Prediction of Expected Red-Light-Running Frequency at Urban Intersections

Statistics consistently indicate that red-light running has become a significant safety problem throughout the United States. Comprehensive guidelines for treating red-light running at problem intersections have been developed. Unfortunately, these guidelines do not include a tool or technique for quantitatively determining if a problem exists and if a countermeasure is truly effective. The objective of this work is to describe the development and calibration of such a tool. The calibrated prediction model developed for this research indicates that red-light running increases with flow rate, speed, and dense platoons arriving at the end of the phase. It was also found that red-light running decreases with increasing cycle length and cross-street width, and when back plates are used on the signal heads. Uses for the calibrated model are described.

[1]  W Reilly,et al.  HIGHWAY CAPACITY MANUAL 2000 , 1997 .

[2]  Yosef Sheffi,et al.  A Model of Driver Behavior at High Speed Signalized Intersections , 1981 .

[3]  J Bonneson,et al.  REVIEW AND EVALUATION OF FACTORS THAT AFFECT THE FREQUENCY OF RED-LIGHT-RUNNING , 2001 .

[4]  James H. Kell,et al.  Manual of Traffic Signal Design , 1990 .

[5]  Eric R. Ziegel,et al.  Generalized Linear Models , 2002, Technometrics.

[6]  Bhagwant Persaud,et al.  Safety Effect of Roundabout Conversions in the United States: Empirical Bayes Observational Before-After Study , 2001 .

[7]  Allan F. Williams,et al.  Red-Light Running and Sensible Countermeasures: Summary of Research Findings , 1998 .

[8]  Robert C. Deen,et al.  GREEN-EXTENSION SYSTEMS AT HIGH-SPEED INTERSECTIONS , 1978 .

[9]  D F Jarrett,et al.  Accidents at blackspots: Estimating the effectiveness of remedial treatment with special reference to the 'Regression-to-Mean' effect , 1981 .

[10]  Patrick T McCoy,et al.  TRAFFIC DETECTOR DESIGN AND EVALUATION GUIDELINES. FINAL REPORT , 1994 .

[11]  Richard A. Retting,et al.  Influence of Traffic Signal Timing on Red-Light Running and Potential Vehicle Conflicts at Urban Intersections , 1997 .

[12]  Yusuf M. Mohamedshah,et al.  Association of Selected Intersection Factors with Red-Light-Running Crashes , 2000 .

[13]  A Wilmink,et al.  Drivers' decision-making at signalised intersections: an optimisation of the yellow timing , 1986 .

[14]  S-P Miaou,et al.  MEASURING THE GOODNESS-OF-FIT OF ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODELS , 1996 .

[15]  Ezra Hauer,et al.  Observational Before-After Studies in Road Safety , 1997 .

[16]  Bab Farraher,et al.  THE EFFECT OF ADVANCED WARNING FLASHERS ON RED LIGHT RUNNING--A STUDY USING MOTION IMAGING RECORDING SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY AT TRUNK HIGHWAY 169 AND PIONEER TRAIL IN BLOOMINGTON, MINNESOTA , 1999 .