A New Analytical Approach for Interval Availability Analysis of Markov Repairable Systems

Interval availability, defined as the fraction of time that a system is operational during a period of time $[ {0,T} ]$, is an important indicator of system performance, especially for industries with a Service Level Agreement, e.g., telecommunication industry, computer industry, etc. Most existing methods to compute interval availability are based on numerical simulations. In this paper, we present a new analytical solution for interval availability of Markov repairable systems. Three interval availability indexes, i.e., interval availability, interval availability in a general interval, and interval availability in multiple intervals, are considered. The interval availability indexes are derived based on aggregated stochastic processes and the results are obtained in closed form using Laplace transforms. A numerical example is presented and the results are compared with those of Monte Carlo simulation. The developed methods are applied to calculate the interval availability of a fault-tolerant database system from the literature.

[1]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Modeling the evolution of system reliability performance under alternative environments , 2011 .

[2]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Aggregated semi-Markov repairable systems with history-dependent up and down states , 2011, Math. Comput. Model..

[3]  Cynthia S. Hood,et al.  A New Approach to Analysis of Interval Availability , 2008, 2008 Third International Conference on Availability, Reliability and Security.

[4]  Toshio Nakagawa,et al.  A Note on Availability for a Finite Interval , 1973 .

[5]  M.A.J. Smith An Approximation of the Interval Availability Distribution , 1997 .

[6]  Juan A. Carrasco,et al.  Solving large interval availability models using a model transformation approach , 2004, Comput. Oper. Res..

[7]  Juan A. Carrasco A New General-Purpose Method for the Computation of the Interval Availability Distribution , 2013, INFORMS J. Comput..

[8]  Xianhui Yang,et al.  Automatic creation of Markov models for reliability assessment of safety instrumented systems , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[9]  B. Sericola Closed form solution for the distribution of the total time spent in a subset of states of a homogeneous Markov process during a finite observation period , 1990 .

[10]  Enrico Zio,et al.  An Introduction to the Basics of Reliability and Risk Analysis , 2007 .

[11]  Shijia Du,et al.  Reliability measures for two-part partition of states for aggregated Markov repairable systems , 2014, Ann. Oper. Res..

[12]  Ming Jian Zuo,et al.  Reliability and Availability Analysis of a Repairable k-out-of-n: G System With R Repairmen Subject to Shut-Off Rules , 2011, IEEE Trans. Reliab..

[13]  Behrouz Parsa Moghaddam,et al.  CERTAIN THEOREMS ON TWO DIMENSIONAL LAPLACE TRANSFORM AND NON-HOMOGENEOUS PARABOLIC PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS , 2011 .

[14]  Hong-Zhong Huang,et al.  Dynamic Reliability Assessment for Multi-State Systems Utilizing System-Level Inspection Data , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[15]  Shijia Du,et al.  A study on a single-unit repairable system with state aggregations , 2012 .

[16]  M. Rosenblatt,et al.  A MARKOVIAN FUNCTION OF A MARKOV CHAIN , 1958 .

[17]  Bruno Sencola Interval Availability Analysis Using Denumerable Markov Processes: Application to Multiprocessor Subject to Breakdowns and Repair , 1995 .

[18]  A. Hawkes,et al.  On the stochastic properties of bursts of single ion channel openings and of clusters of bursts. , 1982, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[19]  Rassoul Noorossana,et al.  Reliability and Maintenance Models for a Competing-Risk System Subjected to Random Usage , 2016, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[20]  Lirong Cui,et al.  A study on a single-unit Markov repairable system with repair time omission , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[21]  Shijia Du,et al.  A Study on Joint Availability for k out of n and Consecutive k out of n Points and Intervals , 2013 .

[22]  Ahmad Al Hanbali,et al.  Interval availability analysis of a two-echelon, multi-item system , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  S. Demir Reliability of Combined $k{\hbox{-out-of-}}n$ and Consecutive $k_{c}{\hbox{-out-of-}}n$ Systems of Markov Dependent Components , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[24]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Random Fuzzy Extension of the Universal Generating Function Approach for the Reliability Assessment of Multi-State Systems Under Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[25]  Anatoly Lisnianski,et al.  A multi-state Markov model for a short-term reliability analysis of a power generating unit , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Availability assessment of oil and gas processing plants operating under dynamic Arctic weather conditions , 2016, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[27]  Shijia Du,et al.  Some reliability indexes and sojourn time distributions for a repairable degradation model , 2016 .

[28]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Markov repairable systems with stochastic regimes switching , 2011 .

[29]  Kishor S. Trivedi,et al.  Probabilistic modeling of computer system availability , 1987 .

[30]  Rui Kang,et al.  Using PoF models to predict system reliability considering failure collaboration , 2016 .

[31]  A. Goyal,et al.  A Measure of Guaranteed Availability and its Numerical Evaluation , 1988, IEEE Trans. Computers.

[32]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Multi-point and multi-interval availabilities for Markov repairable systems with history-dependent up and down states , 2007, Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University (Science).

[33]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Availability of a periodically inspected system with random repair or replacement times , 2005 .

[34]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Interval reliability for aggregated Markov repairable system with repair time omission , 2014, Ann. Oper. Res..

[35]  Edmundo de Souza e Silva,et al.  Calculating Cumulative Operational Time Distributions of Repairable Computer Systems , 1986, IEEE Transactions on Computers.

[36]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Failure and reliability prediction by support vector machines regression of time series data , 2011, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[37]  Gregory Levitin,et al.  Optimal backup frequency in system with random repair time , 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[38]  Shijia Du,et al.  Multi-Point and Multi-Interval Availabilities , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[39]  Andrés J. Gonzalez,et al.  SLA success probability assessment in networks with correlated failures , 2013, Comput. Commun..

[40]  P. Iseger NUMERICAL TRANSFORM INVERSION USING GAUSSIAN QUADRATURE , 2005, Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences.

[41]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Availability analysis of periodically inspected systems with random walk model , 2001, Journal of Applied Probability.

[42]  Darli A. A. Mello,et al.  Interval availability estimation for protected connections in optical networks , 2011, Comput. Networks.

[43]  M. C. van der Heijden,et al.  Interval uneffectiveness distribution for a k-out-of-n multistate reliability system with repair , 1988 .

[44]  Lirong Cui,et al.  An Analysis of Availability for Series Markov Repairable System With Neglected or Delayed Failures , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.