What drove the dramatic retreat of arctic sea ice during summer 2007?

[1] A model study has been conducted of the unprecedented retreat of arctic sea ice in the summer of 2007. It is found that preconditioning, anomalous winds, and ice-albedo feedback are mainly responsible for the retreat. Arctic sea ice in 2007 was preconditioned to radical changes after years of shrinking and thinning in a warm climate. During summer 2007 atmospheric changes strengthened the transpolar drift of sea ice, causing more ice to move out of the Pacific sector and the central Arctic Ocean where the reduction in ice thickness due to ice advection is up to 1.5 m more than usual. Some of the ice exited Fram Strait and some piled up in part of the Canada Basin and along the coast of northern Greenland, leaving behind an unusually large area of thin ice and open water. Thin ice and open water allow more surface solar heating because of a much reduced surface albedo, leading to amplified ice melting. The Arctic Ocean lost additional 10% of its total ice mass in which 70% is due directly to the amplified melting and 30% to the unusual ice advection, causing the unprecedented ice retreat. Arctic sea ice has entered a state of being particularly vulnerable to anomalous atmospheric forcing.

[1]  W. Washington,et al.  A large-scale numerical model of sea ice , 1979 .

[2]  D. Perovich,et al.  Arctic sea-ice conditions and the distribution of solar radiation during summer , 1997, Annals of Glaciology.

[3]  Josefino C. Comiso,et al.  Accelerated decline in the Arctic sea ice cover , 2008 .

[4]  Acia Impacts of a Warming Arctic: Arctic Climate Impact Assessment , 2004 .

[5]  Andrew Gettelman,et al.  The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007 Arctic sea ice extent minimum , 2008 .

[6]  Julienne C. Stroeve,et al.  Arctic Sea Ice Extent Plummets in 2007 , 2008 .

[7]  Florence Fetterer,et al.  Whither Arctic sea ice? A clear signal of decline regionally, seasonally and extending beyond the satellite record , 2007, Annals of Glaciology.

[8]  Josefino C. Comiso,et al.  Abrupt decline in the Arctic winter sea ice cover , 2006 .

[9]  W. Emery,et al.  A younger, thinner Arctic ice cover: Increased potential for rapid, extensive sea‐ice loss , 2007 .

[10]  D. Rothrock,et al.  Recent Changes in Arctic Sea Ice: The Interplay between Ice Dynamics and Thermodynamics , 2000 .

[11]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[12]  Ron Kwok,et al.  Near zero replenishment of the Arctic multiyear sea ice cover at the end of 2005 summer , 2007 .

[13]  D. A. Rothrock,et al.  Modeling Global Sea Ice with a Thickness and Enthalpy Distribution Model in Generalized Curvilinear Coordinates , 2003 .

[14]  Ron Lindsay,et al.  The thinning of Arctic sea ice, 1988-2003 : Have we passed a tipping point? , 2005 .

[15]  Jinlun Zhang,et al.  Arctic Ocean sea ice volume: What explains its recent depletion? , 2005 .

[16]  Kathleen F. Jones,et al.  Increasing solar heating of the Arctic Ocean and adjacent seas, 1979–2005: Attribution and role in the ice‐albedo feedback , 2007 .

[17]  Son V. Nghiem,et al.  Rapid reduction of Arctic perennial sea ice , 2007 .

[18]  Arctic Monitoring,et al.  Impacts of a warming Arctic : Arctic Climate Impact Assessment , 2004 .

[19]  Ron Kwok,et al.  Summer sea ice motion from the 18 GHz channel of AMSR‐E and the exchange of sea ice between the Pacific and Atlantic sectors , 2008 .

[20]  M. Steele,et al.  Did unusually sunny skies help drive the record sea ice minimum of 2007? , 2008 .

[21]  R. C. Malone,et al.  Parallel ocean general circulation modeling , 1992 .