Air pollution and infant mortality: a natural experiment from power plant desulfurization.

The paper estimates the effect of SO2 pollution on infant mortality in Germany, 1985-2003. To avoid endogeneity problems, I exploit the natural experiment created by the mandated desulfurization at power plants and power plants' location and prevailing wind directions, which together determine treatment intensity for counties. Estimates translate into an elasticity of 0.07-0.13 and the observed reduction in pollution implies an annual gain of 826-1460 infant lives. There is no evidence for disproportionate effects on neonatal mortality, but for an increase in the number of infants with comparatively low birth weight and length.

[1]  Juan Zhang,et al.  Infant Mortality and Air Pollution: A Comprehensive Analysis of U.S. Data for 1990 , 2000, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[2]  M. Bobák,et al.  The effect of air pollution on infant mortality appears specific for respiratory causes in the postneonatal period. , 1999, Epidemiology.

[3]  Tracey J. Woodruff,et al.  Air Pollution and Postneonatal Infant Mortality in the United States, 1999–2002 , 2007, Environmental health perspectives.

[4]  M. Greenstone,et al.  Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the Us , 2007 .

[5]  Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program and Ozone Reductions , 2012 .

[6]  Raymond J. Kopp,et al.  Social Cost of Environmental Quality Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[7]  J. Schwartz,et al.  Mortality and air pollution in London: a time series analysis. , 1990, American journal of epidemiology.

[8]  A. Foster,et al.  Voluntary Compliance, Pollution Levels, and Infant Mortality in Mexico. , 2009, The American economic review.

[9]  Tanja Pless-Mulloli,et al.  Does Particulate Air Pollution Contribute to Infant Death? A Systematic Review , 2004, Environmental health perspectives.

[10]  B. Schaerer,et al.  Bilanz der Grossfeuerungsanlagen-Verordnung : Massnahmen, Kosten und Nutzen , 1990 .

[11]  C. Fujiyama,et al.  Relationship between ambient sulfur dioxide levels and neonatal mortality near the Mt. Sakurajima volcano in Japan. , 1999, Journal of Epidemiology.

[12]  B. Brunekreef The effect of air pollution on infant mortality appears specific for respiratory causes in the postneonatal period. , 1999 .

[13]  D. Christiani,et al.  Infant susceptibility of mortality to air pollution in Seoul, South Korea. , 2003, Pediatrics.

[14]  Information, Avoidance Behavior, and Health: The Effect of Ozone on Asthma Hospitalizations , 2009 .

[15]  Michael Grossman,et al.  An Assessment of the Benefits of Air Pollution Control: the Case of Infant Health , 1986 .

[16]  S. Chinn,et al.  The relation of mortality in England and Wales 1969-73 to measurements of air pollution , 2022 .

[17]  S. Jayachandran Air Quality and Early-Life Mortality: Evidence from Indonesia's Wildfires , 2008 .

[18]  Joseph E. Aldy,et al.  The Value of a Statistical Life: A Critical Review of Market Estimates Throughout the World , 2003 .

[19]  W. Fricke,et al.  Atmospheric decay distances and times for sulphur and nitrogen oxides estimated from air and precipitation monitoring in eastern Canada , 1989 .

[20]  R. Burnett,et al.  Air pollution and sudden infant death syndrome. , 2004, Pediatrics.

[21]  S. Hajat,et al.  Outdoor air pollution and infant mortality: analysis of daily time-series data in 10 English cities , 2007, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health.

[22]  P. Saldiva,et al.  Air pollution and neonatal deaths in São Paulo, Brazil. , 2004, Brazilian journal of medical and biological research = Revista brasileira de pesquisas medicas e biologicas.

[23]  Simon Luechinger,et al.  Valuing Air Quality Using the Life Satisfaction Approach , 2009 .

[24]  Orley Ashenfelter,et al.  Using Mandated Speed Limits to Measure the Value of a Statistical Life , 2002, Journal of Political Economy.

[25]  J. Graff Zivin,et al.  Environment, Health, and Human Capital , 2013 .

[26]  J. Kurth,et al.  Lessons from the past decade , 2001 .

[27]  S. Schwartz,et al.  Acid Deposition: Unraveling a Regional Phenomenon , 1989, Science.

[28]  W. Mcdonnell,et al.  Long-term inhalable particles and other air pollutants related to mortality in nonsmokers. , 1999, American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine.

[29]  Martin Bobak,et al.  Ambient Air Pollution and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Review of the Literature , 2005, Environmental health perspectives.

[30]  R. Burnett,et al.  Lung cancer, cardiopulmonary mortality, and long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution. , 2002, JAMA.

[31]  S. Gerking,et al.  Averting Behavior and Urban Air Pollution , 1997 .

[32]  F. Ballester,et al.  Exposure to ambient air pollution and prenatal and early childhood health effects , 2004, European Journal of Epidemiology.

[33]  A. Lleras-Muney The Needs of the Army: Using Compulsory Relocation in the Military to Estimate the Effect of Air Pollutants on Children's Health , 2010 .

[34]  Katja Coneus,et al.  Pollution exposure and child health: evidence for infants and toddlers in Germany. , 2012, Journal of health economics.

[35]  S. Jayachandran Air Quality and Early-Life Mortality , 2009, The Journal of Human Resources.

[36]  Johannes F. Schmieder,et al.  Air Pollution and Infant Health: Lessons from New Jersey , 2008, Journal of health economics.

[38]  S. Redding,et al.  The Costs of Remoteness: Evidence from German Division and Reunification , 2005 .

[39]  H. R. Anderson,et al.  Air pollution and mortality: A history , 2009 .

[40]  E. Moretti,et al.  Pollution, Health, and Avoidance Behavior: Evidence from the Ports of Los Angeles , 2009 .

[41]  J. Currie,et al.  Air Pollution and Infant Health: What Can We Learn from California's Recent Experience? , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[42]  Johannes F. Schmieder,et al.  Fetal Exposures to Toxic Releases and Infant Health. , 2009, The American economic review.

[43]  Methods development for assessing air pollution control benefits. Volume I. experiments in the economics of air pollution epidemiology. Final report, October 1976-October 1978 , 1979 .

[44]  C. Dimitroulopoulou,et al.  Personal exposure of children to air pollution , 2009 .

[45]  J. Zivin,et al.  Days of Haze: Environmental Information Disclosure and Intertemporal Avoidance Behavior , 2008 .

[46]  Stefan Ma,et al.  Cardiorespiratory and all-cause mortality after restrictions on sulphur content of fuel in Hong Kong: an intervention study , 2002, The Lancet.

[47]  Matthew Neidell Information, Avoidance Behavior, and Health: The Effect of Ozone on Asthma Hospitalizations , 2008 .

[48]  M. Bobák,et al.  Air pollution and infant mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-88 , 1992, The Lancet.

[49]  Robert Mendelsohn,et al.  An empirical analysis of air pollution dose-response curves , 1979 .

[50]  T. Joyce,et al.  An Assessment of the Benefits of Air Pollution Control: the Case of Infant Health , 1986 .

[51]  W. Logan Mortality from Fog in London, January, 1956 , 1956, British medical journal.

[52]  J. Currie,et al.  Saving Babies: The Efficacy and Cost of Recent Changes in the Medicaid Eligibility of Pregnant Women , 1996, Journal of Political Economy.