Resilience-based infrastructure planning and asset management: Study of dual and singular water distribution infrastructure performance using a simulation approach

Abstract Dual water distribution systems have been proposed as a technological infrastructure solution to enhance the sustainability and resilience of urban water systems by improving performance and decreasing energy consumption. The dual system separately distributes non-potable water for outdoor demand and potable water for indoor demand. The objective of this study was to evaluate the long-term performance of dual water distribution systems versus singular systems under various scenarios of renewal strategies and demand fluctuations. To this end, a dynamic (time-dependent) simulation model was developed to capture long-term dynamics of water distribution infrastructure systems using empirical relationships. The model integrates utility agency’s renewal decision-making processes with the physical infrastructure degradation to simulate the long-term transformation of the pipeline network. Various system performance measures, including breakage, leakage, energy loss, level of service, and life-cycle costs, were simulated over a 50-year horizon. The simulation model was implemented using data from the City of Fort Collins, CO, and used to examine the long-term performance of the dual and singular water distribution systems. The analysis results enabled: (i) understanding the long-term transformation of water distribution systems; (ii) comparing different performance measures of dual and singular systems; and (iii) exploring the sensitivity of both systems to demand fluctuations.

[1]  Daniel P. Fourness Evaluation of Decentralized Alternatives for Separate Treatment and Supply of Indoor Water : Fort Collins Case Study , 2015 .

[2]  Neil S. Grigg,et al.  Centralized and Decentralized Strategies for Dual Water Supply: Case Study , 2018 .

[3]  Yifan Yang,et al.  Towards sustainable and resilient high density cities through better integration of infrastructure networks , 2018, Sustainable Cities and Society.

[4]  Daniel DeLaurentis,et al.  Ex-Ante Policy Analysis in Civil Infrastructure Systems , 2014, J. Comput. Civ. Eng..

[5]  James P. Peerenboom,et al.  Identifying, understanding, and analyzing critical infrastructure interdependencies , 2001 .

[6]  Venu K. Kandiah,et al.  An agent-based modeling approach to project adoption of water reuse and evaluate expansion plans within a sociotechnical water infrastructure system , 2019, Sustainable Cities and Society.

[7]  Joseph A. Cotruvo Nontraditional approaches for providing potable water in small systems: Part 1 , 2003 .

[8]  Peter E.D. Love,et al.  Triangulation in construction management research , 2002 .

[9]  John H. Lienhard,et al.  Energy requirements for water production, treatment, end use, reclamation, and disposal , 2012 .

[10]  Daniel DeLaurentis,et al.  Agent-Based Simulation Model for Assessment of Financing Scenarios in Highway Transportation Infrastructure Systems , 2016, J. Comput. Civ. Eng..

[11]  Dulcy M. Abraham,et al.  Energy loss modeling of water main breaks : a hybrid system dynamics-agent based modeling approach , 2015 .

[12]  Gregory R. Madey,et al.  Verification and Validation of Agent-based Scientific Simulation Models , 2005 .

[13]  Maria E. Presa Reyes,et al.  Agent-based modeling framework for simulation of complex adaptive mechanisms underlying household water conservation technology adoption , 2017, 2017 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC).

[14]  Carl T. Haas,et al.  Strategic Water Utility Management and Financial Planning Using a New System Dynamics Tool , 2015 .

[15]  Ali Mostafavi,et al.  Resilience as an emergent property of human-infrastructure dynamics: A multi-agent simulation model for characterizing regime shifts and tipping point behaviors in infrastructure systems , 2018, PloS one.

[16]  C. Haas,et al.  Development of a system dynamics model for financially sustainable management of municipal watermain networks. , 2013, Water research.

[17]  Heather N Bischel,et al.  Management experiences and trends for water reuse implementation in Northern California. , 2012, Environmental science & technology.

[18]  Tirusew Asefa,et al.  A Level-of-Service Concept for Planning Future Water Supply Projects under Probabilistic Demand and Supply Framework† , 2015 .

[19]  Uri Shamir,et al.  An Analytic Approach to Scheduling Pipe Replacement , 1979 .

[20]  Steven C Bankes,et al.  Tools and techniques for developing policies for complex and uncertain systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[21]  J.S. Carson,et al.  Model verification and validation , 2002, Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference.

[22]  Hanif D. Sherali,et al.  A Pipe Reliability and Cost Model for an Integrated Approach Toward Designing Water Distribution Systems , 1996 .

[23]  Ali Mostafavi,et al.  Emergence of Resilience from Infrastructure Dynamics: A Simulation Framework for Theory Building , 2017 .

[24]  Ow,et al.  Drinking Water Infrastructure Needs Survey and Assessment Fifth Report to Congress , 2015 .

[25]  Steve Bankes,et al.  Validation of exploratory modeling , 1994 .

[26]  Guilherme Fernandes Marques,et al.  Planning for infrastructure capacity expansion of urban water supply portfolios with an integrated simulation-optimization approach , 2017 .

[27]  C T Haas,et al.  Application of system dynamics for developing financially self-sustaining management policies for water and wastewater systems. , 2011, Water research.

[28]  Ali Mostafavi,et al.  Understanding Fundamental Phenomena Affecting the Water Conservation Technology Adoption of Residential Consumers Using Agent-Based Modeling , 2018, Water.

[29]  Laura García-Cuerva,et al.  Public perceptions of water shortages, conservation behaviors, and support for water reuse in the U.S. , 2016 .

[30]  Isabel M. Horta,et al.  A scenario-based approach for assessing the energy performance of urban development pathways , 2018, Sustainable Cities and Society.

[31]  Ali Mostafavi,et al.  Multiagent Simulation for Complex Adaptive Modeling of Road Infrastructure Resilience to Sea‐Level Rise , 2018, Comput. Aided Civ. Infrastructure Eng..

[32]  Doosun Kang,et al.  Dual Water Distribution Network Design under Triple-Bottom-Line Objectives , 2012 .

[33]  Daniel A. Okun,et al.  Distributing reclaimed water through dual systems , 1997 .