A TEST BED FOR NEW SEASONAL HYDROLOGIC FORECASTING APPROACHES IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES

An experimental forecast system based on modern hydrologic models facilitates the evaluation of data assimilation methods, ensemble climate forecasts, and dissemination of visual nowcast and forecast products in ways not possible with current operational methods.

[1]  G. Brier,et al.  Some applications of statistics to meteorology , 1958 .

[2]  Ralph H. Frederick,et al.  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service , 1973 .

[3]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier.  Limitations on Seasonal Snowmelt Forecast Accuracy , 1984 .

[4]  Gerald N. Day,et al.  Extended Streamflow Forecasting Using NWSRFS , 1985 .

[5]  Michael D. Kane,et al.  Nonparametric Framework for Long‐range Streamflow Forecasting , 1992 .

[6]  D. Garen.  Improved Techniques in Regression‐Based Streamflow Volume Forecasting , 1992 .

[7]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models , 1994 .

[8]  Victor Koren,et al.  Distributed modeling phase 1 results , 1999 .

[9]  L. Goddarda,et al.  CURRENT APPROACHES TO SEASONAL-TO-INTERANNUAL CLIMATE PREDICTIONS , 2000 .

[10]  C. M. Kishtawal,et al.  Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts for Weather and Seasonal Climate , 2000 .

[11]  S. Perica.  Hydrologic application of global emsemble precipitation forecasts , 2000 .

[12]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Long-range climate forecasting and its use for water management in the Pacific Northwest region of North America , 2000 .

[13]  M. Dettinger,et al.  Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States , 2001 .

[14]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  Indices of El Niño Evolution , 2001 .

[15]  A. Georgakakos,et al.  Assessment of Folsom Lake response to historical and potential future climate scenarios: 2. Reservoir management , 2001 .

[16]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Economic Value of Long-Lead Streamflow Forecasts for Columbia River Hydropower , 2002 .

[17]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States* , 2002 .

[18]  M. Mastin,et al.  Watershed models for decision support in the Yakima River basin, Washington , 2002 .

[19]  Arun Kumar,et al.  Long‐range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States , 2002 .

[20]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Long range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern U.S. , 2002 .

[21]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Variable infiltration capacity cold land process model updates , 2003 .

[22]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  Evaluation of Official Western U.S. Seasonal Water Supply Outlooks, 1922–2002 , 2004 .

[23]  J. D. Tarpley,et al.  The multi‐institution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS): Utilizing multiple GCIP products and partners in a continental distributed hydrological modeling system , 2004 .

[24]  Paul R. Houser,et al.  A methodology for snow data assimilation in a land surface model , 2004 .

[25]  M. Clark,et al.  Use of Medium-Range Numerical Weather Prediction Model Output to Produce Forecasts of Streamflow , 2004 .

[26]  Richard N. Palmer,et al.  Potential Implications of PCM Climate Change Scenarios for Sacramento–San Joaquin River Basin Hydrology and Water Resources , 2004 .

[27]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  The Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology and Water Resources of the Colorado River Basin , 2004 .

[28]  M. Clark,et al.  The Schaake Shuffle: A Method for Reconstructing Space–Time Variability in Forecasted Precipitation and Temperature Fields , 2004 .

[29]  Newsha K. Ajami,et al.  Hydrologic ensemble prediction experiment focuses on reliable forecasts , 2005 .

[30]  Martyn P. Clark,et al.  DECLINING MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK IN WESTERN NORTH AMERICA , 2005 .

[31]  Arun Kumar,et al.  A retrospective assessment of National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate model-based ensemble hydrologic forecasting in the western United States , 2005 .

[32]  Qingyun Duan,et al.  NOAA'S Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting , 2005 .

[33]  D. Garen,et al.  A Recent Increase in Western U.S. Streamflow Variability and Persistence , 2005 .

[34]  Martyn P. Clark,et al.  Effects of Temperature and Precipitation Variability on Snowpack Trends in the Western United States , 2005 .

[35]  Nws.  NOAA's Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service , 2005 .

[36]  Balaji Rajagopalan,et al.  A technique for incorporating large‐scale climate information in basin‐scale ensemble streamflow forecasts , 2005 .

[37]  Martyn P. Clark,et al.  Incorporating Medium-Range Numerical Weather Model Output into the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction System of the National Weather Service , 2005 .

[38]  N. Graham,et al.  Integrating climate‐hydrology forecasts and multi‐objective reservoir management for northern California , 2005 .

[39]  Shaleen Jain,et al.  Decreasing Reliability and Increasing Synchroneity of Western North American Streamflow , 2005 .

[40]  J. Garbrecht,et al.  Integration of Climate Information and Forecasts Into Western US Water Supply Forecasts , 2005 .

[41]  Andrew W. Wood,et al.  Use of Satellite Data for Streamflow and Reservoir Storage Forecasts in the Snake River Basin , 2006 .

[42]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  Assimilating remotely sensed snow observations into a macroscale hydrology model , 2006 .

[43]  S. Saha,et al.  The NCEP Climate Forecast System , 2006 .