Pattern Ensembling for Spatial Trajectory Reconstruction

Digital sensing provides unprecedented opportunity to assess and understand mobility. However incompleteness, missing information, possible inaccuracies and temporal heterogeneity in the geolocation data can undermine its applicability. As mobility patterns are often repeated, we propose a method to use similar trajectory patterns from local vicinity and probabilistically ensemble them to robustly reconstruct missing or unreliable observations. We evaluate the proposed approach in comparison with traditional functional trajectory interpolation using a case of sea vessel trajectory data provided by The Automatic Identification System (AIS). By effectively leveraging the similarities in real-world trajectories, our pattern ensembling method helps reconstructing missing trajectory segments of extended length and complex geometry. It can be used for locating mobile objects when temporary unobserved as well as for creating an evenly sampled trajectory interpolation useful for further trajectory mining.

[1]  Allen M. Waxman,et al.  Associative Learning of Vessel Motion Patterns for Maritime Situation Awareness , 2006, 2006 9th International Conference on Information Fusion.

[2]  Josep Blat,et al.  Analysis of pedestrian behaviors through non-invasive Bluetooth monitoring , 2017, ArXiv.

[3]  Xinping Yan,et al.  A novel method for restoring the trajectory of the inland waterway ship by using AIS data , 2015 .

[4]  Carlo Ratti,et al.  Socioeconomic characterization of regions through the lens of individual financial transactions , 2017, PloS one.

[5]  Michele Vespe,et al.  Vessel Pattern Knowledge Discovery from AIS Data: A Framework for Anomaly Detection and Route Prediction , 2013, Entropy.

[6]  Stanislav Sobolevsky,et al.  Twitter Connections Shaping New York City , 2018, HICSS.

[7]  Bradley J. Rhodes,et al.  Probabilistic associative learning of vessel motion patterns at multiple spatial scales for maritime situation awareness , 2007, 2007 10th International Conference on Information Fusion.

[8]  Fabio Mazzarella,et al.  Discovering vessel activities at sea using AIS data: Mapping of fishing footprints , 2014, 17th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION).

[9]  Stanislav Sobolevsky,et al.  Transportation Interventions Reshaping NYC Commute: the Probabilistic Simulation Framework Assessing the Impacts of Ridesharing and Manhattan Congestion Surcharge , 2020, 2010.06588.

[10]  Zbigniew Smoreda,et al.  Identifying and modeling the structural discontinuities of human interactions , 2015, Scientific Reports.

[11]  Naixue Xiong,et al.  A Dimensionality Reduction-Based Multi-Step Clustering Method for Robust Vessel Trajectory Analysis , 2017, Sensors.

[12]  Aaron E. Rosenberg,et al.  On the use of instantaneous and transitional spectral information in speaker recognition , 1986, ICASSP '86. IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing.

[13]  Carlo Ratti,et al.  Exploring Universal Patterns in Human Home-Work Commuting from Mobile Phone Data , 2013, PloS one.

[14]  A. Volgenant,et al.  Technical Note - Rounding Symmetric Traveling Salesman Problems with an Asymmetric Assignment Problem , 1980, Oper. Res..

[15]  Andrzej Felski,et al.  Information Unfitness of AIS , 2012 .

[16]  Wu Chaozhong,et al.  A novel estimation algorithm for interpolating ship motion , 2017, 2017 4th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS).

[17]  H. Ligteringen,et al.  Study on collision avoidance in busy waterways by using AIS data , 2010 .

[18]  Fabrizio Natale,et al.  Mapping EU fishing activities using ship tracking data , 2016, ArXiv.

[19]  Paolo Braca,et al.  Context-enhanced vessel prediction based on Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes using historical AIS traffic patterns: Real-world experimental results , 2014, 17th International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION).

[20]  Lars Linsen,et al.  Comprehensive Analysis of Automatic Identification System (AIS) Data in Regard to Vessel Movement Prediction , 2014 .

[21]  Dario Tarchi,et al.  A novel anomaly detection approach to identify intentional AIS on-off switching , 2017, Expert Syst. Appl..

[22]  Jiaxuan Yang,et al.  Ship Trajectories Pre-processing Based on AIS Data , 2018, Journal of Navigation.

[23]  Rex Britter,et al.  Predicting vehicular emissions in high spatial resolution using pervasively measured transportation data and microscopic emissions model , 2016 .

[24]  Xiang Chen,et al.  An application of convolutional neural network to derive vessel movement patterns , 2019, 2019 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS).

[25]  Kevin B. Korb,et al.  Anomaly detection in vessel tracks using Bayesian networks , 2014, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[26]  A. Harati-Mokhtari,et al.  Automatic Identification System (AIS): Data Reliability and Human Error Implications , 2007, Journal of Navigation.

[27]  Klaus D. McDonald-Maier,et al.  Autonomous Ship Collision Avoidance Navigation Concepts, Technologies and Techniques , 2007, Journal of Navigation.

[28]  J. K. Kearney,et al.  Stream Editing for Animation , 1990 .

[29]  Andreas Nordmo Skauen Quantifying the tracking capability of space-based AIS systems , 2016 .

[30]  Stan Matwin,et al.  Knowledge-based clustering of ship trajectories using density-based approach , 2014, 2014 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data).

[31]  Carlo Ratti,et al.  Geo-located Twitter as proxy for global mobility patterns , 2013, Cartography and geographic information science.

[32]  Paolo Santi,et al.  Supporting Information for Quantifying the Benefits of Vehicle Pooling with Shareability Networks Data Set and Pre-processing , 2022 .

[33]  Stefano Secci,et al.  Estimating human trajectories and hotspots through mobile phone data , 2014, Comput. Networks.

[34]  Mark R. Morelande,et al.  Statistical analysis of motion patterns in AIS Data: Anomaly detection and motion prediction , 2008, 2008 11th International Conference on Information Fusion.