UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN ECOLOGICAL STUDIES:AN OVERVIEW

[1]  Robert V. O'Neill,et al.  Error propagation and uncertainty in process modeling , 1988 .

[2]  M. B. Beck,et al.  Uncertainty and forecasting of water quality , 1983 .

[3]  Edward J. Rykiel,et al.  Testing ecological models: the meaning of validation , 1996 .

[4]  S. Frolking,et al.  Net ecosystem productivity and its uncertainty in a diverse boreal peatland , 1999 .

[5]  E. Pebesma,et al.  Uncertainty in simulated nitrate leaching due to uncertainty in input data. A case study , 1999 .

[6]  M. B. Beck,et al.  Water quality modeling: A review of the analysis of uncertainty , 1987 .

[7]  Phongtape Wiwatanadate,et al.  Exact propagation of uncertainties in multiplicative models , 2000 .

[8]  Olivier Klepper,et al.  Multivariate aspects of model uncertainty analysis: tools for sensitivity analysis and calibration , 1997 .

[9]  Murugesu Sivapalan,et al.  Scale issues in hydrological modelling: A review , 1995 .

[10]  Atul K. Jain,et al.  Global change: state of the science. , 1999, Environmental pollution.

[11]  Robert V. O'Neill,et al.  Development and application of desirable ecological models , 1983 .

[12]  J. N. R. Jeffers,et al.  Systems Analysis of Ecosystems. , 1981 .

[13]  Willy Bauwens,et al.  UNCERTAINTY IN COUPLED NONPOINT SOURCE AND STREAM WATER-QUALITY MODELS , 2001 .

[14]  R. Katz.  Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies , 2002 .

[15]  R. H. Gardner,et al.  Parameter Uncertainty and Model Predictions: A Review of Monte Carlo Results , 1983 .

[16]  Kenneth H. Reckhow,et al.  Water quality simulation modeling and uncertainty analysis for risk assessment and decision making , 1994 .

[17]  N Oreskes,et al.  Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences , 1994, Science.

[18]  Max Henrion,et al.  Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , 1990 .

[19]  Stein Beldring,et al.  Multi-criteria validation of a precipitation–runoff model , 2002 .

[20]  Roman Krzysztofowicz.  Bayesian Forecasting via Deterministic Model , 1999 .

[21]  Keith Beven,et al.  The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. , 1992 .

[22]  A.H.C. van Bruggen,et al.  Global warming and nonlinear growth: how important are changes in average temperature? , 1994 .

[23]  James F. Reynolds,et al.  7 – Scaling Ecophysiology from the Plant to the Ecosystem: A Conceptual Framework , 1993 .

[24]  P. Stott,et al.  Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise , 2002, Nature.

[25]  H Scherm,et al.  Simulating uncertainty in climate-pest models with fuzzy numbers. , 2000, Environmental pollution.

[26]  Keith Beven,et al.  Equifinality, sensitivity and predictive uncertainty in the estimation of critical loads , 1999 .

[27]  S. Carpenter,et al.  Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. , 2001, Science.

[28]  Andrei P. Sokolov,et al.  Quantifying Uncertainties in Climate System Properties with the Use of Recent Climate Observations , 2002, Science.

[29]  Jian-guo Wu.  Hierarchy and scaling: Extrapolating informa-tion along a scaling ladder , 1999 .

[30]  Atul K. Jain,et al.  Is there an imbalance in the global budget of bomb-produced radiocarbon? , 1997 .

[31]  M. Jansen,et al.  Prediction error through modelling concepts and uncertainty from basic data , 1998 .

[32]  M. D. McKay,et al.  A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code , 2000 .

[33]  S. G. Tzafestas,et al.  Methodology in Systems Modelling and Simulation , 1982, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[34]  Keith Beven,et al.  Estimation of evapotranspiration at the landscape scale: A fuzzy disaggregation approach , 1997 .

[35]  Helen M. Regan,et al.  A TAXONOMY AND TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION BIOLOGY , 2002 .

[36]  Roman Krzysztofowicz,et al.  Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model , 1999 .

[37]  K. Beven,et al.  Equifinality and uncertainty in physically based soil erosion models: Application of the glue methodology to WEPP-the water erosion prediction project-for sites in the UK and USA , 2000 .

[38]  Sallie Keller-McNulty,et al.  Workshop on Statistical Approaches for the Evaluation of Complex Computer Models , 2002 .

[39]  Arthur C. Petersen,et al.  Philosophy of climate science , 2000 .

[40]  G. Reinds,et al.  Uncertainty assessment in modelling soil acidification at the European scale : A case study , 1999 .

[41]  Jerome R. Ravetz,et al.  Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy , 1990 .

[42]  W. Winiwarter,et al.  Uncertainties in greenhouse gas emission inventories — evaluation, comparability and implications , 2001 .

[43]  T. D. Mitchell,et al.  Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty , 1999 .

[44]  C. T. Haan,et al.  Evaluation of Uncertainty in Estimated Flow and Phosphorus Loads by FHANTM , 1996 .

[45]  Fred L. Collopy,et al.  Error Measures for Generalizing About Forecasting Methods: Empirical Comparisons , 1992 .

[46]  T. O. Kvålseth.  Cautionary Note about R 2 , 1985 .

[47]  John F. B. Mitchell,et al.  Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change , 2000, Nature.

[48]  Anthony W King,et al.  Aggregating Fine-Scale Ecological Knowledge to Model Coarser-Scale Attributes of Ecosystems. , 1992, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[49]  R. Schulze.  Transcending scales of space and time in impact studies of climate and climate change on agrohydrological responses , 2000 .

[50]  Maarten Nauta,et al.  Separation of uncertainty and variability in quantitative microbial risk assessment models. , 2000 .

[51]  M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell,et al.  Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment , 1996 .

[52]  C. Field,et al.  Scaling physiological processes: leaf to globe. , 1995 .

[53]  Gerard B. M. Heuvelink.  Uncertainty analysis in environmental modelling under a change of spatial scale , 1998 .

[54]  J. Nash,et al.  River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I — A discussion of principles☆ , 1970 .

[55]  W. Hargrove,et al.  Simulating fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes , 2000 .

[56]  K. Lowell,et al.  Spatial Accuracy Assessment : Land Information Uncertainty in Natural Resources , 1999 .

[57]  Carolyn T. Hunsaker,et al.  Spatial uncertainty in ecology : implications for remote sensing and GIS applications , 2002 .

[58]  Scott V. Ollinger,et al.  Sources of Variability in Net Primary Production Predictions at a Regional Scale: A Comparison Using PnET-II and TEM 4.0 in Northeastern US Forests , 1999, Ecosystems.