Mapping per-pixel predicted accuracy of classified remote sensing images.

Abstract The traditional approach of map accuracy assessment based on an error matrix does not capture the spatial variation in classification accuracy. Here, per-pixel accuracy prediction methods are proposed based on interpolating accuracy values from a test sample in which the reference class of each sampled pixel has been determined. Different accuracy prediction methods were developed based on four factors: predictive domain (spatial versus spectral), interpolation function (constant, linear, Gaussian, and logistic), incorporation of class information (interpolating each class separately versus grouping them together), and sample size. Developing accuracy maps using the spectral domain is a new approach in contrast to previous efforts based on the spatial domain. Performance of the prediction methods was evaluated using 26 test blocks, with 10 km × 10 km dimensions, dispersed throughout the United States. Each block had complete coverage reference data manually extracted by interpreters and a land-cover map produced from Landsat imagery using a decision tree classification. The full scene maps were then compared to the corresponding reference maps to produce complete coverage accuracy information for each block. The predicted accuracy maps were produced from a sample of the reference data (i.e., the test dataset). The performance of the sample-based accuracy predictions was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic. Relative to existing accuracy prediction methods, our proposed methods resulted in improvements of AUC of 0.15 or greater. Evaluation of the four factors comprising the accuracy prediction methods demonstrated that: i) interpolations should be done separately for each class instead of grouping all classes together; ii) if an all-classes approach is used, the spectral domain will result in substantially greater AUC than the spatial domain; iii) for the smaller sample size and per-class predictions, the spectral and spatial domain yielded similar AUC; iv) for the larger sample size (i.e., very dense spatial sample) and per-class predictions, the spatial domain yielded larger AUC; v) increasing the sample size improved accuracy predictions with a greater benefit accruing to the spatial domain; and vi) the function used for interpolation had the smallest effect on AUC. To conclude, the ability to produce per-pixel accuracy predictions yielding simple to understand accuracy maps opens up new possibilities for error propagation of remotely sensed products in a variety of disciplines.

[1]  Donald E. Myers,et al.  Spatial interpolation: an overview , 1994 .

[2]  Amy C. Burnicki,et al.  Modeling the Probability of Misclassification in a Map of Land Cover Change , 2011 .

[3]  Silvia Scarpetta,et al.  Uncertainty Analysis for the Classification of Multispectral Satellite Images Using SVMs and SOMs , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing.

[4]  Jianjun Ge,et al.  Impacts of land use/cover classification accuracy on regional climate simulations , 2007 .

[5]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Mapping Land Cover from Remotely Sensed Data with a Softened Feedforward Neural Network Classification , 2000, J. Intell. Robotic Syst..

[6]  David P. Roy,et al.  Sensitivity analysis of the GEMS soil organic carbon model to land cover land use classification uncertainties under different climate scenarios in Senegal , 2011 .

[7]  Yohay Carmel,et al.  Characterizing location and classification error patterns in time-series thematic maps , 2004, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters.

[8]  Arko Lucieer,et al.  Exploring uncertainty in remotely sensed data with parallel coordinate plots , 2009, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinformation.

[9]  C. Woodcock,et al.  Integration of remote-sensing and ground-based observations for estimation of emissions and removals of greenhouse gases in forests: methods and guidance from the Global Forest Observations Initiative , 2016 .

[10]  Giorgos Mountrakis,et al.  A meta-analysis of remote sensing research on supervised pixel-based land-cover image classification processes: General guidelines for practitioners and future research , 2016 .

[11]  René R. Colditz,et al.  Land cover classification with coarse spatial resolution data to derive continuous and discrete maps for complex regions , 2011 .

[12]  Robert Schaback,et al.  Interpolation of spatial data – A stochastic or a deterministic problem? , 2013, European Journal of Applied Mathematics.

[13]  Sietse O. Los,et al.  Implications of land-cover misclassification for parameter estimates in global land-surface models: An example from the simple biosphere model (SiB2) , 1999 .

[14]  Andrew P. Bradley,et al.  The use of the area under the ROC curve in the evaluation of machine learning algorithms , 1997, Pattern Recognit..

[15]  Phaedon C. Kyriakidis,et al.  A geostatistical approach for mapping thematic classification accuracy and evaluating the impact of inaccurate spatial data on ecological model predictions , 2001, Environmental and Ecological Statistics.

[16]  Janet Franklin,et al.  A Neural Network Method for Efficient Vegetation Mapping , 1999 .

[17]  Hichem Sahli,et al.  Impact of Urban Land-Cover Classification on Groundwater Recharge Uncertainty , 2012, IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing.

[18]  M. Ehlers,et al.  A framework for the modelling of uncertainty between remote sensing and geographic information systems , 2000 .

[19]  F. Canters,et al.  Evaluating the uncertainty of area estimates derived from fuzzy land-cover classification , 1997 .

[20]  James R. Anderson,et al.  A land use and land cover classification system for use with remote sensor data , 1976 .

[21]  Stefan Leyk,et al.  A Conceptual Framework for Uncertainty Investigation in Map‐based Land Cover Change Modelling , 2005, Trans. GIS.

[22]  F. Maselli,et al.  Use of probability entropy for the estimation and graphical representation of the accuracy of maximum likelihood classifications , 1994 .

[23]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Good practices for estimating area and assessing accuracy of land change , 2014 .

[24]  Giorgos Mountrakis,et al.  Assessing reference dataset representativeness through confidence metrics based on information density , 2013 .

[25]  Robert Gilmore Pontius,et al.  A Suite of Tools for ROC Analysis of Spatial Models , 2013, ISPRS Int. J. Geo Inf..

[26]  G. McMahon Consequences of Land-cover Misclassification in Models of Impervious Surface , 2007 .

[27]  Yong Q. Tian,et al.  Factors Affecting Spatial Variation of Classification Uncertainty in an Image Object-Based Vegetation Mapping , 2008 .

[28]  Menno Straatsma,et al.  Uncertainty in hydromorphological and ecological modelling of lowland river floodplains resulting from land cover classification errors , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[29]  Jie Zhang,et al.  Accuracy assessments and uncertainty analysis of spatially explicit modeling for land use/cover change and urbanization: A case in Beijing metropolitan area , 2010 .

[30]  J. Peters,et al.  Uncertainty propagation in vegetation distribution models based on ensemble classifiers. , 2009 .

[31]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Local characterization of thematic classification accuracy through spatially constrained confusion matrices , 2005 .

[32]  J. McDonnell,et al.  Land-cover impacts on streamflow: a change-detection modelling approach that incorporates parameter uncertainty , 2010 .

[33]  Dongmei Chen,et al.  The effect of spatial autocorrelation and class proportion on the accuracy measures from different sampling designs , 2009 .

[34]  Alfred Stein,et al.  Spatial variability in classification accuracy of agricultural crops in the Dutch national land-cover database , 2004, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[35]  V. Dunger,et al.  The impact of different spatial land cover data sets on the outputs of a hydrological model – a modelling exercise in the Ucker catchment, North-East Germany , 2006 .

[36]  Stephen V. Stehman,et al.  A Strategy for Estimating the Rates of Recent United States Land-Cover Changes , 2002 .

[37]  Manoj K. Arora,et al.  A simple measure of confidence for fuzzy land-cover classification from remote-sensing data , 2014 .

[38]  Alexis J. Comber Geographically weighted methods for estimating local surfaces of overall, user and producer accuracies , 2013 .

[39]  P. Fisher,et al.  Spatially Variable Thematic Accuracy: Beyond the Confusion Matrix , 2001 .

[40]  P. Gong,et al.  Mapping Ecological Land Systems and Classification Uncertainties from Digital Elevation and Forest-Cover Data Using Neural Networks , 1996 .

[41]  Joanne C. White,et al.  Optical remotely sensed time series data for land cover classification: A review , 2016 .

[42]  Kathleen Neumann,et al.  Challenges in using land use and land cover data for global change studies , 2011 .

[43]  Geoffrey J. Hay,et al.  Uncertainties in land use data , 2006 .

[44]  J. Wickham,et al.  Impacts of Patch Size and Land-Cover Heterogeneity on Thematic Image Classification Accuracy , 2002 .

[45]  N. Campbell,et al.  Derivation and applications of probabilistic measures of class membership from the maximum-likelihood classification , 1992 .

[46]  Hassan Ghassemian,et al.  Measurement of uncertainty by the entropy: application to the classification of MSS data , 2006 .

[47]  Bernard De Baets,et al.  Random Forests as a tool for estimating uncertainty at pixel-level in SAR image classification , 2012, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinformation.

[48]  Stephen V. Stehman,et al.  Land-cover change in the conterminous United States from 1973 to 2000 , 2013 .

[49]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Status of land cover classification accuracy assessment , 2002 .

[50]  David C. Goodrich,et al.  Hydrologic Modeling Uncertainty Resulting From Land Cover Misclassification 1 , 2007 .

[51]  Giles M. Foody,et al.  Estimating per‐pixel thematic uncertainty in remote sensing classifications , 2009 .

[52]  P. Verburg,et al.  From land cover change to land function dynamics: a major challenge to improve land characterization. , 2009, Journal of environmental management.

[53]  Roland L. Redmond,et al.  Estimation and Mapping of Misclassification Probabilities for Thematic Land Cover Maps , 1998 .

[54]  J. Wickham,et al.  Effects of landscape characteristics on land-cover class accuracy , 2003 .

[55]  Narumasa Tsutsumida,et al.  Measures of spatio-temporal accuracy for time series land cover data , 2015, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinformation.

[56]  Wenzhong Shi,et al.  Unsupervised classification based on fuzzy c-means with uncertainty analysis , 2013 .

[57]  Christopher Conrad,et al.  Impact of feature selection on the accuracy and spatial uncertainty of per-field crop classification using Support Vector Machines , 2013 .

[58]  James C. Bezdek,et al.  Measuring fuzzy uncertainty , 1994, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[59]  Global Forest Observations Initiative. Integration of remote-sensing and ground-based observations for estimation of emissions and removals of greenhouse gases in forests: Methods and guidance from the Global Forest Observations Initiative, edition 2.0 , 2016 .

[60]  Mathias Disney,et al.  Impact of land cover uncertainties on estimates of biospheric carbon fluxes , 2008 .

[61]  R. Congalton Using spatial autocorrelation analysis to explore the errors in maps generated from remotely sensed data , 1988 .

[62]  Peter F. Fisher,et al.  Spatial analysis of remote sensing image classification accuracy , 2012 .

[63]  Sucharita Gopal,et al.  Uncertainty and Confidence in Land Cover Classification Using a Hybrid Classifier Approach , 2004 .

[64]  Mark A. Friedl,et al.  Estimating pixel-scale land cover classification confidence using nonparametric machine learning methods , 2001, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[65]  Bernard De Baets,et al.  Assessing hydrologic prediction uncertainty resulting from soft land cover classification , 2014 .