Long-term climate commitments projected with climate-carbon cycle models
暂无分享,去创建一个
Julia C. Hargreaves | Andrei P. Sokolov | Reto Knutti | Neil R. Edwards | A. R. Price | Stephanie Dutkiewicz | Victor Brovkin | Anne Mouchet | Gian-Kasper Plattner | Thierry Fichefet | Thomas F. Stocker | Fortunat Joos | Chris D. Jones | W. von Bloh | E. Driesschaert | Andrew J. Weaver | Marie-France Loutre | V. Brovkin | F. Joos | T. Fichefet | A. Weaver | T. Stocker | R. Knutti | M. Loutre | C. Jones | G. Plattner | H. Matthews | W. Bloh | M. Eby | K. Strassmann | A. Sokolov | J. Hargreaves | S. Dutkiewicz | N. Edwards | D. Cameron | E. Driesschaert | A. Mouchet | S. Nawrath | Michael Eby | S. Mueller | K. M. Strassmann | David Cameron | Susanne Nawrath | H. D. Matthews | S. A. Mueller
[1] D. Randall,et al. Climate models and their evaluation , 2007 .
[2] T. Stocker,et al. Supporting evidence from the EPICA Dronning Maud Land ice core for atmospheric CO2 changes during the past millennium , 2005 .
[3] Atul K. Jain,et al. Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty and the Need for Energy Without CO2 Emission , 2003, Science.
[4] R. Dickinson,et al. Couplings between changes in the climate system and biogeochemistry , 2007 .
[5] Katrin J. Meissner,et al. The role of land surface dynamics in glacial inception: a study with the UVic Earth System Model , 2003 .
[6] Chris D. Jones,et al. Impact of climate-carbon cycle feedbacks on emissions scenarios to achieve stabilisation , 2006 .
[7] L. Perelman,et al. A finite-volume, incompressible Navier Stokes model for studies of the ocean on parallel computers , 1997 .
[8] Mark E. Borsuk,et al. Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods , 2007 .
[9] Yuexin Liu,et al. Modeling the emissions of nitrous oxide (N₂O) and methane (CH₄) from the terrestrial biosphere to the atmosphere , 1996 .
[10] A. Hirst,et al. Changes in dissolved oxygen in the Southern Ocean with climate change , 2000 .
[11] Julia C. Hargreaves,et al. Using ensemble prediction methods to examine regional climate variation under global warming scenarios , 2006 .
[12] Fortunat Joos,et al. Stabilisation of atmospheric greenhouse gases: Physical, biological, and socio-economic implications , 1997 .
[13] Martijn Gough. Climate change , 2009, Canadian Medical Association Journal.
[14] Fortunat Joos,et al. Metrics to assess the mitigation of global warming by carbon capture and storage in the ocean and in geological reservoirs , 2004 .
[15] Atul K. Jain,et al. Stability: Energy for a Greenhouse Planet Advanced Technology Paths to Global Climate , 2008 .
[16] T. Stocker,et al. Supporting evidence from the EPICA Dronning Maud Land ice core for atmospheric CO2 changes during the past millennium , 2005 .
[17] Klaus S. Lackner,et al. A Guide to CO2 Sequestration , 2003, Science.
[18] W. G. Strand,et al. How Much More Global Warming and Sea Level Rise? , 2005, Science.
[19] M. Maqueda,et al. Sensitivity of a global sea ice model to the treatment of ice thermodynamics and dynamics , 1997 .
[20] T. Wigley,et al. Analytical solution for the effect of increasing CO2 on global mean temperature , 1985, Nature.
[21] M. Maqueda,et al. Performance of a second‐order moments advection scheme in an Ocean General Circulation Model , 2006 .
[22] E. Dlugokencky,et al. Atmospheric chemistry and greenhouse gases , 2001 .
[23] Pierre Friedlingstein,et al. Contributions of past and present human generations to committed warming caused by carbon dioxide. , 2005, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[24] James D. Annan,et al. Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles of Paleoclimate Simulations , 2005 .
[25] James D. Annan,et al. An efficient climate forecasting method using an intermediate complexity Earth System Model and the ensemble Kalman filter , 2004 .
[26] T. Stocker,et al. The effects of subgrid-scale parameterizations in a zonally averaged ocean model , 2000 .
[27] T. Wigley,et al. Analytical solution for the effect of increasing CO2 on global mean temperature , 1985, Nature.
[28] S. Rahmstorf,et al. The earth system model of intermediate complexity CLIMBER-3α. Part I: description and performance for present-day conditions , 2005 .
[29] T. Wigley. The Climate Change Commitment , 2005, Science.
[30] M. Scholze,et al. Constraining temperature variations over the last millennium by comparing simulated and observed atmospheric CO2 , 2003 .
[31] A. Kattenberg,et al. ECBILT: a dynamic alternative to mixed boundary conditions in ocean models , 1998 .
[32] Jonathan M. Gregory,et al. The Role of Climate Sensitivity and Ocean Heat Uptake on AOGCM Transient Temperature Response , 2002 .
[33] Jan S. Fuglestvedt,et al. A simple model for scenario studies of changes in global climate: Version 1.0 , 1999 .
[34] Stefano Schiavon,et al. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. , 2007 .
[35] Nicolas Gruber,et al. The Oceanic Sink for Anthropogenic CO2 , 2004, Science.
[36] R. Dickinson,et al. The land surface climatology of the community land model coupled to the NCAR community climate model , 2002 .
[37] André Berger,et al. Simulation of the Last Glacial Cycle By a Coupled, Sectorially Averaged Climate-ice Sheet Model .2. Response To Insolation and Co2 Variations , 1992 .
[38] Andrei P. Sokolov,et al. A flexible climate model for use in integrated assessments , 1998 .
[39] Victor Brovkin,et al. Carbon cycle, vegetation, and climate dynamics in the Holocene: Experiments with the CLIMBER‐2 model , 2002 .
[40] A. R. Price,et al. Millennial timescale carbon cycle and climate change in an efficient Earth system model , 2006 .
[41] G. Fischer,et al. Simulating effects of land use changes on carbon fluxes: past contributions to atmospheric CO2 increases and future commitments due to losses of terrestrial sink capacity , 2008 .
[42] H. L. Miller,et al. Global climate projections , 2007 .
[43] Y. Yoshida,et al. Long-term climate response to stabilized and overshoot anthropogenic forcings beyond the twenty-first century , 2006 .
[44] H. Damon Matthews. Emissions targets for CO2 stabilization as modified by carbon cycle feedbacks , 2006 .
[45] K. Bryan. A Numerical Method for the Study of the Circulation of the World Ocean , 1997 .
[46] Ian G. Enting,et al. Future emissions and concentrations of carbon dioxide: Key ocean / atmosphere / land analyses , 1994 .
[47] Andrei P. Sokolov,et al. A Three-Dimensional Ocean-Seaice-Carbon Cycle Model and its Coupling to a Two-Dimensional Atmospheric Model: Uses in Climate Change Studies , 2005 .
[48] Uwe Mikolajewicz,et al. Long-term effects of anthropogenic CO2 emissions simulated with a complex earth system model , 2007 .
[49] Gian-Kasper Plattner,et al. Feedback mechanisms and sensitivities of ocean carbon uptake under global warming , 2001 .
[50] Stephen Sitch,et al. Global warming feedbacks on terrestrial carbon uptake under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Emission Scenarios , 2001 .
[51] Reservoir time-scales for anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere: commentary , 1996 .
[52] Andrei P. Sokolov,et al. A model intercomparison of changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration , 2005 .
[53] G. Meehl,et al. OVERVIEW OF THE COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT , 2005 .
[54] I. G. Enting,et al. On the use of smoothing splines to filter CO2 data , 1987 .
[55] Peter M. Cox,et al. An analogue model to derive additional climate change scenarios from existing GCM simulations , 2000 .
[56] Thomas F. Stocker,et al. A latitude-depth, circulation-biogeochemical ocean model for paleoclimate studies. Development and sensitivities , 1998 .
[57] J. Houghton,et al. Climate change 2001 : the scientific basis , 2001 .
[58] W. Collins,et al. Global climate projections , 2007 .
[59] Christopher B. Field,et al. Current status and past trends of the global carbon cycle , 2004 .
[60] L. Harvey. Effect of ocean mixing on the transient climate response to a CO2 increase: Analysis of recent model results , 1986 .
[61] Chris D. Jones,et al. Modelling vegetation and the carbon cycle as interactive elements of the climate system , 2002 .
[62] C. D. Keeling,et al. Atmospheric CO 2 records from sites in the SIO air sampling network , 1994 .
[63] S. Gerber,et al. Sensitivity of a dynamic global vegetation model to climate and atmospheric CO2 , 2004 .
[64] Two decades of ocean CO2 sink and variability , 2003 .
[65] William H. Lipscomb,et al. An energy-conserving thermodynamic model of sea ice , 1999 .
[66] M. Latif,et al. Evaluation of Different Methods to Assess Model Projections of the Future Evolution of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation , 2007 .
[67] David William Keith,et al. Climate Strategy with Co2 Capture from the Air , 2006 .
[68] L. Harvey,et al. Declining Temporal Effectiveness of Carbon Sequestration: Implications for Compliance with the United National Framework Convention on Climate Change , 2004 .
[69] J. Edmonds,et al. Economic and environmental choices in the stabilization of atmospheric CO2 concentrations , 1996, Nature.
[70] M. Claussen,et al. EMIC Intercomparison Project (EMIP–CO2): comparative analysis of EMIC simulations of climate, and of equilibrium and transient responses to atmospheric CO2 doubling , 2005 .
[71] Reto Knutti,et al. Probabilistic climate change projections for CO2 stabilization profiles , 2005 .
[72] Philippe Huybrechts,et al. Sea-level changes at the LGM from ice-dynamic reconstructions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the glacial cycles , 2002 .
[73] David W. Keith,et al. Climate Strategy with Co2 Capture from the Air , 2001 .
[74] Thomas F. Stocker,et al. The Stability of the Thermohaline Circulation in Global Warming Experiments , 1999 .
[75] Corinne Le Quéré,et al. Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level , 2007 .
[76] L. Harvey. A Semianalytic Energy Balance Climate Model with Explicit Sea Ice and Snow Physics , 1988 .
[77] H. Matthews. Emissions targets for CO2 stabilization as modified by carbon cycle feedbacks , 2006 .
[78] F. Joos,et al. A Paleo-perspective on changes in atmospheric CO2 and climate , 2004 .
[79] Victor Brovkin,et al. CLIMBER-2: a climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part I: model description and performance for present climate , 2000 .
[80] Syukuro Manabe,et al. Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming , 1998, Nature.
[81] Thomas F. Stocker,et al. A Zonally Averaged, Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model for Paleoclimate Studies , 1992 .
[82] L. Perelman,et al. Hydrostatic, quasi‐hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic ocean modeling , 1997 .
[83] M. Winton,et al. A Reformulated Three-Layer Sea Ice Model , 2000 .
[84] Jorge L. Sarmiento,et al. Oceanic Carbon Dioxide Uptake in a Model of Century-Scale Global Warming , 1996, Science.
[85] Frank Lunkeit,et al. Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models , 2002 .
[86] A. McGuire,et al. Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America , 1992 .
[87] L. François,et al. Sensitivity of a global oceanic carbon cycle model to the circulation and to the fate of organic matter: preliminary results , 1996 .
[88] L. Harvey. A two‐dimensional ocean model for long‐term climatic simulations: Stability and coupling to atmospheric and sea ice models , 1992 .
[89] S. Manabe,et al. Response of a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model to Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide: Sensitivity to the Rate of Increase , 1999 .
[90] I. C. Prentice,et al. Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the Twentieth Century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land use effects with four process‐based ecosystem models , 2001 .
[91] L. Lackner,et al. A guide to CO_2 sequestration , 2003 .
[92] J. Dufresne,et al. Positive feedback between future climate change and the carbon cycle , 2001 .
[93] F. Tubiello,et al. Reservoir timescales for anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere , 1994, Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology.
[94] R. Reynolds,et al. Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[95] Sergey Paltsev,et al. MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) Version 2: Model Description and Baseline Evaluation , 2005 .
[96] David Archer,et al. Fate of fossil fuel CO2 in geologic time , 2005 .
[97] Corinne Le Quéré,et al. An efficient and accurate representation of complex oceanic and biospheric models of anthropogenic carbon uptake , 1996 .
[98] D. Streets,et al. Dangerous human-made interference with climate: a GISS modelE study , 2006, physics/0610115.
[99] David Archer,et al. Multiple timescales for neutralization of fossil fuel CO2 , 1997 .
[100] F. Woodward,et al. Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: results from six dynamic global vegetation models , 2001 .
[101] Thomas F. Stocker,et al. Influence of CO2 emission rates on the stability of the thermohaline circulation , 1997, Nature.
[102] Robert J. Scholes,et al. The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide , 2001 .
[103] V. Brovkin,et al. A continuous climate-vegetation classification for use in climate-biosphere studies , 1997 .
[104] D. Etheridge,et al. Natural and anthropogenic changes in atmospheric CO2 over the last 1000 years from air in Antarctic ice and firn , 1996 .
[105] Marika M. Holland,et al. The UVic earth system climate model: Model description, climatology, and applications to past, present and future climates , 2001, Data, Models and Analysis.
[106] Nebojsa Nakicenovic,et al. Scenarios, targets, gaps and costs , 2004 .
[107] F. Joos,et al. Global warming and marine carbon cycle feedbacks on future atmospheric CO2 , 1999, Science.
[108] R. Schnur,et al. Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the C , 2006 .
[109] Victor Brovkin,et al. CLIMBER-2: a climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part II: model sensitivity , 2001 .
[110] G. Meehl,et al. Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature , 2006 .
[111] Robert Marsh,et al. Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model , 2005 .
[112] Nathan P. Gillett,et al. Natural and anthropogenic climate change: incorporating historical land cover change, vegetation dynamics and the global carbon cycle , 2004 .
[113] A. Manning,et al. Global oceanic and land biotic carbon sinks from the Scripps atmospheric oxygen flask sampling network , 2006 .
[114] Andrei P. Sokolov,et al. Consequences of Considering Carbon–Nitrogen Interactions on the Feedbacks between Climate and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle , 2008 .
[115] T. Fichefet,et al. A zonally averaged, three-basin ocean circulation model for climate studies , 1994 .
[116] K. Lambeck,et al. Effect of isostatic rebound on modelled ice volume variations during the last 200 kyr , 2001 .
[117] T. Stocker,et al. Influence of the Thermohaline Circulation on Projected Sea Level Rise , 2000 .
[118] Ronald G. Prinn,et al. Effects of ozone on net primary production and carbon sequestration in the conterminous United States using a biogeochemistry model , 2004 .
[119] A. Semtner. A MODEL FOR THE THERMODYNAMIC GROWTH OF SEA ICE IN NUMERICAL INVESTIGATIONS OF CLIMATE , 1975 .
[120] R. Houghton. The annual net flux of carbon to the atmosphere from changes in land use 1850–1990* , 1999 .
[121] Bas Eickhout,et al. Impacts of future land cover changes on atmospheric CO2 and climate , 2005 .
[122] J. Townshend,et al. Carbon emissions from tropical deforestation and regrowth based on satellite observations for the 1980s and 1990s , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[123] Jonathan M. Gregory,et al. The climate response to CO2 of the Hadley Centre coupled AOGCM with and without flux adjustment , 1997 .
[124] A. McGuire,et al. Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production , 1993, Nature.
[125] Peter H. Stone,et al. Efficient Three-Dimensional Global Models for Climate Studies: Models I and II , 1983 .
[126] Decrease of emissions required to stabilize atmospheric CO2 due to positive carbon cycle–climate feedbacks , 2005 .
[127] P. Gent,et al. Isopycnal mixing in ocean circulation models , 1990 .
[128] Christopher B. Field,et al. The global carbon cycle: integrating humans, climate and the natural world. , 2004 .
[129] Chris D. Jones,et al. Climate-carbon cycle feedbacks under stabilization: uncertainty and observational constraints , 2006 .
[130] E. Driesschaert. Climate change over the next millennia using LOVECLIM, a new Earth system model including the polar ice sheets , 2005 .
[131] Stephen Sitch,et al. Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase and climate change during the last 150 years , 2004 .
[132] S S I T C H,et al. Evaluation of Ecosystem Dynamics, Plant Geography and Terrestrial Carbon Cycling in the Lpj Dynamic Global Vegetation Model , 2022 .
[133] F. Joos,et al. The substitution of high‐resolution terrestrial biosphere models and carbon sequestration in response to changing CO2 and climate , 1999 .
[134] R. Houghton,et al. Why are estimates of the terrestrial carbon balance so different? , 2003 .
[135] I. C. Prentice,et al. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model , 2003 .
[136] R. Betts,et al. Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model , 2000, Nature.
[137] J. Berry,et al. A biochemical model of photosynthetic CO2 assimilation in leaves of C3 species , 1980, Planta.