Explaining Criminal Careers: Implications for Justice Policy

1. Criminal Career Research, Mathematical Models, and Testing Quantitative Predictions from Theories 2. An Analysis of the Offenders Index 3. The Theory and a Simple Model 4. Criminal Careers of Serious, Less Serious, and Trivial Offenders 5. Is Age the Primary Influence on Offending? 6. Characteristics of Individuals 7. Applications for Managing the Criminal Justice System 8. Criminal Policy Implications 9. Summary and Conclusions Appendix: Mathematical Notes