Functional Inference in Frailty Measurement Error Models for Clustered Survival Data Using the SIMEX Approach

We consider frailty models for clustered survival data in the presence of measurement errors in covariates. We Ž rst show that when the measurement error is accounted for in a full likelihood analysis but the distribution of the unobserved covariate is misspeciŽ ed, the maximum likelihood estimators are asymptotically biased, especially for the variance component, whose bias can be substantial. We then discuss making inference using functional estimation via the SIMEX method where no distribution of the unobserved error-prone covariate is assumed. The SIMEX method is easy to implement by repeatedly Ž tting standard frailty models. We study the asymptotic properties of the SIMEX estimates and show that they are consistent and asymptotically normal. In simulation studies, we compare the SIMEX method and the likelihood method in terms of efŽ ciency and robustness. We also propose a SIMEX score test for the variance component to test for the within-cluster correlation and evaluate its performance through simulation studies. The SIMEX variance component score test does not require specifying distributions for the random effect and the unobserved error-prone covariate, and is easy to implement by repeatedly Ž tting standard Cox models. The proposed methods are illustrated using the Kenya parasitemia data.

[1]  Xihong Lin Variance component testing in generalised linear models with random effects , 1997 .

[2]  Raymond J. Carroll,et al.  Asymptotics For The Simex Estimator In Structural Measurement Error Models , 1994 .

[3]  W. Tsai,et al.  On using the Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates , 1997 .

[4]  P. Hougaard A class of multivanate failure time distributions , 1986 .

[5]  M. Pepe,et al.  Auxiliary covariate data in failure time regression , 1995 .

[6]  D. Commenges,et al.  Score test of homogeneity for survival data , 1995, Lifetime data analysis.

[7]  M. Hughes,et al.  Regression dilution in the proportional hazards model. , 1993, Biometrics.

[8]  M. Davidian,et al.  Estimating the parameters in the Cox model when covariate variables are measured with error. , 1998, Biometrics.

[9]  D. Harrington,et al.  Counting Processes and Survival Analysis , 1991 .

[10]  R. Prentice Covariate measurement errors and parameter estimation in a failure time regression model , 1982 .

[11]  J. R. Cook,et al.  Simulation-Extrapolation: The Measurement Error Jackknife , 1995 .

[12]  McGilchrist Ca REML estimation for survival models with frailty. , 1993 .

[13]  Richard D. Gill,et al.  A counting process approach to maximum likelihood estimation in frailty models , 1992 .

[14]  Yi Li,et al.  Covariate measurement errors in frailty models for clustered survival data , 2000 .

[15]  A. Murphy,et al.  On Proole Likelihood , 1998 .

[16]  M. Wulfsohn,et al.  Modeling the Relationship of Survival to Longitudinal Data Measured with Error. Applications to Survival and CD4 Counts in Patients with AIDS , 1995 .

[17]  Susan A. Murphy,et al.  Asymptotic Theory for the Frailty Model , 1995 .

[18]  S. Hoffman,et al.  Dose- and time-dependent relations between infective Anopheles inoculation and outcomes of Plasmodium falciparum parasitemia among children in western Kenya. , 1997, American journal of epidemiology.

[19]  Z. Ying,et al.  Cox Regression with Incomplete Covariate Measurements , 1993 .

[20]  R. Carroll,et al.  SIMEX Variance Component Tests in Generalized Linear Mixed Measurement Error Models , 1999, Biometrics.

[21]  D. Oakes,et al.  Bivariate survival models induced by frailties , 1989 .

[22]  D. Clayton,et al.  Multivariate generalizations of the proportional hazards model , 1985 .

[23]  R. Gray Modeling Survival Data: Extending the Cox Model , 2002 .

[24]  R. Gray Tests for Variation over Groups in Survival Data , 1995 .

[25]  D. Ruppert,et al.  Measurement Error in Nonlinear Models , 1995 .

[26]  D. Clayton A model for association in bivariate life tables and its application in epidemiological studies of familial tendency in chronic disease incidence , 1978 .

[27]  Arthur Wouk,et al.  A course of applied functional analysis , 1979 .

[28]  C A McGilchrist REML estimation for survival models with frailty. , 1993, Biometrics.

[29]  Erik T. Parner,et al.  Asymptotic theory for the correlated gamma-frailty model , 1998 .