A stochastic programming approach for sawmill production planning

This paper investigates a sawmill production planning problem where the non-homogeneous characteristics of logs result in random process yields. A two-stage stochastic Linear Programming (LP) approach is proposed to address this problem. The random yields are modelled as scenarios with discrete probability distributions. The solution methodology is based on the sample average approximation method. Confidence intervals are constructed for the optimality gap of several candidate solutions, based on Common Random Number (CRN) streams. A computational study including a prototype sawmill is presented to highlight the significance of using the stochastic model instead of the mean-value deterministic model, which is the traditional production planning tool in sawmills.

[1]  Kumaraswamy Ponnambalam,et al.  Two-stage stochastic programming with fixed recourse via scenario planning with economic and operational risk management for petroleum refinery planning under uncertainty , 2008 .

[2]  P. Brandimarte Multi-item capacitated lot-sizing with demand uncertainty , 2006 .

[3]  Yuri M. Ermoliev Stochastic Quasigradient Methods: Applications , 2009, Encyclopedia of Optimization.

[4]  Peter Kall,et al.  Stochastic Linear Programming , 1975 .

[5]  Thomas C. Maness,et al.  Multiple Period Combined Optimization Approach to Forest Production Planning , 2002 .

[6]  Masoumeh Kazemi Zanjani,et al.  A multi-stage stochastic programming approach for production planning with uncertainty in the quality of raw materials and demand , 2010 .

[7]  Yue Wu,et al.  Production , Manufacturing and Logistics A robust optimization model for multi-site production planning problem in an uncertain environment , 2007 .

[8]  David P. Morton,et al.  Monte Carlo bounding techniques for determining solution quality in stochastic programs , 1999, Oper. Res. Lett..

[9]  Arianna Alfieri,et al.  Stochastic Programming Models for Manufacturing Applications , 2005 .

[10]  M. Byrne,et al.  Stochastic linear optimisation of an MPMP production planning model , 1998 .

[11]  Laureano F. Escudero,et al.  Production planning via scenario modelling , 1993, Ann. Oper. Res..

[12]  Thomas C. Maness,et al.  The Combined Optimization of Log Bucking and Sawing Strategies , 2007 .

[13]  Alexander Shapiro,et al.  On the Rate of Convergence of Optimal Solutions of Monte Carlo Approximations of Stochastic Programs , 2000, SIAM J. Optim..

[14]  George B. Dantzig,et al.  Linear Programming Under Uncertainty , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[15]  Julia L. Higle,et al.  Stochastic Decomposition: An Algorithm for Two-Stage Linear Programs with Recourse , 1991, Math. Oper. Res..

[16]  Alexander Shapiro,et al.  A simulation-based approach to two-stage stochastic programming with recourse , 1998, Math. Program..

[17]  John M. Wilson,et al.  Introduction to Stochastic Programming , 1998, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[18]  Y. Ermoliev Stochastic quasigradient methods and their application to system optimization , 1983 .

[19]  Stephen C. H. Leung *,et al.  A robust optimization model for stochastic aggregate production planning , 2004 .

[20]  Julia L. Higle,et al.  Two Stage Stochastic Linear Programs , 1996 .

[21]  Kai Huang,et al.  Multi-stage Stochastic Programming Models in Production Planning , 2005 .

[22]  Philip A. Araman,et al.  Combined Log Inventory and Process Simulation Models for the Planning and Control of Sawmill Operations , 1991 .

[23]  Daoud Aït-Kadi,et al.  Robust production planning in a manufacturing environment with random yield: A case in sawmill production planning , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[24]  El Houssaine Aghezzaf,et al.  Models for robust tactical planning in multi-stage production systems with uncertain demands , 2010, Comput. Oper. Res..

[25]  Peter Kall,et al.  Stochastic Programming , 1995 .

[26]  John R. Birge,et al.  Introduction to Stochastic Programming , 1997 .