Is the Iceberg Melting Less Quickly? International Trade Costs after World War Ii

International trade costs are of vital importance because they determine trade patterns and therefore economic performance. This paper develops a new micro-founded measure of international trade costs. It is based on a multi-country general equilibrium model of trade that incorporates bilateral "ice-berg" trade costs. The model results in a gravity equation from which the implied trade costs can be easily computed. The trade cost measure is intuitive, takes multilateral resistance into account and yields empirical results that are economically sensible. It is found that during the post-WorldWar II period trade costs have declined markedly. The dispersion of trade costs across countries can best be explained by geographical and historical factors like distance and colonial linkages but also by tariffs and free trade agreements

[1]  J. E. Anderson,et al.  Trade and Informal Institutions , 2008 .

[2]  David Hummels,et al.  Are Matched Partner Trade Statistics a Usable Measure of Transportation Costs? , 2006 .

[3]  Doireann Fitzgerald A Gravity View of Exchange Rate Disconnect , 2004 .

[4]  D. Novy,et al.  Trade Costs in the First Wave of Globalization , 2006 .

[5]  A. Rose,et al.  An Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income , 2001 .

[6]  David Hummels,et al.  Shipping the Good Apples Out? An Empirical Confirmation of the Alchian‐Allen Conjecture , 2002, Journal of Political Economy.

[7]  Daria Taglioni,et al.  Gravity for Dummies and Dummies for Gravity Equations , 2006 .

[8]  James E. Anderson,et al.  Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle , 2001 .

[9]  F. A. Hayek The American Economic Review , 2007 .

[10]  M. Lord,et al.  Regional trade patterns , 1998 .

[11]  Cletus C. Coughlin The increasing importance of proximity for exports from U.S. states , 2004 .

[12]  James E. Anderson A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation , 1979 .

[13]  Jonathan Eaton,et al.  Technology, Geography, and Trade , 2002 .

[14]  David Hummels Transportation Costs and International Trade in the Second Era of Globalization , 2007 .

[15]  James E. Anderson,et al.  Trade Costs , 2004 .

[16]  L. Tesar,et al.  Tastes and Technology in a Two-Country Model of the Business Cycle: Explaining International Comovements , 1990 .

[17]  K. Head,et al.  The Puzzling Persistence of the Distance Effect on Bilateral Trade , 2004 .

[18]  Barry Eichengreen,et al.  Is Regionalism Simply a Diversion?: Evidence from the Evolution of the EC and Efta , 1995, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[19]  T. Mayer,et al.  Non-Europe: The magnitude and causes of market fragmentation in the EU , 2000 .

[20]  A. Venables International Trade: Economic Integration , 2001 .

[21]  Reuven Glick,et al.  Endogenous Tradability and Macroeconomic Implications , 2003 .

[22]  A. Rose One Money, One Market: Estimating the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade , 1999 .

[23]  K. Head,et al.  Increasing Returns versus National Product Differentiation as an Explanation for the Pattern of US-C , 2001 .

[24]  David Hummels,et al.  Toward a Geography of Trade Costs , 1999, GTAP Working Paper.

[25]  T. Mayer,et al.  The Empirics of Agglomeration and Trade , 2003 .

[26]  Kenneth S. Rogoff,et al.  Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux , 1994, Journal of Political Economy.

[27]  Doireann Fitzgerald Trade Costs, Asset Market Frictions, and Risk Sharing , 2006 .

[28]  Scott L. Baier,et al.  The growth of world trade: tariffs, transport costs, and income similarity , 2001 .

[29]  P. Samuelson The Transfer Problem and Transport Costs, II: Analysis of Effects of Trade Impediments , 1954 .

[30]  K. Head,et al.  The Puzzling Persistence of the Distance Effect on Bilateral Trade , 2004, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[31]  David E. Weinstein,et al.  GLOBALIZATION AND THE GAINS FROM VARIETY , 2006 .

[32]  P. Krugman Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade , 1980 .

[33]  John Mccallum,et al.  National Borders Matter: Canada-U.S. Regional Trade Patterns , 1995 .