From the Editors

F this final issue of the year, our first two articles are on assessment of probabilities. First, Joel B. Predd, Daniel N. Osherson, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, and H. Vincent Poor present a method for “Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts.” In our second article, Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu, and Ryan Haggerty present the results of their experiment in “A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values.” Next, a new method for searching among a huge set of alternatives using preference information is presented in “An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences,” by Asim Roy, Patrick Mackin, Jyrki Wallenius, James Corner, Mark Keith, Gregory Schymik, and Hina Arora. In our final article, Niyazi Onur Bakır describes how to use decision analysis to compare antiterrorism measures in “A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry.” A call for papers on auctions for a special issue in memory of Michael Rothkopf is announced in this issue. The annual thank you to reviewers ends the issue.

[1]  Niyazi Onur Bakir A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry , 2008, Decis. Anal..

[2]  Aurélien Baillon,et al.  Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation , 2008, Decis. Anal..

[3]  Detlof von Winterfeldt,et al.  Should We Protect Commercial Airplanes Against Surface-to-Air Missile Attacks by Terrorists? , 2006, Decis. Anal..

[4]  H. Raiffa,et al.  Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey. , 1958 .

[5]  Ali E. Abbas,et al.  Attribute Dominance Utility , 2005, Decis. Anal..

[6]  Jyrki Wallenius,et al.  An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences , 2008, Decis. Anal..

[7]  H. Vincent Poor,et al.  Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts , 2008, Decis. Anal..

[8]  David V. Budescu,et al.  To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation , 2006, Decis. Anal..

[9]  J. René van Dorp,et al.  An Elicitation Procedure for the Generalized Trapezoidal Distribution with a Uniform Central Stage , 2007, Decis. Anal..

[10]  L. Robin Keller,et al.  A Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis for Terrorism Protection: Potassium Iodide Distribution in Nuclear Incidents , 2006, Decis. Anal..

[11]  Ali E. Abbas,et al.  Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations , 2007, Decis. Anal..

[12]  James L. Corner,et al.  Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications, 1990 - 2001 , 2004, Decis. Anal..

[13]  David V. Budescu,et al.  The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics , 2006, Decis. Anal..

[14]  Ali E. Abbas,et al.  A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values , 2008, Decis. Anal..