Development of a hybrid method to assess grid-related LOOP scenarios for an NPP

Abstract Loss of Offsite Power (LOOP) is the most dominant initiating event in the Core Damage Frequency (CDF) of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Since the frequency of occurrence of LOOP depends on the grid configuration, outage schedule, load flow, etc., even a relevant generic frequency may result in significant uncertainty. In this study, an analytical hybrid methodology, which combines the probabilistic and deterministic modules, is introduced to systematically estimate the frequency of Grid-related LOOP. The proposed probabilistic module develops the relevant event-trees and fault-trees in SAPHIRE7 to identify the LOOP sequences upon the response of the distance protection system to a fault on the transmission lines. Meanwhile, the identified scenarios are confirmed based on the simulation results from the deterministic module in DIgSILENT-PowerFactory15.1. 15-out-of-48 scenarios (100-out-of-300 sequences) are identified as grid-related LOOP upon faults on the four transmission lines of the test grid, and result in 1.76E-06/yr for the grid-related LOOP frequency. The developed methodology enables us to trace a LOOP chain, from a primitive presumed fault through the progress of the cascade. The grid-related LOOP scenarios in a certain network can be ranked probabilistically, with the desired level of details in both deterministic and probabilistic modules.

[1]  W. L. Kling,et al.  Substation reliability evaluation including switching actions with redundant components , 1997 .

[2]  Marko Čepin Probability of restoring power to the transmission power system and the time to restore power , 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[3]  A. Mohamed,et al.  Risk based static security assessment in a practical interconnected power system , 2008, 2008 IEEE 2nd International Power and Energy Conference.

[4]  J. S. Thorp,et al.  Optimal Locations for Protection System Enhancement: A Simulation of Cascading Outages , 2001, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[5]  K. R. Padiyar,et al.  Power system dynamics : stability and control , 1996 .

[6]  Peter Crossley,et al.  Design and reliability of integrated protection and control schemes , 1996 .

[7]  Lun-Hui Lee,et al.  Reliability assessment of generation and transmission systems using fault-tree analysis , 2009 .

[8]  Roy Billinton,et al.  A framework for incorporating voltage and transient stability considerations in well-being evaluation of composite power systems , 1999, 1999 IEEE Power Engineering Society Summer Meeting. Conference Proceedings (Cat. No.99CH36364).

[9]  Chanan Singh,et al.  Power system reliability evaluation considering cyber-malfunctions in substations , 2015 .

[10]  Marko Čepin,et al.  Advantages and difficulties with the application of methods of probabilistic safety assessment to the power systems reliability , 2012 .

[11]  Pierre-Etienne Labeau,et al.  A level-1 probabilistic risk assessment to blackout hazard in transmission power systems , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[12]  Dmitry Krupenev,et al.  Improvement in the computational efficiency of a technique for assessing the reliability of electric power systems based on the Monte Carlo method , 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[13]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Basic Power System Reliability Concepts , 1990 .

[14]  C. C. Fong,et al.  Bulk power system reliability performance assessment , 1994 .

[15]  P. M. Anderson,et al.  An improved reliability model for redundant protective systems-Markov models , 1997 .

[16]  Zhiping Li Loss of Offsite Power Frequency Calculation II , 2014 .

[17]  James S. Thorp,et al.  Anatomy of power system disturbances : importance sampling , 1998 .

[18]  Liisa Haarla,et al.  A method for analysing the reliability of a transmission grid , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[19]  Yi Ding,et al.  Reliability evaluation of power systems with multi-state warm standby and multi-state performance sharing mechanism , 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[20]  Borut Mavko,et al.  Application of the fault tree analysis for assessment of power system reliability , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[21]  Ron Allan Power system reliability assessment—A conceptual and historical review , 1994 .

[22]  J. Machowski Power System Dynamics And Stability , 1997 .

[23]  Pierre-Etienne Labeau,et al.  Offsite power reliability assessment for nuclear power plants: An application of dynamic reliability to power systems , 2018 .

[24]  Liang Chang,et al.  Performance and reliability of electrical power grids under cascading failures , 2011 .

[25]  Pierre-Etienne Labeau,et al.  Dynamic reliability: towards an integrated platform for probabilistic risk assessment , 2000, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  Soon Heung Chang,et al.  The safety assessment of OPR-1000 nuclear power plant for station blackout accident applying the combined deterministic and probabilistic procedure , 2014 .

[27]  Ettore Francesco Bompard,et al.  Classification and trend analysis of threats origins to the security of power systems , 2013 .

[28]  Pierre-Etienne Labeau,et al.  Towards an integrated probabilistic analysis of the blackout risk in transmission power systems , 2011 .

[29]  Esteban Inga,et al.  State of Art, Reliability Assessment in the Transmission System based on Monte Carlo Method , 2016, IEEE Latin America Transactions.

[30]  Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez,et al.  An automated method for estimating reliability of grid systems using Bayesian networks , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[31]  Peter Crossley,et al.  The reliability of protection and control systems for transmission feeders , 1997 .

[32]  Mohammadreza Nematollahi,et al.  Using MCNP for success criteria evaluation of reactor trip function in probabilistic modeling of ATWS upon LOOP , 2018, Progress in Nuclear Energy.

[33]  T Areva,et al.  A Review of Mechanism of Large Cascading Failure Blackouts of Modern Power System , 2010 .

[34]  P. Kundur,et al.  Definition and classification of power system stability IEEE/CIGRE joint task force on stability terms and definitions , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[35]  Cristian Bovo,et al.  Security assessment in operation: a comparative study of probabilistic approaches , 2003, 2003 IEEE Bologna Power Tech Conference Proceedings,.

[36]  Chanan Singh,et al.  Steady state and dynamic security assessment in composite power systems , 2003, Proceedings of the 2003 International Symposium on Circuits and Systems, 2003. ISCAS '03..

[37]  Marko Čepin,et al.  Assessment of Power System Reliability: Methods and Applications , 2011 .

[38]  A. John Arul,et al.  The power law character of off-site power failures , 2003 .

[39]  T. Miki,et al.  Development of a hybrid type assessment method for power system dynamic reliability , 1999, IEEE SMC'99 Conference Proceedings. 1999 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (Cat. No.99CH37028).

[40]  Roy Billinton,et al.  Reliability evaluation of power systems , 1984 .

[41]  Tao Huang,et al.  A framework for analyzing cascading failure in large interconnected power systems: A post-contingency evolution simulator , 2016 .

[42]  Yishan Li,et al.  Power system reliability indices to measure impacts caused by transient stability crises , 2002, 2002 IEEE Power Engineering Society Winter Meeting. Conference Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37309).