Quantifying reserve demands due to increasing wind power penetration

With wind power penetration increasing in many systems worldwide, operational issues are beginning to emerge due to the uncertain nature of wind power. One of these issues is the provision of reserve for system security. To analyse this, one must consider generator outage rates, system load forecast errors and wind power forecast errors in such a way as to directly relate the system reserve level to the security of the system. In this paper a new methodology is proposed for the analysis and provision of system reserve levels. The methodology considers the provision of both reserve (on-line) and replacement reserve (off-line). The proposed methodology is then applied to the IEEE reliability test system incorporating other influencing factors like wind farm size and numbers and forecast periods. Results illustrate the impact increasing wind power penetration has on reserve.