Do Community Colleges Provide a Viable Pathway to a Baccalaureate Degree?

Community colleges have become an important entryway for students intending to complete baccalaureate degrees. However, many question the viability of the transfer function and wonder whether students suffer a penalty for starting at 2-year institutions. The authors examined how the outcomes of community college entrants compared with those of similar students who initially entered 4-year institutions within the Ohio public higher education system. Using a detailed data set, the authors tracked outcomes for 9 years and used multiple strategies to deal with selection issues: propensity score matching and instrumental variables. The results suggest that straightforward estimates are significantly biased, but even after accounting for selection, students who initially began at community colleges were 14.5% less likely to complete bachelor’s degrees within 9 years.

[1]  G. Becker,et al.  Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Special Reference to Education, Third Edition , 1993 .

[2]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  The Condition of education , 1975 .

[3]  D. Rubin,et al.  The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects , 1983 .

[4]  Kevin J. Dougherty,et al.  The Effects of Community Colleges: Aid or Hindrance to Socioeconomic Attainment?. , 1987 .

[5]  Kenneth A. Frank,et al.  Students' Characteristics that Facilitate the Transfer from Two-Year to Four-Year Colleges. , 1990 .

[6]  Brian Rowan,et al.  The Diverted Dream: Community Colleges and the Promise of Educational Opportunity in America, 1900-1985. , 1990 .

[7]  W. Grubb The Decline of Community College Transfer Rates: Evidence from National Longitudinal Surveys. , 1991 .

[8]  Jerome Karabel,et al.  The Diverted Dream: Community Colleges and the Promise of Educational Opportunity in America, 1900-1985. , 1991 .

[9]  Thomas J. Kane,et al.  Labor Market Returns to Two- and Four-Year Colleges: Is a Credit a Credit and Do Degrees Matter? , 1993 .

[10]  David Card,et al.  Using Geographic Variation in College Proximity to Estimate the Return to Schooling , 1993 .

[11]  E. Pascarella,et al.  Two-Year College Attendance and Socioeconomic Attainment: Some Additional Evidence. , 1994 .

[12]  Cecilia Elena Rouse,et al.  Democratization or Diversion? The Effect of Community Colleges on Educational Attainment , 1995 .

[13]  W. Grubb Postsecondary education and the sub-baccalaureate labor market: Corrections and extensions , 1995 .

[14]  Wonseon Kyung In-Migration of College Students to the State of New York , 1996 .

[15]  Barbara K. Townsend The Contradictory College: The Conflicting Origins, Impacts, and Futures of the Community College , 1996 .

[16]  Donald Rubin,et al.  Estimating Causal Effects from Large Data Sets Using Propensity Scores , 1997, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[17]  Michael J. Hilmer Does community college attendance provide a strategic path to a higher quality education , 1997 .

[18]  Michael J. Hilmer Post-secondary fees and the decision to attend a university or a community college , 1998 .

[19]  C. Rouse Do two-year colleges increase overall educational attainment? Evidence from the states , 1998 .

[20]  The Shape of the River: Long-Term Consequences of Considering Race in College and University Admissions@@@Chilling Admissions: The Affirmative Action Crisis and the Search for Alternatives , 1998 .

[21]  D. Conniffe,et al.  Evaluating State Programmes: "Natural Experiments" and Propensity Scores* , 2000 .

[22]  T. Bailey,et al.  Performance, Graduation, and Transfer of Immigrants and Natives in City University of New York Community Colleges , 2000 .

[23]  Michael J. Hilmer Does the return to university quality differ for transfer students and direct attendees , 2000 .

[24]  Brian J. Surette Transfer from two-year to four-year college: an analysis of gender differences , 2001 .

[25]  S. Morgan Counterfactuals, Causal Effect Heterogeneity, and the Catholic School Effect on Learning. , 2001 .

[26]  Jeffrey A. Smith,et al.  Does Matching Overcome Lalonde's Critique of Nonexperimental Estimators? , 2000 .

[27]  Rajeev Dehejia,et al.  Propensity Score-Matching Methods for Nonexperimental Causal Studies , 2002, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[28]  S. Greenland,et al.  Estimating causal effects. , 2002, International journal of epidemiology.

[29]  Steven J. Ingels,et al.  Base-Year to Fourth Follow-up Data File User's Manual. National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988. NCES 2002-323. , 2002 .

[30]  J. Evelyn Budget Cuts Force Community Colleges To Consider Turning Away Students. , 2002 .

[31]  Claudia Buchmann Beyond College for All: Career Paths for the Forgotten Half (review) , 2003 .

[32]  A. Gill,et al.  Do community colleges really divert students from earning bachelor's degrees? , 2003 .

[33]  Bridget Terry Long,et al.  How have college decisions changed over time? An application of the conditional logistic choice model , 2004 .

[34]  Ronald G. Ehrenberg,et al.  Analyzing the success of student transitions from 2- to 4-year institutions within a state , 2004 .

[35]  Roberto Agodini,et al.  Are Experiments the Only Option? A Look at Dropout Prevention Programs , 2004, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[36]  M. Alfonso,et al.  The educational outcomes of occupational sub-baccalaureate students: evidence from the 1990s , 2005 .

[37]  Alternative Paths to College Completion: The Effect of Attending a Two-Year School on the Probability of Completing a Four-Year Degree , 2005 .

[38]  Marta Tienda,et al.  Assessing the “Mismatch” Hypothesis: Differences in College Graduation Rates by Institutional Selectivity , 2005 .

[39]  Michael J. Hilmer,et al.  Alternative Paths to College Completion: Effect of Attending a 2-Year School on the Probability of Completing a 4-Year Degree. , 2006 .

[40]  M. Alfonso,et al.  Effectiveness of Statewide Articulation Agreements on the Probability of Transfer: A Preliminary Policy Analysis , 2006 .

[41]  Mariana Alfonso,et al.  The impact of community college attendance on baccalaureate attainment , 2006 .

[42]  Kevin J. Dougherty,et al.  It's Not Enough to Get through the Open Door: Inequalities by Social Background in Transfer from Community Colleges to Four-Year Colleges. , 2006 .

[43]  J. Rosenbaum,et al.  Do Some Colleges Improve Students Chances of Completing Degrees? How Propensity Scores Change the Question , 2006 .

[44]  Juan Carlos Calcagno,et al.  Stepping Stones to a Degree: The Impact of Enrollment Pathways and Milestones on Community College Student Outcomes , 2006 .

[45]  Josipa Roksa Does the Vocational Focus of Community Colleges Hinder Students' Educational Attainment? , 2006 .