Grade Retention and School Dropout: Investigating the Association

High dropout rates among students who repeated grades are often cited as evidence that grade retention is harmful. This article uses event history analysis to explore whether and how a grade retention influenced graduation outcomes among one cohort of youths from an urban school system. Repeating a grade from kindergarten to sixth grade was associated with a substantial increase in the odds of dropping out even after controlling for differences in background and postretention grades and attendance. This article explores whether grade retention may influence school dropout because it makes students overage for grade. Students who ended sixth grade overage for grade experienced substantial disengagement during middle school; nearly one quarter dropped out, and those who remained had significant declines in attendance. I find that the impact of being overage for grade during adolescence may explain a large proportion of the higher dropout rates among retained youths.

[1]  Melissa Roderick,et al.  The Path to Dropping Out: Evidence for Intervention , 1993 .

[2]  M. DeAntonio,et al.  BOOK REVIEWSAt the Threshold: The Developing AdolescentAt the Threshold: The Developing Adolescent, S. Shirley Feldman, Glen R. Elliot M.D., Ph.D. (Eds.), Harvard University Press, Combridge, MA (1990), p. 642, $39.95 (hardcover). , 1992 .

[3]  James C. Impara,et al.  Unraveling Teachers’ Beliefs About Grade Retention , 1992 .

[4]  Panayota Mantzicopoulos,et al.  Kindergarten Retention: Academic and Behavioral Outcomes Through the End of Second Grade: , 1992 .

[5]  John B. Willett,et al.  From Whether to When: New Methods for Studying Student Dropout and Teacher Attrition , 1991 .

[6]  J. First The Good Common School: Making the Vision Work for All Children. A Comprehensive Guide to Elementary School Restructuring. , 1991 .

[7]  J Douglas,et al.  Helping Students Who Fall Behind: Remedial Activities in the Middle Grades. Report No. 22. , 1991 .

[8]  Sarah Lord,et al.  What Are We Doing to Early Adolescents? The Impact of Educational Contexts on Early Adolescents , 1991, American Journal of Education.

[9]  Marcia C. Linn,et al.  Cognitive and Conceptual Change in Adolescence , 1991, American Journal of Education.

[10]  J. Epstein Responsive Practices in the Middle Grades: Teacher Teams, Advisory Groups, Remedial Instruction, and School Transition Programs , 1991, American Journal of Education.

[11]  N. Karweit Repeating a Grade: Time To Grow or Denial of Opportunity? Report No. 16. , 1991 .

[12]  M. Fine Framing Dropouts: Notes on the Politics of an Urban Public High School , 1991 .

[13]  G. Elliott,et al.  At the Threshold: The Developing Adolescent , 1990 .

[14]  J. Epstein,et al.  Promising Practices in Major Academic Subjects in the Middle Grades. Report No. 4. , 1990 .

[15]  J. Easton,et al.  June 1989 Grade Retention in Chicago Public Elementary Schools. Monitoring and Researching the Effects of School Reform in Chicago. , 1990 .

[16]  Lorrie A. Shepard,et al.  Flunking Grades: Research and Policies on Retention , 1989 .

[17]  L. Shepard,et al.  Escalating Academic Demand in Kindergarten: Counterproductive Policies , 1988, The Elementary School Journal.

[18]  Anne Wheelock,et al.  Before It's Too Late: Dropout Prevention in the Middle Grades. , 1988 .

[19]  A. Kolstad,et al.  Who drops out of high school? : findings from high school and beyond , 1987 .

[20]  R R Bruno,et al.  School enrollment--social and economic characteristics of students: October 1982. , 1986, Current population reports. Series P-20, Population characteristics.

[21]  Paul D. Allison,et al.  Event History Analysis : Regression for Longitudinal Event Data , 1984 .

[22]  Lucille B. Niklason Nonpromotion: A pseudoscientific solution , 1984 .

[23]  C. Thomas Holmes,et al.  The Effects of Nonpromotion on Elementary and Junior High School Pupils: A Meta-Analysis , 1984 .

[24]  F. Medway,et al.  A Fresh Look at the Retention-Promotion Controversy. , 1983 .

[25]  Peter J. Denning,et al.  A nation at risk: the imperative for educational reform , 1983, CACM.

[26]  G. Jackson The Research Evidence on the Effects of Grade Retention , 1975 .

[27]  Susan Harter,et al.  Self and identity development. , 1990 .

[28]  Deborah A Byrnes,et al.  Attitudes of students, parents and educators toward repeating a grade , 1989 .

[29]  Tom D. Schultz Testing and Retention of Young Children: Moving from Controversy to Reform. , 1989 .

[30]  Roy P. Doyle The Resistance of Conventional Wisdom to Research Evidence: The Case Of Retention in Grade , 1989 .

[31]  Marianne Cooper,et al.  Introduction and overview , 1988, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[32]  L. Shepard,et al.  What Doesn't Work: Explaining Policies of Retention in the Early Grades. , 1987 .

[33]  L. Shepard,et al.  Synthesis of Research on School Readiness and Kindergarten Retention. , 1986 .

[34]  M. Overman Student Promotion and Retention. , 1986 .

[35]  P. Allison Event History Analysis , 1984 .

[36]  C. Thomas Holmes,et al.  The Fourth R: Retention. , 1983 .

[37]  J. Bachman,et al.  Dropping out -- problem or symptom? , 1971 .