Mean Shrinkage Estimation for High-Dimensional Diagonal Natural Exponential Families.

Shrinkage estimators have been studied widely in statistics and have profound impact in many applications. In this paper, we study simultaneous estimation of the mean parameters of random observations from a diagonal multivariate natural exponential family. More broadly, we study distributions for which the diagonal entries of the covariance matrix are certain quadratic functions of the mean parameter. We propose two classes of semi-parametric shrinkage estimators for the mean vector and construct unbiased estimators of the corresponding risk. Further, we establish the asymptotic consistency and convergence rates for these shrinkage estimators under squared error loss as both $n$, the sample size, and $p$, the dimension, tend to infinity. Finally, we consider the diagonal multivariate natural exponential families, which have been classified as consisting of the normal, Poisson, gamma, multinomial, negative multinomial, and hybrid classes of distributions. We deduce consistency of our estimators in the case of the normal, gamma, and negative multinomial distributions if $p n^{-1/3}\log^{4/3}{n} \rightarrow 0$ as $n,p \rightarrow \infty$, and for Poisson and multinomial distributions if $pn^{-1/2} \rightarrow 0$ as $n,p \rightarrow \infty$.

[1]  L. Brown,et al.  OPTIMAL SHRINKAGE ESTIMATION OF MEAN PARAMETERS IN FAMILY OF DISTRIBUTIONS WITH QUADRATIC VARIANCE. , 2016, Annals of statistics.

[2]  S. Kou,et al.  Optimal shrinkage estimation in heteroscedastic hierarchical linear models , 2015, 1503.06262.

[3]  Bernhard Schölkopf,et al.  Kernel Mean Shrinkage Estimators , 2014, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[4]  Lawrence D. Brown,et al.  SURE Estimates for a Heteroscedastic Hierarchical Model , 2012, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[5]  N. Čencov Statistical Decision Rules and Optimal Inference , 2000 .

[6]  Marvin H. J. Gruber Improving Efficiency by Shrinkage: The James--Stein and Ridge Regression Estimators , 1998 .

[7]  Gérard Letac,et al.  The diagonal multivariate natural exponential families and their classification , 1994 .

[8]  W. Strawderman,et al.  Stein Estimation: The Spherical Symmetric Case , 1990 .

[9]  L. Brown Fundamentals of statistical exponential families: with applications in statistical decision theory , 1986 .

[10]  Sheldon M. Ross,et al.  Stochastic Processes , 2018, Gauge Integral Structures for Stochastic Calculus and Quantum Electrodynamics.

[11]  C. Morris Natural Exponential Families with Quadratic Variance Functions , 1982 .

[12]  O. Barndorff-Nielsen Information and Exponential Families in Statistical Theory , 1980 .

[13]  B. Efron,et al.  Stein's Paradox in Statistics , 1977 .

[14]  J. Zidek,et al.  Simultaneous Estimation of the Means of Independent Poisson Laws , 1975 .

[15]  B. Efron,et al.  Data Analysis Using Stein's Estimator and its Generalizations , 1975 .

[16]  L. Brown,et al.  Admissibility of Procedures in Two-Dimensional Location Parameter Problems , 1974 .

[17]  L. Brown On the Admissibility of Invariant Estimators of One or More Location Parameters , 1966 .

[18]  J. Neyman,et al.  INADMISSIBILITY OF THE USUAL ESTIMATOR FOR THE MEAN OF A MULTIVARIATE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION , 2005 .

[19]  C. Stein,et al.  Estimation with Quadratic Loss , 1992 .

[20]  G. Letac Le problem de la classification des familles exponentielles naturelles de ℝd ayant une fonction variance quadratique , 1989 .