Discrete Exponential Bayesian Networks: An Extension of Bayesian Networks to Discrete Natural Exponential Families

In this paper, we develop the notion of discrete exponential Bayesian network, parametrization of Bayesian networks (BNs) using more general discrete quadratic exponential families instead of usual multinomial ones. We then introduce a family of prior distributions which generalizes the Dirichlet prior classically used with discrete Bayesian network. We develop the posterior distribution for our discrete exponential BNs leading to bayesian estimations of the parameters of our models and one new scoring function extending the Bayesian Dirichlet score used for structure learning. These theoretical results are finally illustrated for Poisson and Negative Binomial BNs.

[1]  Guido Consonni,et al.  Conjugate Priors for Exponential Families Having Quadratic Variance Functions , 1992 .

[2]  David Heckerman,et al.  A Tutorial on Learning with Bayesian Networks , 1998, Learning in Graphical Models.

[3]  Abdelhamid Hassairi La classification des familles exponentielles naturelles sur Rn par l'action du groupe linéaire de Rn+1 , 1992 .

[4]  A. Masmoudi,et al.  Characterization of multinomial exponential families by generalized variance , 2010 .

[5]  J. F. C. Kingman,et al.  Information and Exponential Families in Statistical Theory , 1980 .

[6]  David Maxwell Chickering,et al.  Learning Bayesian Networks: The Combination of Knowledge and Statistical Data , 1994, Machine Learning.

[7]  C. Morris Natural Exponential Families with Quadratic Variance Functions , 1982 .

[8]  David Heckerman,et al.  Causal independence for probability assessment and inference using Bayesian networks , 1996, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

[9]  Michael I. Jordan,et al.  Graphical Models, Exponential Families, and Variational Inference , 2008, Found. Trends Mach. Learn..

[10]  P. Diaconis,et al.  Conjugate Priors for Exponential Families , 1979 .

[11]  Matthew J. Beal,et al.  The variational Bayesian EM algorithm for incomplete data: with application to scoring graphical model structures , 2003 .

[12]  H. Raiffa,et al.  Applied Statistical Decision Theory. , 1961 .

[13]  David Heckerman,et al.  Learning Bayesian Networks: Search Methods and Experimental Results , 1995 .