A latent segmentation approach to a Kuhn–Tucker model: An application to recreation demand

In this paper, we extend the latent segmentation approach to the Kuhn-Tucker (KT) model. The proposed approach models heterogeneity in preferences for recreational behavior, using a utility theoretical framework to simultaneously model participation and site selection decisions. Estimation of the latent segmentation KT model with standard maximum likelihood techniques is numerically difficult because of the large number of parameters in the segment membership functions and the utility function for each latent segment. To address this problem, we propose the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm to estimate the model. In the empirical section, we implement the EM latent segmentation KT approach to analyze a Southern California beach recreation data set. Our empirical analysis suggests that three groups exist in the sample. Using the model to analyze two hypothetical beach management policy scenarios illustrates different welfare impacts across groups.

[1]  Gary J. Russell,et al.  A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structure , 1989 .

[2]  R. Scarpa,et al.  Destination Choice Models for Rock Climbing in the Northeastern Alps: A Latent-Class Approach Based on Intensity of Preferences , 2005, Land Economics.

[3]  J. Herriges,et al.  Corner Solution Models of Recreation Demand: A Comparison of Competing Frameworks , 1999 .

[4]  R. A. Boyles On the Convergence of the EM Algorithm , 1983 .

[5]  V. Smith,et al.  Recreation Demand Models , 2005 .

[6]  Riccardo Scarpa,et al.  Effects on Welfare Measures of Alternative Means of Accounting for Preference Heterogeneity in Recreational Demand Models , 2008 .

[7]  P. Boxall,et al.  Understanding Heterogeneous Preferences in Random Utility Models: A Latent Class Approach , 2002 .

[8]  D. Rubin,et al.  Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM - algorithm plus discussions on the paper , 1977 .

[9]  Paul A. Ruud,et al.  Extensions of estimation methods using the EM algorithm , 1991 .

[10]  W. Hanemann,et al.  Heterogeneous Preferences for Water Quality: A Finite Mixture Model of Beach Recreation in Southern California , 2006 .

[11]  Elisabetta Strazzera,et al.  Modeling Elicitation effects in contingent valuation studies: a Monte Carlo Analysis of the bivariate approach , 2005 .

[12]  Daniel J. Phaneuf,et al.  Kuhn-Tucker Demand System Approaches to Non-Market Valuation , 2005 .

[13]  Daniel J. Phaneuf,et al.  Estimation and Welfare Calculations in a Generalized Corner Solution Model with an Application to Recreation Demand , 2000, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[14]  Riccardo Scarpa,et al.  Destination Choice Models for Rock Climbing in the Northeast Alps: A Latent-Class Approach Based on Intensity of Participation , 2004 .

[15]  New York Dover,et al.  ON THE CONVERGENCE PROPERTIES OF THE EM ALGORITHM , 1983 .

[16]  Daniel J. Phaneuf,et al.  Estimating preferences for outdoor recreation: a comparison of continuous and count data demand system frameworks. , 2003 .

[17]  C. Bhat Quasi-random maximum simulated likelihood estimation of the mixed multinomial logit model , 2001 .

[18]  I. Krinsky,et al.  On Approximating the Statistical Properties of Elasticities , 1986 .

[19]  Rick L. Andrews,et al.  Retention of latent segments in regression-based marketing models , 2003 .

[20]  Bill Provencher,et al.  A Finite Mixture Logit Model of Recreational Angling with Serially Correlated Random Utility , 2002 .

[21]  J. Swait A structural equation model of latent segmentation and product choice for cross-sectional revealed preference choice data☆ , 1994 .

[22]  Roger H. von Haefen,et al.  Incorporating Observed Choice into the Construction of Welfare Measures from Random Utility Models , 2013 .

[23]  J. Herriges,et al.  Valuing Recreation and the Environment: Revealed Preference Methods in Theory and Practice, New Horizons in Environmental Economics , 1999 .

[24]  G. Parsons,et al.  Estimation and Welfare Analysis With Large Demand Systems , 2004 .

[25]  Kenneth Train,et al.  EM algorithms for nonparametric estimation of mixing distributions , 2008 .

[26]  T. Wales,et al.  Estimation of consumer demand systems with binding non-negativity constraints☆ , 1983 .

[27]  N. Hanley,et al.  The New Economics of Outdoor Recreation , 2003 .

[28]  Murray Aitkin,et al.  A hybrid EM/Gauss-Newton algorithm for maximum likelihood in mixture distributions , 1996, Stat. Comput..

[29]  K. Train Recreation Demand Models with Taste Differences Over People , 1998 .

[30]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  A multiple discrete–continuous extreme value model: formulation and application to discretionary time-use decisions , 2005 .

[31]  George Casella,et al.  Implementations of the Monte Carlo EM Algorithm , 2001 .

[32]  Roger H. von Haefen,et al.  Empirical strategies for incorporating weak complementarity into consumer demand models , 2007 .

[33]  Daniel J. Phaneuf,et al.  What's the Use? Welfare Estimates from Revealed Preference Models When Weak Complementarity Does Not Hold , 2000 .

[34]  D E Weeks,et al.  Trials, tribulations, and triumphs of the EM algorithm in pedigree analysis. , 1989, IMA journal of mathematics applied in medicine and biology.

[35]  K. Train Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation , 2003 .