert Systems and Probabilistic Network Models , 1996, Monographs in Computer Science.

[30]  Enrico Fagiuoli,et al.  2U: An Exact Interval Propagation Algorithm for Polytrees with Binary Variables , 1998, Artif. Intell..

[31]  Prakash P. Shenoy,et al.  Local Computation in Hypertrees , 1991 .

[32]  Fabio Gagliardi Cozman,et al.  Credal networks , 2000, Artif. Intell..

[33]  Nic Wilson,et al.  A Logical View of Probability , 1994, ECAI.