Evaluation of CMIP5 palaeo-simulations to improve climate projections

[1]  Florian Rauser,et al.  Rethinking the default construction of multi-model climate ensembles , 2015 .

[2]  S. Harrison,et al.  Energy-balance mechanisms underlying consistent large-scale temperature responses in warm and cold climates , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

[3]  G. Leduc,et al.  Implication of methodological uncertainties for Mid-Holocene sea surface temperature reconstructions , 2014 .

[4]  K. Manning,et al.  The demographic response to Holocene climate change in the Sahara , 2014 .

[5]  I. Prentice,et al.  Reliable, robust and realistic: the three R's of next-generation land-surface modelling , 2014 .

[6]  J. Annan,et al.  Can we trust climate models? , 2014 .

[7]  S. Harrison,et al.  Evaluation of modern and mid-Holocene seasonal precipitation of the Mediterranean and northern Africa in the CMIP5 simulations , 2014 .

[8]  Jonathan L. Mitchell,et al.  Modern and glacial tropical snowlines controlled by sea surface temperature and atmospheric mixing , 2014 .

[9]  T. Mauritsen,et al.  Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models , 2014 .

[10]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations , 2014, Geophysical research letters.

[11]  I. Prentice,et al.  Climate model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates , 2014, Climate Dynamics.

[12]  D. Jiang,et al.  Mid-Holocene net precipitation changes over China: model–data comparison , 2013 .

[13]  G. Miller,et al.  Unprecedented recent summer warmth in Arctic Canada , 2013 .

[14]  H. Goosse,et al.  Modelling past sea ice changes , 2013 .

[15]  V. Brovkin,et al.  Simulated climate-vegetation interaction in semi-arid regions affected by plant diversity , 2013 .

[16]  I. Wainer,et al.  Mid-Holocene PMIP3/CMIP5 model results: Intercomparison for the South American Monsoon System , 2013 .

[17]  J. Kaplan,et al.  The influence of atmospheric circulation on the mid-Holocene climate of Europe: a data–model comparison , 2013 .

[18]  Hiroaki Ueda,et al.  Challenges in quantifying Pliocene terrestrial warming revealed by data–model discord , 2013 .

[19]  S. Harrison,et al.  Evaluation of seasonal climates of the Mediterranean and nothern Africa in the CMIP5 simulations , 2013 .

[20]  D. Jiang,et al.  Mid-Holocene ocean and vegetation feedbacks over East Asia , 2013 .

[21]  Jean-Luc Redelsperger,et al.  The Present and Future of the West African Monsoon: A Process-Oriented Assessment of CMIP5 Simulations along the AMMA Transect , 2013 .

[22]  S. Harrison,et al.  Precipitation scaling with temperature in warm and cold climates: An analysis of CMIP5 simulations , 2013 .

[23]  W. Lau,et al.  A canonical response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from CMIP5 models , 2013 .

[24]  P. DiNezio,et al.  The effect of sea level on glacial Indo-Pacific climate , 2013 .

[25]  S. Harrison,et al.  Consistent large‐scale temperature responses in warm and cold climates , 2013 .

[26]  J. Nilsson,et al.  The sensitivity of the Arctic sea ice to orbitally induced insolation changes: a study of the mid-Holocene Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project 2 and 3 simulations , 2013 .

[27]  Hiroaki Ueda,et al.  Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations , 2013 .

[28]  M. Rojas Sensitivity of Southern Hemisphere circulation to LGM and 4 × CO2 climates , 2013 .

[29]  M. Kageyama,et al.  Southern westerlies in LGM and future (RCP4.5) climates , 2013 .

[30]  P. Braconnot,et al.  Characterization of Model Spread in PMIP2 Mid-Holocene Simulations of the African Monsoon , 2013 .

[31]  A. Timmermann,et al.  Using palaeo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5 , 2013 .

[32]  Manoj Joshi,et al.  An explanation for the difference between twentieth and twenty-first century land–sea warming ratio in climate models , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[33]  J. Huba,et al.  Simulation of the seeding of equatorial spread F by circular gravity waves , 2013 .

[34]  D. Jiang,et al.  Mid-Holocene East Asian summer monsoon strengthening: Insights from Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations , 2013 .

[35]  E. Guilyardi,et al.  Mid-Holocene and last glacial maximum climate simulations with the IPSL model: part II: model-data comparisons , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[36]  E. Guilyardi,et al.  Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum climate simulations with the IPSL model—part I: comparing IPSL_CM5A to IPSL_CM4 , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[37]  M. Yoshimori,et al.  Can the Last Glacial Maximum constrain climate sensitivity? , 2012 .

[38]  Eelco J. Rohling,et al.  Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity , 2012, Nature.

[39]  B. Otto‐Bliesner,et al.  A multi-model assessment of last interglacial temperatures , 2012 .

[40]  J. Annan,et al.  Skill and reliability of climate model ensembles at the Last Glacial Maximum and mid-Holocene , 2012 .

[41]  Yan Zhao,et al.  Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data , 2012 .

[42]  Karl E. Taylor,et al.  An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design , 2012 .

[43]  S. Harrison,et al.  Mid-Holocene monsoons: a multi-model analysis of the inter-hemispheric differences in the responses to orbital forcing and ocean feedbacks , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[44]  M. Yoshimori,et al.  Dependency of Feedbacks on Forcing and Climate State in Physics Parameter Ensembles , 2011 .

[45]  N. Mahowald,et al.  Climate Sensitivity Estimated from Temperature Reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum , 2011, Science.

[46]  G. Krinner,et al.  Sahara and Sahel vulnerability to climate changes, lessons from Holocene hydrological data , 2011 .

[47]  James D. Annan,et al.  Understanding the CMIP3 Multimodel Ensemble , 2011 .

[48]  R. S. Thompson,et al.  Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka: a global synthesis , 2011 .

[49]  E. Hawkins,et al.  The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change , 2011 .

[50]  I. Prentice,et al.  Global vegetation and terrestrial carbon cycle changes after the last ice age. , 2011, The New phytologist.

[51]  W. Tao,et al.  Mid-Holocene East Asian summer climate as simulated by the PMIP2 models. , 2010 .

[52]  Reto Knutti,et al.  The end of model democracy? , 2010 .

[53]  Daniel J. Lunt,et al.  Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP): experimental design and boundary conditions (Experiment 2) , 2009 .

[54]  A. Lézine,et al.  Plant migration and plant communities at the time of the “green Sahara” , 2009 .

[55]  P. Braconnot,et al.  The role of the ocean feedback on Asian and African monsoon variations at 6 kyr and 9.5 kyr BP , 2009 .

[56]  E. Hawkins,et al.  The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions , 2009 .

[57]  R. Allan Examination of relationships between clear-sky longwave radiation and aspects of the atmospheric hydrological cycle in climate models, reanalyses, and observations. , 2009 .

[58]  V. Brovkin,et al.  Separation of atmosphere‐ocean‐vegetation feedbacks and synergies for mid‐Holocene climate , 2009 .

[59]  S. Harrison,et al.  Constraining Carbon Cycle Feedback Using Paleodata: Palaeocarbon Modelling Intercomparison Project Kickoff Workshop; Totnes, United Kingdom, 26–28 January 2009 , 2009 .

[60]  S. Brewer,et al.  Orbital forcing and role of the latitudinal insolation/temperature gradient , 2009 .

[61]  M. Weinelt,et al.  Constraints on the magnitude and patterns of ocean cooling at the Last Glacial Maximum: report of the MARGO Project , 2009 .

[62]  U. Pflaumann,et al.  Constraints on the magnitude and patterns of ocean cooling at the Last Glacial Maximum: report of the MARGO Project , 2009 .

[63]  Wilco Hazeleger,et al.  Western Europe is warming much faster than expected , 2008, 0806.0715.

[64]  C. Hewitt,et al.  Evaluation of coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations of the mid-Holocene using palaeovegetation data from the northern hemisphere extratropics , 2008 .

[65]  Charles Doutriaux,et al.  Performance metrics for climate models , 2008 .

[66]  Gerrit Lohmann,et al.  Data-Model Comparison , 2008 .

[67]  J. Kutzbach,et al.  Detecting vegetation-precipitation feedbacks in mid-Holocene North Africa from two climate models , 2007 .

[68]  Yan Zhao,et al.  Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features , 2007 .

[69]  H. Moel,et al.  Verification of a coupled climate-hydrological model against Holocene palaehydrological records , 2007 .

[70]  W. Briggs Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences , 2007 .

[71]  J. Guiot,et al.  Mid-Holocene climate change in Europe: a data-model comparison , 2006 .

[72]  Daniel S. Wilks,et al.  On “Field Significance” and the False Discovery Rate , 2006 .

[73]  Michel Crucifix,et al.  Does the Last Glacial Maximum constrain climate sensitivity? , 2006 .

[74]  Rudolph Kuper,et al.  Climate-Controlled Holocene Occupation in the Sahara: Motor of Africa's Evolution , 2006, Science.

[75]  S. Levis,et al.  Last Glacial Maximum and Holocene Climate in CCSM3 , 2006 .

[76]  Hermann Held,et al.  Climate sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial climate , 2006 .

[77]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  Relationships between precipitation and surface temperature , 2005 .

[78]  James D. Annan,et al.  Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles of Paleoclimate Simulations , 2005 .

[79]  G. Bonan,et al.  Soil feedback drives the mid-Holocene North African monsoon northward in fully coupled CCSM2 simulations with a dynamic vegetation model , 2004 .

[80]  P. Braconnot,et al.  Synergistic feedbacks between ocean and vegetation on mid- and high-latitude climates during the mid-Holocene , 2004 .

[81]  N. Mahowald,et al.  Radiative forcing of climate by ice-age atmospheric dust , 2003 .

[82]  M. Coe,et al.  The water balance of northern Africa during the mid-Holocene: an evaluation of the 6 ka BP PMIP simulations , 2002 .

[83]  K. Taylor Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram , 2001 .

[84]  J. Guiot,et al.  Pollen‐based biome reconstruction for southern Europe and Africa 18,000 yr bp , 2000 .

[85]  G. Ramstein,et al.  Tropical paleoclimates at the Last Glacial Maximum: comparison of Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations and paleodata , 1999 .

[86]  N. Noblet,et al.  Synergistic feedbacks from ocean and vegetation on the African Monsoon response to Mid‐Holocene insolation , 1999 .

[87]  Sandy P. Harrison,et al.  Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago: Results of 18 simulations from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) , 1999 .

[88]  P. Braconnot,et al.  Mid-Holocene climate in Europe: what can we infer from PMIP model-data comparisons? , 1999 .

[89]  J. Kutzbach,et al.  Land surface feedbacks and palaeomonsoons in northern Africa , 1998 .

[90]  Sandy P. Harrison,et al.  Mid‐Holocene land‐surface conditions in northern Africa and the Arabian Peninsula: A data set for the analysis of biogeophysical feedbacks in the climate system , 1998 .

[91]  Veronika Gayler,et al.  The greening of the Sahara during the mid-Holocene: results of an interactive atmosphere-biome model , 1997 .

[92]  J. Kutzbach,et al.  Vegetation and soil feedbacks on the response of the African monsoon to orbital forcing in the early to middle Holocene , 1996, Nature.

[93]  S. Harrison,et al.  An evaluation of the simulated water balance of Eurasia and northern Africa at 6000 y BP using lake status data , 1996 .

[94]  The Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project at the National Meteorological Center , 1993 .

[95]  W. Gates AMIP: The Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. , 1992 .

[96]  J. Kutzbach,et al.  Milankovitch forcing of fluctuations in the level of tropical lakes from 18 to 0 kyr BP , 1985, Nature.