Predictions of large-scale coastal tendency: development and application of a qualitative behaviour-based methodology

ABSTRACT The prediction of coastal evolution is difficult due to the variety of spatial and temporal scales over which coastal changes occur, and the inter-dependence between different geomorphic features as components of the natural system. Despite these difficulties, it remains necessary to attempt to identify coastal geomorphic issues that are relevant over decades to centuries. This paper describes the development of geomorphic tools to assist in gaining an improved understanding of coastal behaviour, based upon key controls, influences and linkages within the coastal system. These geomorphic tools are then applied to the coastline of central southern England in order to demonstrate their applicability.