Retracted: A hybrid artificial intelligence sales‐forecasting system in the convenience store industry

Recently, there has been increasing interest in computer-aided ergonomics and its applications, such as in the fields of intelligent robots, intelligent mobiles, intelligent stores, and so on. The operation of convenience stores (CVS) in Taiwan is facing a crossover revolution by providing multiple services, including daily fresh foods, a cafe, ticketing, and a grocery. Therefore, forecasting the daily sales of fresh foods is getting more and more complex due to the influence of both internal and external factors. Eventually, a reliable sales-forecasting system will play an important role in improving business strategies and increasing competitive advantages. The purpose of this study is the development of an enhanced hybrid sales-forecasting model of fresh foods, called ECFM (Enhanced Cluster and Forecast Model), for CVSs by combining a self-organization map (SOM) neural network and radial basis function (RBF) neural networks. The model is evaluated for a six-month sales data set of daily fresh foods at a chained CVS in Taiwan. Meanwhile, the performance of the proposed model is compared with that of fuzzy neural network (FNN) and cluster and forecast model (CFM). The result reveals that the proposed model is not only amenable but can also promise the fresh food sales forecasting for CVSs. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

[1]  Ignacio Rojas,et al.  SSA, SVD, QR-cp, and RBF Model Reduction , 2002, ICANN.

[2]  Spyros Makridakis,et al.  Forecasting Methods for Management , 1989 .

[3]  Y. L. Loukas,et al.  Radial basis function networks in host–guest interactions: instant and accurate formation constant calculations , 2000 .

[4]  Junfei Qiao,et al.  Research on an online self-organizing radial basis function neural network , 2010, Neural Computing and Applications.

[5]  Nikola Kasabov,et al.  Foundations Of Neural Networks, Fuzzy Systems, And Knowledge Engineering [Books in Brief] , 1996, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks.

[6]  Héctor Pomares,et al.  Time series analysis using normalized PG-RBF network with regression weights , 2002, Neurocomputing.

[7]  Wan-I Lee,et al.  Relationship between quality of medical treatment and customer satisfaction - a case study in dental clinic association , 2010 .

[8]  E. Lusk Evaluating performance statistics used to monitor performance: A fuzzy approach , 1981 .

[9]  Richard DeRoeck,et al.  Is there a gap between forecasting theory and practice? A personal view , 1991 .

[10]  Adamantios Diamantopoulos,et al.  A model of export sales forecasting behavior and performance: development and testing , 2003 .

[11]  Cheng-Wu Chen,et al.  Modeling and control for nonlinear structural systems via a NN-based approach , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[12]  Wan-I Lee The Development of a Qualitative Dynamic Attribute Value Model for Healthcare Institutes , 2010, Iranian journal of public health.

[13]  Wan-I Lee,et al.  Consumer hierarchical value map modeling in the healthcare service industry , 2011 .

[14]  John C. Platt A Resource-Allocating Network for Function Interpolation , 1991, Neural Computation.

[15]  David E. Rumelhart,et al.  Generalization by Weight-Elimination with Application to Forecasting , 1990, NIPS.

[16]  Charles W. Chase Ways to Improve Sales Forecasts , 1993 .

[17]  Cheng-Wu Chen,et al.  Application of Fuzzy-model-based Control to Nonlinear Structural Systems with Time Delay: an LMI Method , 2010 .

[18]  Michel Happiette,et al.  A neural clustering and classification system for sales forecasting of new apparel items , 2007, Appl. Soft Comput..

[19]  Nicolaos B. Karayiannis,et al.  Growing radial basis neural networks: merging supervised and unsupervised learning with network growth techniques , 1997, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[20]  Teresa M. McCarthy,et al.  The Evolution of Sales Forecasting Management: A 20-year Longitudinal Study of Forecasting Practices , 2006 .

[21]  Teuvo Kohonen,et al.  Self-Organizing Maps , 2010 .

[22]  Chen-Yuan Chen,et al.  RETRACTED: The Development of Half-circle Fuzzy Numbers and Application in Fuzzy Control , 2010 .

[23]  Bih-Yaw Shih,et al.  The Development of a CFM Hybrid Artificial Sale Forecasting Model , 2008, Int. J. Electron. Bus. Manag..

[24]  Cheng-Wu Chen,et al.  Analysis of experimental data on internal waves with statistical method , 2007 .

[25]  Srikant M. Datar,et al.  Organizational Design and Control Across Multiple Markets: The Case of Franchising in the Convenience Store Industry , 2009 .

[26]  Paul A. Fishwick,et al.  Time series forecasting using neural networks vs. Box- Jenkins methodology , 1991, Simul..

[27]  Rajkumar Venkatesan,et al.  Evolutionary Estimation of Macro-Level Diffusion Models Using Genetic Algorithms: An Alternative to Nonlinear Least Squares , 2004 .

[28]  Essam Mahmoud,et al.  Bridging the gap between theory and practice in forecasting , 1992 .

[29]  E. Frees,et al.  Sales forecasting using longitudinal data models , 2004 .

[30]  A. M. Kalteh,et al.  Review of the self-organizing map (SOM) approach in water resources: Analysis, modelling and application , 2008, Environ. Model. Softw..

[31]  J. Armstrong Research Needs in Forecasting , 1988 .

[32]  Yi-Hsuan Chen,et al.  RETRACTED: Obstacle avoidance design for a humanoid intelligent robot with ultrasonic sensors , 2011 .

[33]  Tsung-Hao Chen,et al.  The relationship between consumer orientation, service value, medical care service quality and patient satisfaction: The case of a medical center in Southern Taiwan , 2010 .