Using the HSPF and SWMM Models in a High Pervious Watershed and Estimating Their Parameter Sensitivity

Models are necessary tools for watershed management. However, applying watershed models is time consuming and requires technical knowledge, including model selection and validation. The objective of this study is to assess two commonly used watershed models and their parameter sensitivity to reduce model loadings and to gain a better understanding of the model performances. The Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) model and Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) were applied to a mostly forested Taiwanese reservoir watershed with pollution from tea plantations. Statistical analysis showed that both models are suitable for the studied watershed, but the performances of the flow and water quality simulations are different. The mean flow simulated by SWMM was lower than the experimental observations. The HSPF model performed better, possibly because the soil in the study area is highly permeable and the HSPF model has more precise soil layer calculations. SWMM may underestimate the total phosphorous (TP) and suspended solid (SS) loads following small storm events in highly permeable watersheds. The Latin Hypercube-One factor At a Time (LH-OAT) method was used to determine the parameter sensitivity of the HSPF model and SWMM. In both of the models, the parameters related to infiltration and soil characteristics strongly affected the flow simulation, except when using the Horton infiltration method in the SWMM. Manning’s roughness coefficient for pervious areas was more sensitive in SWMM than in the HSPF model because SWMM has fewer parameters.

[1]  M. Talbot,et al.  Parameterization and Application of Agricultural Best Management Practices in a Rural Ontario Watershed Using PCSWMM , 2016 .

[2]  Maria Di Modugno,et al.  Build-Up/Wash-Off Monitoring and Assessment for Sustainable Management of First Flush in an Urban Area , 2015 .

[3]  C. Campbell,et al.  Simulating time-varying cave flow and water levels using the Storm Water Management Model , 2002 .

[4]  Ronald L. Droste,et al.  Parameter Uncertainty of a Watershed Model , 2008 .

[5]  Geonha Kim,et al.  Using SWMM as a tool for hydrologic impact assessment , 2007 .

[6]  D. E. Fields,et al.  A critical approach to the calibration of a watershed model , 1997 .

[7]  A. S. Donigian,et al.  WATERSHED MODEL CALIBRATION AND VALIDATION: THE HSPF EXPERIENCE , 2002 .

[8]  R. Srinivasan,et al.  A global sensitivity analysis tool for the parameters of multi-variable catchment models , 2006 .

[9]  Lei Wang,et al.  A Review of Modelling Tools for Implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive in Handling Diffuse Water Pollution , 2010 .

[10]  H. Hunter,et al.  Land-use effects on fluxes of suspended sediment, nitrogen and phosphorus from a river catchment of the Great Barrier Reef, Australia , 2008 .

[11]  Woonsup Choi,et al.  Assessing hydrological impact of potential land use change through hydrological and land use change modeling for the Kishwaukee River basin (USA). , 2008, Journal of environmental management.

[12]  Lin-Yi Tsai,et al.  Using Exceedance Probability to Determine Total Maximum Daily Loads for Reservoir Water Quality Management , 2016 .

[13]  Adil N. Godrej,et al.  The hydrological calibration and validation of a complexly-linked watershed-reservoir model for the Occoquan watershed, Virginia , 2007 .

[14]  F. J. Davis,et al.  Illustration of Sampling‐Based Methods for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis , 2002, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[15]  Chounghyun Seong,et al.  Automatic Calibration Tool for Hydrologic Simulation Program-FORTRAN Using a Shuffled Complex Evolution Algorithm , 2015 .

[16]  Wei Wang,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis for Urban Drainage Modeling Using Mutual Information , 2014, Entropy.

[17]  Thomas A. Fontaine,et al.  SENSITWITY ANALYSIS OF SIMULATED CONTAMINATED SEDIMENT TRANSPORT 1 , 1997 .

[18]  J. Suárez,et al.  Stormwater quality calibration by SWMM : a case study in Northern Spain , 2007 .

[19]  M. K. Muleta Comparison of model evaluation methods to develop a comprehensive watershed simulation model. , 2010 .

[20]  Philip Jordan,et al.  A comparison of SWAT, HSPF and SHETRAN/GOPC for modelling phosphorus export from three catchments in Ireland. , 2007, Water research.

[21]  Eun-Sung Chung,et al.  Prioritization of water management for sustainability using hydrologic simulation model and multicriteria decision making techniques. , 2009, Journal of environmental management.

[22]  Anthony J. Jakeman,et al.  Ten iterative steps in development and evaluation of environmental models , 2006, Environ. Model. Softw..

[23]  Joseph A. C. Delaney Sensitivity analysis , 2018, The African Continental Free Trade Area: Economic and Distributional Effects.

[24]  JOSE G. VASCONCELOS,et al.  SWMM Modeling of a Rural Watershed in the Lower Coastal Plains of the United States , 2014 .

[25]  Saied Mostaghimi,et al.  Comparison of HSPF and SWAT models performance for runoff and sediment yield prediction , 2007, Journal of environmental science and health. Part A, Toxic/hazardous substances & environmental engineering.

[26]  Katherine S. Paybins,et al.  Calibration parameters used to simulate streamflow from application of the Hydrologic Simulation Program-FORTRAN Model (HSPF) to mountainous basins containing coal mines in West Virginia , 2005 .

[27]  J. Smit,et al.  A Strategy for Managing Deficiencies of SWMM Modeling for Large Undeveloped Semi-Arid Watersheds , 2013 .

[28]  André Fonseca,et al.  Watershed model parameter estimation and uncertainty in data-limited environments , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[29]  George P. Karatzas,et al.  An integrated framework for the hydrologic simulation of a complex geomorphological river basin , 2010 .

[30]  H. R. Whiteley,et al.  Calibration of the Hydrological Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF) model using automatic calibration and geographical information systems , 2002 .

[31]  Analysis of the SWMM Model Parameters for Runoff Evaluation in Periurban Basins from Southern Brazil. , 2011 .

[32]  Peter A. Vanrolleghem,et al.  Sensitivity analysis for hydrology and pesticide supply towards the river in SWAT , 2005 .

[33]  Max D. Morris,et al.  Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments , 1991 .

[34]  Seiji Hayashi,et al.  HSPF simulation of runoff and sediment loads in the upper Changjiang River basin, China , 2004 .

[35]  Michael K. Stenstrom,et al.  Automatic Calibration of the U.S. EPA SWMM Model for a Large Urban Catchment , 2008 .

[36]  M. Miller Agency , 2010 .

[37]  Willy Bauwens,et al.  Multi-variable sensitivity and identifiability analysis for a complex environmental model in view of integrated water quantity and water quality modeling. , 2012, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.