Sequential Monte Carlo Filter for State-of-Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Auto Regressive Exogenous Model

The state of charge (SOC) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is an important evaluation index in battery management system of energy storage systems. However, it is always a challenging task to accurately estimate SOC of LIBs, because of the existence of nonlinear characteristics and significant temperature effects. To improve the SOC estimation accuracy and robustness, a model-based estimation approach for SOC and impedance of LIBs is proposed against uncertain loading profiles and ambient temperatures. First an auto regressive exogenous model for online model order determining and parameters identification is established to monitor parameters variations based on numerical subspace state space system identification method. Second, a sequential Monte Carlo filter is employed to overcome the nonlinear and non-Gaussian error distribution state estimation problems caused by complicated open-circuit voltage characteristics. Finally, evaluation of the adaptability and generality of the proposed method are verified by different LIBs under different operating conditions. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method shows great performance, whose estimation value converges to real SOC within an error of $\pm \text{3}\%$, and the battery model can simulate battery dynamics robustly with high accuracy.