Comparison of Agent-Based and Population-Based Simulations of Displacement of Crime

Within criminology, the process of crime displacement is usually explained by referring to the interaction of three types of agents: criminals, passers-by, and guardians. Most existing simulation models of this process are agent-based. However, when the number of agents considered becomes large, population-based simulation has computational advantages over agent-based simulation. This paper presents both an agent-based and a population-based simulation model of crime displacement, and reports a comparative evaluation of the two models. In addition, an approach is put forward to analyse the behaviour of both models by means of formal techniques.

[1]  A. J. Lotka,et al.  Elements of Physical Biology. , 1925, Nature.

[2]  David T. Herbert,et al.  The Geography of Urban Crime , 1982 .

[3]  S. Ellner,et al.  Dynamic Models in Biology , 2006 .

[4]  S. Jørgensen Models in Ecology , 1975 .

[5]  David N. Burghes,et al.  Modelling with differential equations , 1981 .

[6]  V. Volterra Fluctuations in the Abundance of a Species considered Mathematically , 1926, Nature.

[7]  Tibor Bosse,et al.  Agent-based simulation of the spatial dynamics of crime: on the interplay between criminal hot spots and reputation , 2008, AAMAS.

[8]  M. Wells,et al.  Variations and Fluctuations of the Number of Individuals in Animal Species living together , 2006 .

[9]  Patrick R. Gartin,et al.  Hot Spots of Predatory Crime: Routine Activities and the Criminology of Place , 1989 .

[10]  Paul Davidsson,et al.  Multi-Agent and Multi-Agent-Based Simulation , 2008 .

[11]  H. P. Hudson,et al.  An application of the theory of probabilities to the study of a priori pathometry.—Part I , 1917 .

[12]  Jaime Simão Sichman,et al.  Multi-Agent-Based Simulation VI , 2005, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[13]  P. Kaye Infectious diseases of humans: Dynamics and control , 1993 .

[14]  Luis Antunes,et al.  Multi-Agent-Based Simulation VII, International Workshop, MABS 2006, Hakodate, Japan, May 8, 2006, Revised and Invited Papers , 2007, MABS.

[15]  Jaime Simão Sichman,et al.  Multi-Agent-Based Simulation , 2002, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[16]  A. J. Lotka Elements of Physical Biology. , 1925, Nature.

[17]  Tibor Bosse,et al.  Specification and Verification of Dynamics in Cognitive Agent Models , 2006, 2006 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Intelligent Agent Technology.

[18]  W. O. Kermack,et al.  A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics , 1927 .