Urbanization, energy consumption and emissions in the Indian context A review

As the world's fastest growing major economy and home to nearly one-fifth of the worlds population, India a vibrant democracy is in the midst of a profound transformation and rapid urbanization. Urbanization improves the quality of life of people while promoting economic growth; however it also increases energy consumption and is capable of generating an energy crisis. Urbanization has a significant impact on Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions as well. This paper empirically investigates the temporal, dynamic and causal relationships between urbanization, energy consumption and emissions. The study also aims to understand the urbanization process in India, in terms of the level and tempo of urbanization and the urban growth morphology, by utilizing the census data of 1901–2011. The rise in energy consumption and resulting emissions in the context of rapid urbanization is also reviewed. To address these problems the study recommends a series of measures and a set of strategies that include energy intensity and emission intensity reduction measures through continuous monitoring, information feedback systems, introduction of industrial energy quota management, incentives for energy efficient facilities, shutting down of inefficient facilities, and setting up of smart residential buildings. Reduction of distribution and transmission losses by investing in smart grids is also highly recommended.

[1]  Zhaohua Wang,et al.  An empirical research on the influencing factors of regional CO2 emissions: Evidence from Beijing city, China , 2012 .

[2]  Jyoti K. Parikh,et al.  Urbanization, energy use and greenhouse effects in economic development , 1995 .

[3]  Jyoti K. Parikh,et al.  Indias energy needs and low carbon options , 2011 .

[4]  A. Kundu Theories of City Size Distribution and Indian Urban Structure: A Reappraisal , 1983 .

[5]  J. Canadell,et al.  Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[6]  K. Sasaki,et al.  Motivation of Japanese companies to take environmental action to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions: an econometric analysis , 2008 .

[7]  Qiang Wang,et al.  Exploring the relationship between urbanization, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions in different provinces of China , 2016 .

[8]  Yi-Ming Wei,et al.  Analyzing impact factors of CO2 emissions using the STIRPAT model , 2006 .

[9]  Ivan Vera,et al.  Energy indicators for sustainable development , 2007 .

[10]  Bangzhu Zhu,et al.  Examining the impact factors of energy-related CO2 emissions using the STIRPAT model in Guangdong Province, China , 2013 .

[11]  Jining Chen,et al.  Decomposition of energy-related CO2 emission in China: 1957–2000 , 2005 .

[12]  J. Eom,et al.  Long term building energy demand for India: Disaggregating end use energy services in an integrated assessment modeling framework , 2014 .

[13]  D. Fraser The People Problem , 1983 .

[14]  Sajal Ghosh,et al.  Long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization, energy consumption and economic activity: Empirical evidence from India , 2014 .

[15]  Brian C. O'Neill,et al.  The effect of urbanization on energy use in India and China in the iPETS model , 2012 .

[16]  Muhammad Shahbaz,et al.  Economic growth, electricity consumption, urbanization and environmental degradation relationship in United Arab Emirates , 2014 .

[17]  村山 拓己 Information Activities in International Organizations[11]:IEA (International Energy Agency) , 1984 .

[18]  Fabian Kesicki,et al.  Costs and potentials of reducing CO2 emissions in the UK domestic stock from a systems perspective , 2012 .

[19]  Ming Zhang,et al.  Accounting for energy-related CO2 emission in China, 1991-2006 , 2009 .

[20]  U. K. Rout Prospects of India's energy and emissions for a long time frame , 2011 .

[21]  Muhd Zaimi Abd Majid,et al.  A global review of energy consumption, CO2 emissions and policy in the residential sector (with an overview of the top ten CO2 emitting countries) , 2015 .

[22]  Yuqing Yu,et al.  China's numerical management system for reducing national energy intensity , 2016 .

[23]  K. Davis,et al.  The Urbanization of the Human Population , 1965 .

[24]  C. Dahl,et al.  Oil Demand in the Developing World: Lessons from the 1980s Applied to the 1990s , 1994 .

[25]  Debesh Chakraborty,et al.  India's Energy Consumption Changes during 1973/74 to 1991/92 , 1999 .

[26]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  A comparative multivariate analysis of household energy requirements in Australia, Brazil, Denmark, India and Japan , 2006 .

[27]  Nadeem A. Burney,et al.  Socioeconomic development and electricity consumption A cross-country analysis using the random coefficient method , 1995 .

[28]  Ujjwal Kumar,et al.  Time series models (Grey-Markov, Grey Model with rolling mechanism and singular spectrum analysis) to forecast energy consumption in India , 2010 .

[29]  Hai-long Ma,et al.  Quantifying the relationship between urban development intensity and carbon dioxide emissions using a panel data analysis , 2015 .

[30]  Muhammad Shahbaz,et al.  Does financial development increase energy consumption? The role of industrialization and urbanization in Tunisia , 2011 .

[31]  D. Jones How urbanization affects energy-use in developing countries , 1991 .

[32]  Donald W. Jones,et al.  Urbanization and Energy Use In Economic Development , 1989 .

[33]  Brian J. L. Berry,et al.  Comparative urbanization: Divergent paths in the twentieth century , 1981 .

[34]  E. Rosa,et al.  STIRPAT, IPAT and ImPACT: analytic tools for unpacking the driving forces of environmental impacts , 2003 .

[35]  Ruth Nataly Echevarria Huaman,et al.  Energy related CO2 emissions and the progress on CCS projects: A review , 2014 .

[36]  Martin Brockerhoff,et al.  Urban Growth in Developing Countries: A Review of Projections and Predictions. Croissance urbaine dans les pays en voie de developpement: recapitulation des previsions et predictions. El crecimiento urbano en los paises en desarrollo: examen de las proyecciones y predicciones , 1999 .

[37]  Hai-long Ma,et al.  Spatial differences and multi-mechanism of carbon footprint based on GWR model in provincial China , 2014, Journal of Geographical Sciences.

[38]  Ruhul Salim,et al.  Urbanization and renewable and non-renewable energy consumption in OECD countries: An empirical analysis , 2014 .

[39]  Khalid Zaman,et al.  Factors determining energy consumption: Evidence from Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand , 2015 .

[40]  E. Rosa,et al.  A rift in modernity? assessing the anthropogenic sources of global climate change with the STIRPAT model , 2003 .

[41]  Yaobin Liu,et al.  Exploring the relationship between urbanization and energy consumption in China using ARDL (autoregressive distributed lag) and FDM (factor decomposition model) , 2009 .

[42]  Nilay Khare,et al.  Scenario analysis of the CO2 emissions reduction potential through clean coal technology in India's power sector: 2014–2050 , 2014 .

[43]  L. Suganthi,et al.  Energy models for demand forecasting—A review , 2012 .

[44]  Brian J. L. Berry,et al.  City Size Distributions and Economic Development , 1961, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[45]  Petros A. Pilavachi,et al.  Ex-post evaluation of European energy models , 2008 .

[46]  Shwetmala,et al.  Emissions from India's transport sector: Statewise synthesis , 2009 .

[47]  Dora Marinova,et al.  Analysis of the Environmental Impact of China based on STIRPAT Model , 2008 .

[48]  Hongwei Xiao,et al.  Carbon Emissions in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis at the Regional Level , 2014 .

[49]  Usama Al-mulali,et al.  Factors affecting CO2 emission in the Middle East: A panel data analysis , 2012 .

[50]  Ke Li,et al.  Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: Does the level of development matter? , 2015 .

[51]  M. Kummert,et al.  Designing net-zero energy buildings for the future climate, not for the past , 2012 .

[52]  Chuanglin Fang,et al.  Urbanisation, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A panel data analysis of China’s provinces , 2014 .

[53]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Cities lead the way in climate–change action , 2010, Nature.

[54]  Thorsten Schuetze,et al.  Sustainable Urban (re-)Development with Building Integrated Energy, Water and Waste Systems , 2013 .

[55]  Chuanguo Zhang,et al.  Panel estimation for urbanization, energy consumption and CO2 emissions: A regional analysis in China , 2012 .

[56]  Ramchandra Pode,et al.  Addressing India's energy security and options for decreasing energy dependency , 2010 .

[57]  Brantley Liddle,et al.  Age-structure, urbanization, and climate change in developed countries: revisiting STIRPAT for disaggregated population and consumption-related environmental impacts , 2010 .

[58]  I. Martínez‐Zarzoso The Impact of Urbanization on Co2 Emissions: Evidence from Developing Countries , 2008, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[59]  Kevin Lo,et al.  Measuring sustainable urbanization in China: a case study of the coastal Liaoning area , 2013, Sustainability Science.

[60]  Shaojian Wang,et al.  The Relationship between Urbanization, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in China: An Econometric Perspective Analysis , 2015 .

[61]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Does urbanization lead to less energy use and lower CO2 emissions? A cross-country analysis , 2010 .

[62]  Usama Al-mulali,et al.  Exploring the relationship between urbanization, energy consumption, and CO2 emission in MENA countries , 2013 .

[63]  M. Brockerhoff,et al.  Urban Growth in Developing Countries: A Review of Projections and Predictions , 1999 .

[64]  Qiang Wang,et al.  Effects of urbanisation on energy consumption in China , 2014 .

[65]  Chaolin Gu,et al.  Progress in research on Chinese urbanization , 2012 .