Large-scale insider trading analysis: patterns and discoveries

How do company insiders trade? Do their trading behaviors differ based on their roles (e.g., chief executive officer vs. chief financial officer)? Do those behaviors change over time (e.g., impacted by the 2008 market crash)? Can we identify insiders who have similar trading behaviors? And what does that tell us? This work presents the first academic, large-scale exploratory study of insider filings and related data, based on the complete Form 4 fillings from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We analyze 12 million transactions by 370 thousand insiders spanning 1986–2012, the largest reported in academia. We explore the temporal and network-based aspects of the trading behaviors of insiders, and make surprising and counterintuitive discoveries. We study how the trading behaviors of insiders differ based on their roles in their companies, the types of their transactions, their companies’ sectors, and their relationships with other insiders. Our work raises exciting research questions and opens up many opportunities for future studies. Most importantly, we believe our work could form the basis of novel tools for financial regulators and policymakers to detect illegal insider trading, help them understand the dynamics of the trades, and enable them to adapt their detection strategies toward these dynamics.

[1]  J. Lorie,et al.  Predictive and Statistical Properties of Insider Trading , 1968, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[2]  Dan Bernhardt,et al.  Investment and Insider Trading , 1995 .

[3]  Terrance Odean,et al.  Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses? , 1996 .

[4]  J. Sweeney,et al.  Fraudulently Misstated Financial Statements and Insider Trading: An Empirical Analysis , 1997 .

[5]  Andrew Chin Accurate Calculation of Short-Swing Profits Under Section 16(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 , 1997 .

[6]  David Aboody,et al.  CEO stock option awards and the timing of corporate voluntary disclosures , 2000 .

[7]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  Are Insider Trades Informative , 2001 .

[8]  Dennis Lee,et al.  The NASD Securities Observation, New Analysis and Regulation System (SONAR) , 2003, IAAI.

[9]  Deepayan Chakrabarti,et al.  AutoPart: Parameter-Free Graph Partitioning and Outlier Detection , 2004, PKDD.

[10]  Steven K. Donoho,et al.  Early detection of insider trading in option markets , 2004, KDD.

[11]  Philip S. Yu,et al.  Mining Extremely Skewed Trading Anomalies , 2004, EDBT.

[12]  Jimeng Sun,et al.  Neighborhood formation and anomaly detection in bipartite graphs , 2005, Fifth IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM'05).

[13]  Qiang Cheng,et al.  Insider Trading and Voluntary Disclosures , 2006 .

[14]  Stephen D. Bay,et al.  Large Scale Detection of Irregularities in Accounting Data , 2006, Sixth International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM'06).

[15]  Michael Lemmon,et al.  Option Backdating and Board Interlocks , 2007 .

[16]  Christos Faloutsos,et al.  Netprobe: a fast and scalable system for fraud detection in online auction networks , 2007, WWW '07.

[17]  Lawrence B. Holder,et al.  Discovering Structural Anomalies in Graph-Based Data , 2007 .

[18]  Yannis Manolopoulos,et al.  Data Mining techniques for the detection of fraudulent financial statements , 2007, Expert Syst. Appl..

[19]  Andrew W. Lo,et al.  What Happened To The Quants In August 2007?: Evidence from Factors and Transactions Data , 2008 .

[20]  Pang-Ning Tan,et al.  Outrank: a Graph-Based Outlier Detection Framework Using Random Walk , 2008, Int. J. Artif. Intell. Tools.

[21]  P. Grégoire INSIDER TRADING AND VOLUNTARY DISCLOSURE , 2008 .

[22]  Lada A. Adamic,et al.  On the Informational Properties of Trading Networks , 2009 .

[23]  Christos Faloutsos,et al.  SNARE: a link analytic system for graph labeling and risk detection , 2009, KDD.

[24]  Xiumin Martin,et al.  Voluntary Disclosures and the Exercise of CEO Stock Options , 2010 .

[25]  Christos Faloutsos,et al.  oddball: Spotting Anomalies in Weighted Graphs , 2010, PAKDD.

[26]  Christopher J. Malloy,et al.  Decoding Inside Information , 2010 .

[27]  Anup Agrawal,et al.  Insider Trading in Takeover Targets , 2011 .

[28]  Aristides Gionis,et al.  Correlating financial time series with micro-blogging activity , 2012, WSDM '12.

[29]  Shamkant B. Navathe,et al.  Inside insider trading: Patterns & discoveries from a large scale exploratory analysis , 2013, 2013 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining (ASONAM 2013).

[30]  Anup Agrawal,et al.  Insider Trading Before Accounting Scandals , 2015 .